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Southampton vs Derby County

Southampton host Derby County in the England Championship on Saturday 21 November 2026, kick-off 12:30. Our model makes Southampton favourites at 63%, with a 22% chance of a draw. In their last 2 meetings, Derby County won 0, Southampton won 1 and 1 was drawn.

England Championship Save
Southampton
12:30
21 Nov
Derby County
St. Mary's Stadium, Southampton

Southampton vs Derby County preview

Southampton have scored 2.86 goals a game and conceded 0.71 across their last 7 home games in the Championship this season, while Derby County have scored 1.00 and conceded 2.14 across their last 7 away games. Both teams have scored in 5 of Southampton's last 7 home games and 5 of Derby County's last 7 away games. Derby County have won 1 of their last 7 away games. Southampton's last 7 home games have averaged 10.1 corners and Derby County's last 7 away games 10.0. Stats as of 14 Nov 2026, 03:40 UK.

  • Goals scored Southampton: 2.86 Derby County: 1.00
  • Goals conceded Southampton: 0.71 Derby County: 2.14
  • Both teams scored Southampton: 5 of 771% Derby County: 5 of 771%
  • Over 2.5 goals Southampton: 5 of 771% Derby County: 4 of 757%
  • Match corners Southampton: 10.14 Derby County: 10.00
  • Match cards Southampton: 4.57 Derby County: 4.43

Southampton's last 7 home games and Derby County's last 7 away games in the Championship this season.

Win probabilities

63%Southampton 22%Draw 15%Derby County

From the OddAlerts probability model. See every market

Southampton vs Derby County: questions and answers

When is Southampton vs Derby County?

Southampton vs Derby County kicks off at 12:30 UK time on Saturday 21 November 2026 in the Championship, at St. Mary's Stadium, Southampton.

Who is the favourite in Southampton vs Derby County?

The OddAlerts probability model gives Southampton a 63% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Derby County 15%.

How many goals do Southampton and Derby County games have?

Southampton have scored 2.86 goals a game and conceded 0.71 across their last 7 home games in the Championship this season, while Derby County have scored 1.00 and conceded 2.14 across their last 7 away games. Both teams have scored in 5 of Southampton's last 7 home games and 5 of Derby County's last 7 away games.

Where are Southampton and Derby County in the Championship table?

Southampton are 7th with 24 points from 15 games. Derby County are 23rd with 10 points from 15 games.

Southampton vs Derby County stats

All competitions , Pro
Southampton6W 1D 0L · 7 home games
Derby County1W 2D 4L · 7 away games
Southampton vs Derby County general stats: Southampton's last 7 home games and Derby County's last 7 away games in the Championship this season
SouthamptonStatDerby County
Match outcomes
6 of 786% Win 1 of 714%
1 of 714% Draw 2 of 729%
0 of 70% Loss 4 of 757%
19 Points 5
2.71 Points per game 0.71
15 Goal difference -8
Expected goals
1.94 xG per game 1.00
1.33 xGA per game 2.22
6.39 xG performance 0.02
Possession & attacks
55% Possession 45%
43.57 Dangerous attacks 39.00
41.57 Dangerous attacks against 56.57
Shots
15.00 Shots for 11.86
14.71 Shots against 16.43
5.00 On target for 4.14
3.29 On target against 6.00
19% Shot conversion 8%
33% On-target accuracy 35%
Tackles & fouls
10.57 Tackles 15.14
13.43 Fouls committed 8.71
8.29 Fouls won 13.57
3.43 Offsides 2.14

Southampton's last 7 home games and Derby County's last 7 away games in the Championship this season. A rate such as "5 of 7" counts the games where it happened.

Stats as of 14 Nov 2026, 03:40 UK.

Southampton vs Derby County lineups

Lineups will appear here when they're predicted and confirmed. Until then, see key players.

Southampton vs Derby County players

Player rankings

  1. 1 Southampton Léo Scienza 1.56
  2. 2 Derby County Filip Bilbija 1.50
  3. 3 Southampton Cyle Larin 1.43
  4. 4 Southampton Samuel Edozie 1.04
  5. 5 Derby County Mohammed Fuseini 1.03

Per 90 minutes, weighted towards recent games. Goalkeepers left out.

