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Boldmere St Michaels
Loughborough University
Boldmere St Michaels have scored 1.89 goals a game and conceded 1.11 across their last 9 home games in the Non League Div One: Northern Midlands this season, while Loughborough University have scored 2.22 and conceded 1.56 across their last 9 away games. Both teams have scored in 6 of Boldmere St Michaels' last 9 home games and 5 of Loughborough University's last 9 away games. Over 2.5 goals has landed in 8 of Loughborough University's last 9 away games. Over 9.5 corners has landed in 2 of Boldmere St Michaels' last 9 home games. Boldmere St Michaels' last 9 home games have averaged 4.2 corners and Loughborough University's last 9 away games 4.6. Stats as of 15 Nov 2026, 12:46 UK.
Boldmere St Michaels' last 9 home games and Loughborough University's last 9 away games in the Non League Div One: Northern Midlands this season.
From the OddAlerts probability model. See every market
Boldmere St Michaels vs Loughborough University kicks off at 19:45 UK time on Tuesday 17 November 2026 in the Non League Div One: Northern Midlands, at Trevor Brown Memorial Ground, England.
The OddAlerts probability model gives Boldmere St Michaels a 38% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Loughborough University 41%.
Boldmere St Michaels have scored 1.89 goals a game and conceded 1.11 across their last 9 home games in the Non League Div One: Northern Midlands this season, while Loughborough University have scored 2.22 and conceded 1.56 across their last 9 away games. Both teams have scored in 6 of Boldmere St Michaels' last 9 home games and 5 of Loughborough University's last 9 away games. Over 2.5 goals has landed in 8 of Loughborough University's last 9 away games.
Boldmere St Michaels are 10th with 26 points from 18 games. Loughborough University are 3rd with 33 points from 18 games.
Boldmere St Michaels6W 1D 2L · 9 home games
Loughborough University5W 0D 4L · 9 away games
| Boldmere St Michaels | Stat | Loughborough University |
|---|---|---|
| Match outcomes | ||
| 6 of 967% | Win | 5 of 956% |
| 1 of 911% | Draw | 0 of 90% |
| 2 of 922% | Loss | 4 of 944% |
| 19 | Points | 15 |
| 2.11 | Points per game | 1.67 |
| 7 | Goal difference | 6 |
| Expected goals | ||
| 0.00 | xG per game | 0.00 |
| 0.00 | xGA per game | 0.00 |
| 17.00 | xG performance | 20.00 |
| Possession & attacks | ||
| 27% | Possession | 21% |
| 21.44 | Dangerous attacks | 20.11 |
| 21.78 | Dangerous attacks against | 22.33 |
| Shots | ||
| 5.33 | Shots for | 5.33 |
| 3.78 | Shots against | 5.44 |
| 2.56 | On target for | 2.67 |
| 1.56 | On target against | 2.67 |
| 35% | Shot conversion | 42% |
| 48% | On-target accuracy | 50% |
| Tackles & fouls | ||
| 0.00 | Tackles | 0.00 |
| 0.00 | Fouls committed | 0.00 |
| 0.00 | Fouls won | 0.00 |
| 0.89 | Offsides | 0.33 |
| Boldmere St Michaels | Stat | Loughborough University |
|---|---|---|
| Goals overview | ||
| 3.00 | Goals per game (total) | 3.78 |
| 17 | Goals scored | 20 |
| 1.89 | Scored per game | 2.22 |
| 10 | Goals conceded | 14 |
| 1.11 | Conceded per game | 1.56 |
| Outcomes | ||
