Derby County vs Bolton Wanderers

Derby County host Bolton Wanderers in the England Championship on Friday 6 November 2026, kick-off 20:00. Our model makes Bolton Wanderers favourites at 40%, with a 26% chance of a draw. In their last 4 meetings, Bolton Wanderers won 1, Derby County won 2 and 1 was drawn.

England Championship Fri 6 Nov 2026, 20:00 Save

Derby County

20:00

6 Nov

Bolton Wanderers

Pride Park Stadium, Derby

Win probabilities

34%Derby County 26%Draw 40%Bolton Wanderers

Half-time result Pro

Derby County
Draw
Bolton Wanderers

Double chance

Derby County or draw 60%
Bolton Wanderers or draw 66%
Derby County or Bolton Wanderers 75%

Half-time / full-time Pro

Derby County/Derby County
Derby County/Draw
Derby County/Bolton Wanderers
Draw/Derby County
Draw/Draw
Draw/Bolton Wanderers
Bolton Wanderers/Derby County
Bolton Wanderers/Draw
Bolton Wanderers/Bolton Wanderers

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From the OddAlerts probability model before kick-off.

Derby County vs Bolton Wanderers predictionPredicted scores and goal markets from our match simulation

Form

Derby County L D L L D

Bolton Wanderers L L D W L

Last 5 results in all competitions before kick-off, most recent first.

Derby CountyBolton Wanderers

0% Win rate 20%

0.80 Goals scored 1.40

2.20 Goals conceded 2.20

80% Both teams score 80%

40% Over 2.5 goals 80%

0% Clean sheets 20%

40% Scored first 20%

1.06 xG for 1.66

2.17 xG against 2.40

9.20 Match corners 12.60

Championship matches only, before kick-off: 5 each.

10% Win rate 30%

0.80 Goals scored 1.60

1.80 Goals conceded 2.40

60% Both teams score 70%

40% Over 2.5 goals 80%

10% Clean sheets 20%

40% Scored first 30%

1.02 xG for 1.46

1.99 xG against 2.19

10.80 Match corners 11.20

Championship matches only, before kick-off: 10 each.

8% Win rate 31%

0.85 Goals scored 1.38

1.92 Goals conceded 2.00

62% Both teams score 62%

54% Over 2.5 goals 69%

8% Clean sheets 23%

38% Scored first 31%

1.10 xG for 1.35

2.07 xG against 2.03

10.92 Match corners 11.23

Championship matches only, before kick-off: 13 each.

Derby County at home and Bolton Wanderers away this season.

0% Win rate 33%

0.67 Goals scored 1.50

1.67 Goals conceded 1.83

50% Both teams score 50%

50% Over 2.5 goals 67%

0% Clean sheets 33%

33% Scored first 33%

1.22 xG for 1.12

1.90 xG against 1.96

12.00 Match corners 10.00

Championship matches only, before kick-off: 6 each.

Bolton Wanderers vs Derby County head to head

1 Bolton Wanderers wins 1 draws 2 Derby County wins

1.8 goals per game 50% both teams scored 50% over 2.5 goals

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Win probabilities

Half-time result Pro

Double chance

Half-time / full-time Pro

Both teams to score

First to score Pro

Goals 0.5 Pro

Goals 1.5

Goals 2.5

Goals 3.5

Goals 4.5 Pro

First-half goal Pro

Derby County goals 0.5 Pro

Derby County goals 1.5 Pro

Derby County goals 2.5 Pro

Derby County goals 3.5 Pro

Bolton Wanderers goals 0.5 Pro

Bolton Wanderers goals 1.5 Pro

Bolton Wanderers goals 2.5 Pro

Bolton Wanderers goals 3.5 Pro

Corners 4 Pro

Corners 5 Pro

Corners 6 Pro

Corners 7 Pro

Corners 8 Pro

Corners 9 Pro

Corners 10 Pro

Corners 11 Pro

Corners 10.5 Pro

Most likely scores Pro

Form

Bolton Wanderers vs Derby County head to head