Leading scorers and creators

Top scorer
Cyle Larin in 11 games 7goals
Sammie Szmodics in 13 games 3goals
Top creator
Finn Azaz in 15 games 5assists
Carlton Morris in 11 games 2assists

Players in form

  1. Finn Azaz Attacking midfielder · Southampton 7.21 Form rating
    Apps
    15
    Goals
    3
    Assists
    5
    • Big chances0.51 per 90 Top 10%
    • Final third6.63 per 90 Top 18%
    • Key passes2.34 per 90 Top 20%
  2. Léo Scienza Winger · Southampton 7.19 Form rating
    Apps
    13
    Goals
    2
    Assists
    2
    • Shots2.85 per 90 Top 15%
    • Big chances0.47 per 90 Top 16%
    • Dribble %54% per 90 Top 19%
  3. James Ward-Prowse Defensive midfielder · Southampton 7.15 Form rating
    Apps
    14
    Goals
    1
    Assists
    1
    • Pass %92% per 90 Top 3%
    • Final third11.71 per 90 Top 4%
    • Passes71.70 per 90 Top 4%
  4. Daniel Peretz Goalkeeper · Southampton 7.11 Form rating
    Apps
    15
    Goals
    0
    Assists
    0
    • Passes45.26 per 90 Top 4%
    • Touches55.31 per 90 Top 4%
    • Aerials0.51 per 90 Top 8%
  5. Shane Duffy Centre-back · Derby County 7.10 Form rating
    Apps
    1
    Goals
    0
    Assists
    0
    • Aerial %76% per 90 Top 4%
    • Duel %68% per 90 Top 6%
    • Aerials3.82 per 90 Top 7%
  6. Ryan Manning Full-back · Southampton 7.08 Form rating
    Apps
    15
    Goals
    1
    Assists
    3
    • Key passes2.61 per 90 Top 2%
    • Big chances0.66 per 90 Top 3%
    • Final third11.20 per 90 Top 3%
  7. Jacob Widell Zetterström Goalkeeper · Derby County 7.07 Form rating
    Apps
    11
    Goals
    0
    Assists
    0
    • Saves4.60 per 90 Top 3%
    • Touches45.56 per 90 Top 19%
    • Recoveries8.98 per 90 Top 30%
  8. Keven Schlotterbeck Centre-back · Southampton 7.05 Form rating
    Apps
    13
    Goals
    2
    Assists
    0
    • Aerial %71% per 90 Top 8%
    • Duel %67% per 90 Top 8%
    • Passes65.63 per 90 Top 12%
  9. Carlton Morris Striker · Derby County 7.00 Form rating
    Apps
    11
    Goals
    1
    Assists
    2
    • Aerials6.76 per 90 Top 3%
    • Big chances0.50 per 90 Top 4%
    • Key passes1.48 per 90 Top 15%
  10. Eiran Cashin Centre-back · Derby County 6.98 Form rating
    Apps
    2
    Goals
    0
    Assists
    0
    • Aerials6.16 per 90 Top 2%
    • Final third10.30 per 90 Top 5%
    • Tackles2.35 per 90 Top 5%
  11. Joe Ward Full-back · Derby County 6.96 Form rating
    Apps
    10
    Goals
    0
    Assists
    0
    • Key passes2.25 per 90 Top 3%
    • Crosses1.93 per 90 Top 4%
    • Recoveries5.36 per 90 Top 8%
  12. Alex Mowatt Defensive midfielder · Derby County 6.85 Form rating
    Apps
    12
    Goals
    0
    Assists
    0
    • Recoveries6.16 per 90 Top 14%
    • Final third8.84 per 90 Top 16%
    • Touches74.25 per 90 Top 17%

Form rating weights recent games most; the ring and bars show the percentile against players in the same role. Apps, goals and assists are this club season.

Explore the player data hubRank and compare players on every stat, across every top league

Southampton vs Derby County form

Southampton All venues
2 W · 2 D · 1 L
Points per game
1.60
Scored per game
1.6
Conceded per game
1.0
Both teams scored
60%
Over 2.5 goals
40%
  1. Championship A Preston North End 0–1 defeat xG 1.8–1.2
  2. Championship A West Bromwich Albion 1–1 draw xG 1.1–2.2
  3. Championship H Queens Park Rangers 4–1 win xG 1.5–1.1
  4. Championship A West Ham United 3–2 win xG 1.5–1.8
  5. Championship H Bolton Wanderers 0–0 draw xG 2.1–1.1
Derby County All venues
1 W · 1 D · 3 L
Points per game
0.80
Scored per game
1.0
Conceded per game
2.2
Both teams scored
60%
Over 2.5 goals
60%
  1. Championship H Bolton Wanderers 3–1 win xG 1.5–2.1
  2. Championship H Norwich City 0–4 defeat xG 0.6–2.3
  3. Championship A Millwall 1–4 defeat xG 1.2–3.5
  4. Championship A Sheffield United 1–1 draw xG 0.9–3.3
  5. Championship H Stoke City 0–1 defeat xG 1.3–0.8

Results before kick-off, most recent first, from each team's side. Open a game to see its full stats.