| 5 of 956% | Scored first | 5 of 956% |
| 0 of 90% | Failed to score | 1 of 911% |
| 3 of 933% | Clean sheet | 3 of 933% |
| 6 of 967% | BTTS | 5 of 956% |
| 5 of 956% | BTTS & over 2.5 | 5 of 956% |
| 7 of 978% | BTTS or over 2.5 | 8 of 989% |
| Total goals | ||
| 9 of 9100% | Over 0.5 | 9 of 9100% |
| 7 of 978% | Over 1.5 | 8 of 989% |
| 6 of 967% | Over 2.5 | 8 of 989% |
| 4 of 944% | Over 3.5 | 5 of 956% |
| Goals scored | ||
| 9 of 9100% | Scored 1+ | 8 of 989% |
| 4 of 944% | Scored 2+ | 5 of 956% |
| 2 of 922% | Scored 3+ | 3 of 933% |
| Goals conceded | ||
| 6 of 967% | Conceded 1+ | 6 of 967% |
| 2 of 922% | Conceded 2+ | 4 of 944% |
| 2 of 922% | Conceded 3+ | 3 of 933% |
| Boldmere St Michaels | Stat | Loughborough University |
|---|---|---|
| Half-time result | ||
| 4 of 944% | Winning at HT | 5 of 956% |
| 2 of 922% | Drawing at HT | 1 of 911% |
| 3 of 933% | Losing at HT | 3 of 933% |
| Boldmere St Michaels | Stat | Loughborough University |
|---|---|---|
| Corners per game | ||
| 4.22 | Total corners | 4.56 |
| 1.11 | Corners for | 2.67 |
| 3.11 | Corners against | 1.89 |
| 1 of 911% | Most corners | 4 of 944% |
| Match corner lines | ||
| 3 of 933% | Over 7.5 | 3 of 933% |
| 3 of 933% | Over 8.5 | 3 of 933% |
| 2 of 922% | Over 9.5 | 3 of 933% |
| 1 of 911% | Over 10.5 | 2 of 922% |
| 0 of 90% | Over 11.5 | 2 of 922% |
| 0 of 90% | Over 12.5 | 2 of 922% |
| Corners for lines | ||
| 0 of 90% | For over 4.5 | 3 of 933% |
| 0 of 90% | For over 5.5 | 3 of 933% |
| 0 of 90% | For over 6.5 | 3 of 933% |
| 0 of 90% | For over 7.5 | 2 of 922% |
| Corners against lines | ||
| 3 of 933% | Against over 4.5 | 2 of 922% |
| 3 of 933% | Against over 5.5 | 2 of 922% |
| 3 of 933% | Against over 6.5 | 2 of 922% |
| By half | ||
| 2.44 | 1H total | 2.11 |
| 1.11 | 1H for | 1.56 |
| 1.33 | 1H against | 0.56 |
| 2.67 | 2H total | 3.56 |
| 0.67 | 2H for | 1.44 |
| 2.00 | 2H against | 2.11 |
| Boldmere St Michaels | Stat | Loughborough University |
|---|---|---|
| Cards per game | ||
| 3.56 | Total cards | 2.44 |
| 0.78 | Cards received | 1.00 |
| 2.78 | Opponent cards | 1.44 |
| 0 of 90% | Most cards | 2 of 922% |
| Match card lines | ||
| 8 of 989% | Over 2.5 | 5 of 956% |
| 5 of 956% | Over 3.5 | 2 of 922% |
| 3 of 933% | Over 4.5 | 1 of 911% |
| 1 of 911% | Over 5.5 | 0 of 90% |
| Cards received lines | ||
| 5 of 956% | Received 1+ | 7 of 978% |
| 2 of 922% | Received 2+ | 2 of 922% |
| 0 of 90% | Received 3+ | 1 of 911% |
| Opponent card lines | ||
| 8 of 989% | Opponent 1+ | 7 of 978% |
| 8 of 989% | Opponent 2+ | 4 of 944% |
| 5 of 956% | Opponent 3+ | 1 of 911% |
| By half | ||
| 1.56 | 1H total | 0.78 |
| 0.11 | 1H received | 0.44 |
| 1.89 | 2H total | 1.67 |
| 0.67 | 2H received | 0.67 |
| Boldmere St Michaels | Stat | Loughborough University |
|---|---|---|
| Shots & conversion | ||
| 9.11 | Total shots (match) | 10.78 |
| 4.11 | Total on target (match) | 5.33 |
| 74% | On-target conversion | 83% |
Boldmere St Michaels' last 9 home games and Loughborough University's last 9 away games in the Non League Div One: Northern Midlands this season. A rate such as "5 of 7" counts the games where it happened.
Boldmere St Michaels2W 3D 5L · 10 games
Loughborough University7W 1D 2L · 10 games
| Boldmere St Michaels | Stat | Loughborough University |
|---|---|---|
| Match outcomes | ||
| 2 of 1020% | Win | 7 of 1070% |
| 3 of 1030% | Draw | 1 of 1010% |
| 5 of 1050% | Loss | 2 of 1020% |
| 9 | Points | 22 |
| 0.90 | Points per game | 2.20 |
| -8 | Goal difference | 8 |
| Expected goals | ||
| 0.00 | xG per game | 0.00 |
| 0.00 | xGA per game | 0.00 |
| 10.00 | xG performance | 21.00 |
| Possession & attacks | ||
| 10% | Possession | 27% |
| 7.30 | Dangerous attacks | 21.80 |
| 8.90 | Dangerous attacks against | 27.00 |
| Shots | ||
| 1.30 | Shots for | 5.50 |
| 1.90 | Shots against | 6.10 |
| 0.60 | On target for | 2.80 |
| 0.60 | On target against | 2.70 |
| 77% | Shot conversion | 38% |
| 46% | On-target accuracy | 51% |
| Tackles & fouls | ||
| 0.00 | Tackles | 0.00 |
| 0.00 | Fouls committed | 0.00 |
| 0.00 | Fouls won | 0.00 |
| 0.40 | Offsides | 0.30 |
| Boldmere St Michaels | Stat | Loughborough University |
|---|---|---|
| Goals overview | ||
| 2.80 | Goals per game (total) | 3.40 |
| 10 | Goals scored | 21 |
| 1.00 | Scored per game | 2.10 |
| 18 | Goals conceded | 13 |
| 1.80 | Conceded per game | 1.30 |
| Outcomes | ||
| 2 of 1020% | Scored first | 7 of 1070% |
| 2 of 1020% | Failed to score | 1 of 1010% |
| 1 of 1010% | Clean sheet | 4 of 1040% |
| 7 of 1070% | BTTS | 5 of 1050% |
| 5 of 1050% | BTTS & over 2.5 | 5 of 1050% |
| 7 of 1070% | BTTS or over 2.5 | 9 of 1090% |
| Total goals | ||
| 10 of 10100% | Over 0.5 | 10 of 10100% |
| 8 of 1080% | Over 1.5 | 9 of 1090% |
| 5 of 1050% | Over 2.5 | 9 of 1090% |
| 4 of 1040% | Over 3.5 | 5 of 1050% |
| Goals scored | ||
| 8 of 1080% | Scored 1+ | 9 of 1090% |
| 2 of 1020% | Scored 2+ | 7 of 1070% |
| 0 of 100% | Scored 3+ | 5 of 1050% |
| Goals conceded | ||
| 9 of 1090% | Conceded 1+ | 6 of 1060% |
| 5 of 1050% | Conceded 2+ | 4 of 1040% |
| 3 of 1030% | Conceded 3+ | 2 of 1020% |
| Boldmere St Michaels | Stat | Loughborough University |
|---|---|---|
| Half-time result | ||
| 0 of 100% | Winning at HT | 6 of 1060% |
| 7 of 1070% | Drawing at HT | 2 of 1020% |
| 3 of 1030% | Losing at HT | 2 of 1020% |
| Boldmere St Michaels | Stat | Loughborough University |
|---|---|---|
| Corners per game | ||
| 1.70 | Total corners | 6.20 |
| 0.40 | Corners for | 2.70 |
| 1.30 | Corners against | 3.50 |
| 0 of 100% | Most corners | 3 of 1030% |
| Match corner lines | ||
| 1 of 1010% | Over 7.5 | 4 of 1040% |
| 1 of 1010% | Over 8.5 | 4 of 1040% |
| 1 of 1010% | Over 9.5 | 4 of 1040% |
| 0 of 100% | Over 10.5 | 3 of 1030% |
| 0 of 100% | Over 11.5 | 2 of 1020% |
| 0 of 100% | Over 12.5 | 2 of 1020% |
| Corners for lines | ||
| 0 of 100% | For over 4.5 | 3 of 1030% |
| 0 of 100% | For over 5.5 | 3 of 1030% |
| 0 of 100% | For over 6.5 | 2 of 1020% |
| 0 of 100% | For over 7.5 | 1 of 1010% |
| Corners against lines | ||
| 1 of 1010% | Against over 4.5 | 4 of 1040% |
| 1 of 1010% | Against over 5.5 | 2 of 1020% |
| 1 of 1010% | Against over 6.5 | 2 of 1020% |