Derby County vs Southampton head to head

0 Derby County wins 1 draws 1 Southampton wins
2.5 goals per game 100% both teams scored 50% over 2.5 goals
  1. 6 Feb 2027Championship Derby County 15:00 Southampton
  2. 21 Nov 2026Championship Southampton 12:30 Derby County
  3. 11 Apr 2026Championship Southampton 2–1 Derby County
  4. 4 Oct 2025Championship Derby County 1–1 Southampton

Southampton vs Derby County standings

Championship table
# Team P W D L GF GA GD Pts Last 5
1 Birmingham City 158522814 +14 29
2 Middlesbrough 158523019 +11 29
3 Stoke City 159242418 +6 29
4 Wolverhampton Wanderers 158432618 +8 28
5 West Bromwich Albion 158432315 +8 28
6 Swansea City 158252218 +4 26
7 Southampton 158432915 +14 24
8 Queens Park Rangers 156632418 +6 24
9 West Ham United 156543723 +14 23
10 Sheffield United 156452119 +2 22
11 Portsmouth 156452018 +2 22
12 Norwich City 157083224 +8 21
13 Blackburn Rovers 156362223 -1 21
14 Cardiff City 154652727 0 18
15 Wrexham 154651820 -2 18
16 Millwall 155372327 -4 18
17 Bristol City 155371624 -8 18
18 Bolton Wanderers 155282029 -9 17
19 Charlton Athletic 154561323 -10 17
20 Watford 154381323 -10 15
21 Lincoln City 154381526 -11 15
22 Burnley 151772231 -9 10
23 Derby County 152491430 -16 10
24 Preston North End 1522111330 -17 8
  • Southampton
  • Derby County
  • Promotion or qualification
  • Play-offs or qualifying rounds
  • Relegation
Full Championship table

Championship 2026/2027 standings as of 14 Nov 2026, 03:40 UK. Last 5 shows the most recent result first.

Southampton vs Derby County odds

Best price across 7 bookmakers, how it has moved since it opened, and our model's chance for each selection.

Match Result
Selection Best price Since opening Model
Southampton 1.44Betano Drifted 3%from 1.40 63%
Draw 5.10FanDuel No changefrom 5.10 22%
Derby County 7.60Betfair Exchange Drifted 12%from 6.80 15%
Double Chance
Selection Best price Since opening Model
Southampton or Draw 1.10Bet365 Shortened 1%from 1.11 85%
Draw or Derby County 3.00Bet365 No changefrom 3.00 37%
Southampton or Derby County 1.18Bet365 No changefrom 1.18 78%
Draw No Bet
Selection Best price Since opening Model
Southampton 1.12Bet365 Shortened 2%from 1.14 81%
Derby County 6.00Bet365 Drifted 9%from 5.50 19%
Both Teams to Score
Selection Best price Since opening Model
BTTS Yes 1.80Bet365 Drifted 8%from 1.67 51%
BTTS No 2.02Kambi Group No changefrom 2.02 49%
Total Goals
Selection Best price Since opening Model
Over 1.5 1.18Betano Drifted 2%from 1.16 78%
Under 1.5 5.00Bet365 Shortened 9%from 5.50 22%
Over 2.5 1.57Betfair Exchange Drifted 1%from 1.56 56%
Under 2.5 2.52Betfair Exchange No changefrom 2.52 44%
Over 3.5 2.37Bet365 Drifted 8%from 2.20 35%
Under 3.5 1.60Betano Shortened 4%from 1.67 65%
Half-Time Result
Selection Best price Since opening Model
Southampton 1.83Bet365 Drifted 2%from 1.80 –
Draw 2.62Bet365 Shortened 5%from 2.75 –
Derby County 6.50Bet365 No changefrom 6.50 –

Prices are decimal. Updated 14 Nov, 03:19. Gamble responsibly, 18+.

Win probabilities

63%Southampton 22%Draw 15%Derby County
Unlock every model market, including correct scores, half-time/full-time, team goals and corners, with Pro

From the OddAlerts probability model before kick-off.