| By half | ||
| 0.80 | 1H total | 3.20 |
| 0.30 | 1H for | 1.60 |
| 0.50 | 1H against | 1.60 |
| 0.90 | 2H total | 3.00 |
| 0.10 | 2H for | 1.10 |
| 0.80 | 2H against | 1.90 |
| Boldmere St Michaels | Stat | Loughborough University |
|---|---|---|
| Cards per game | ||
| 3.00 | Total cards | 2.70 |
| 1.20 | Cards received | 0.70 |
| 1.80 | Opponent cards | 2.00 |
| 2 of 1020% | Most cards | 1 of 1010% |
| Match card lines | ||
| 7 of 1070% | Over 2.5 | 7 of 1070% |
| 5 of 1050% | Over 3.5 | 3 of 1030% |
| 2 of 1020% | Over 4.5 | 0 of 100% |
| 1 of 1010% | Over 5.5 | 0 of 100% |
| Cards received lines | ||
| 6 of 1060% | Received 1+ | 7 of 1070% |
| 5 of 1050% | Received 2+ | 1 of 1010% |
| 1 of 1010% | Received 3+ | 0 of 100% |
| Opponent card lines | ||
| 8 of 1080% | Opponent 1+ | 9 of 1090% |
| 5 of 1050% | Opponent 2+ | 7 of 1070% |
| 2 of 1020% | Opponent 3+ | 3 of 1030% |
| By half | ||
| 1.40 | 1H total | 0.80 |
| 0.30 | 1H received | 0.30 |
| 1.40 | 2H total | 1.90 |
| 0.90 | 2H received | 0.50 |
| Boldmere St Michaels | Stat | Loughborough University |
|---|---|---|
| Shots & conversion | ||
| 3.20 | Total shots (match) | 11.60 |
| 1.20 | Total on target (match) | 5.50 |
| 167% | On-target conversion | 75% |
Boldmere St Michaels' last 10 games and Loughborough University's last 10 games in the Non League Div One: Northern Midlands this season. A rate such as "5 of 7" counts the games where it happened.
Stats as of 15 Nov 2026, 12:46 UK.
Lineups will appear here when they're predicted and confirmed.
Basford United
1–3
defeat
Sutton Coldfield Town
1–1
draw
Pens
Boston Town FC
1–1
draw
Long Eaton United FC
1–3
defeat
Wellingborough Town
1–4
defeat
Nuneaton Town
2–1
win
AFC Rushden & Diamonds
1–1
draw
Rugby Borough
0–1
defeat
Mickleover Sports
0–2
defeat
Corby Town
2–2
draw
Bedworth United
1–0
win
St Ives Town
1–0
win
Shepshed Dynamo
3–1
win
Bourne Town
1–1
draw
Barton Town Old Boys
1–3
defeat
Coventry United
3–1
win
Bedworth United
1–3
defeat
Bourne Town
2–1
win
Bourne Town
1–1
draw
Coleshill Town
3–3
draw
St Ives Town
0–0
draw
Pens
Barwell
2–1
win
Chasetown
1–0
win
Belper Town
0–1
defeat
Long Eaton United FC
2–0
win
Carlton Town
5–0
win
Gresley
3–0
win
Chasetown
1–2
defeat
Rushall Olympic
2–2
draw
Alvechurch
2–3
defeat
No games match these filters.
Carlton Town
2–2
draw
Rugby Borough
3–2
win
St Ives Town
2–1
win
Bedworth United
3–1
win
AFC Rushden & Diamonds
1–0
win
Stourbridge
0–2
defeat
Wellingborough Town
0–4
defeat
Coventry United
3–0
win
Barwell
3–0
win
Bourne Town
3–0
win
Nuneaton Town
1–3
defeat
Stamford
2–1
win
Long Eaton United FC
1–0
win
Basford United
4–1
win
Chasetown
4–3
win
Corby Town
3–3
draw
Mickleover Sports
6–0
win
Barwell
1–0
win
Grantham Town
2–4
defeat
Sutton Coldfield Town
2–3
defeat
Boston Town FC
1–2
defeat
Belper Town
0–0
draw
Eastwood Community
1–2
defeat
Boldmere St Michaels
2–1
win
Racing Club Warwick
0–1
defeat
Belper Town
2–1
win
Shepshed Dynamo
2–0
win
Rugby Borough
1–0
win
Carlton Town
3–0
win
AFC Rushden & Diamonds
3–0
win
No games match these filters.
Results before kick-off, most recent first, from each team's side. Open a game to see its full stats.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wellingborough Town |
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 50 | 18 | +32 | 50 | |
| 2 | Sutton Coldfield Town |
18 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 38 | 27 | +11 | 36 | |
| 3 | Loughborough University |
18 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 40 | 26 | +14 | 33 | |
| 4 | Carlton Town |
19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 31 | 29 | +2 | 32 | |
| 5 | Nuneaton Town |
18 | 10 | 1 | 7 | 30 | 20 | +10 | 31 | |
| 6 | Mickleover Sports |
17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 27 | 20 | +7 | 31 | |
| 7 | Shepshed Dynamo |
19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 39 | 23 | +16 | 30 | |
| 8 | Belper Town |
18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 23 | 17 | +6 | 27 | |
| 9 | Rugby Borough |
19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 27 | |
| 10 | Boldmere St Michaels |
18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 28 | 26 | +2 | 26 | |
| 11 | Bedworth United |
18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 24 | 19 | +5 | 25 | |
| 12 | Coventry United |
18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 25 | 29 | -4 | 25 | |
| 13 | Basford United |
18 | 7 | 2 | 9 | 32 | 36 | -4 | 23 | |
| 14 | AFC Rushden & Diamonds |
15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 28 | 22 | +6 | 22 | |
| 15 | Barwell |
19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 26 | 27 | -1 | 21 | |
| 16 | Grantham Town |
19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 32 | 37 | -5 | 21 | |
| 17 | Boston Town FC |
19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 27 | 37 | -10 | 21 | |
| 18 | Coleshill Town |
19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 33 | 39 | -6 | 19 | |
| 19 | Corby Town |
19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 23 | 38 | -15 | 17 | |
| 20 | Bourne Town |
15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 12 | |
| 21 | Long Eaton United FC |
18 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 23 | 38 | -15 | 12 | |
| 22 | St Ives Town |
19 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 19 | 54 | -35 | 8 |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wellingborough Town |
10 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 29 | 12 | +17 | 30 | |
| 2 | Sutton Coldfield Town |
9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 23 | 14 | +9 | 21 | |
| 3 | Boldmere St Michaels |
9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 10 | +7 | 19 | |
| 4 | Carlton Town |
9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 12 | +6 | 19 | |
| 5 | Loughborough University |
9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 20 | 12 | +8 | 18 | |
| 6 | Bedworth United |
9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 8 | +9 | 17 | |
| 7 | Mickleover Sports |
8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 8 | +6 | 17 | |
| 8 | Nuneaton Town |
9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 11 | +7 | 16 | |
| 9 | Shepshed Dynamo |
10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 16 | +8 | 15 | |
| 10 | Barwell |
10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 10 | +4 | 15 | |
| 11 | Rugby Borough |
11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 14 | |
| 12 | Grantham Town |
9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 13 | +2 | 12 | |
| 13 | Boston Town FC |
9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 12 | |
| 14 | Corby Town |
10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 15 | -3 | 11 | |
| 15 | Belper Town |
8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 10 | |
| 16 | Basford United |
10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 10 | |
| 17 | AFC Rushden & Diamonds |
5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 3 | +6 | 9 | |
| 18 | Coventry United |
9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 9 | |
| 19 | Coleshill Town |
10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 23 | -7 | 9 | |
| 20 | Bourne Town |
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 8 | |
| 21 | Long Eaton United FC |
9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 8 | |
| 22 | St Ives Town |
10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 7 |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wellingborough Town |
8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 21 | 6 | +15 | 20 | |
| 2 | Belper Town |
10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 15 | 6 | +9 | 17 | |
| 3 | Coventry United |
9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 14 | +1 | 16 | |
| 4 | Shepshed Dynamo |
9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 7 | +8 | 15 | |
| 5 | Loughborough University |
9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 14 | +6 | 15 | |
| 6 | Nuneaton Town |
9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 9 | +3 | 15 | |
| 7 | Sutton Coldfield Town |
9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 13 | +2 | 15 | |
| 8 | Mickleover Sports |
9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 12 | +1 | 14 | |
| 9 | Basford United |
8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 14 | +1 | 13 | |
| 10 | AFC Rushden & Diamonds |
10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 13 | |
| 11 | Rugby Borough |
8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 13 | |
| 12 | Carlton Town |
10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 13 | |
| 13 | Coleshill Town |
9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 17 | 16 | +1 | 10 | |
| 14 | Grantham Town |
10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 9 | |
| 15 | Boston Town FC |
10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 9 | |
| 16 | Bedworth United |
9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 8 | |
| 17 | Boldmere St Michaels |
9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 7 | |
| 18 | Barwell |
9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 6 | |
| 19 | Corby Town |
9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 23 | -12 | 6 | |
| 20 | Long Eaton United FC |
9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 4 | |
| 21 | Bourne Town |
8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 9 | 23 | -14 | 4 | |
| 22 | St Ives Town |
9 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 30 | -23 | 1 |
Non League Div One: Northern Midlands 2026/2027 standings as of 15 Nov 2026, 12:46 UK. Last 5 shows the most recent result first.
From the OddAlerts probability model before kick-off.
