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Brest vs Paris

Brest host Paris in the France Ligue 1 on Friday 27 November 2026, kick-off 19:45. Our model makes Brest favourites at 41%, with a 27% chance of a draw. In their last 2 meetings, Brest won 0, Paris won 2 and 0 were drawn.

France Ligue 1 Save
Brest
19:45
27 Nov
Paris
Stade Francis-Le Ble, Brest

Brest vs Paris preview

Brest have scored 2.00 goals a game and conceded 1.20 across their last 5 home games in the Ligue 1 this season, while Paris have scored 1.00 and conceded 1.00 across their last 5 away games. Both teams have scored in 3 of Brest's last 5 home games and 2 of Paris' last 5 away games. Over 9.5 corners has landed in 1 of Brest's last 5 home games and 1 of Paris' last 5 away games. Brest's last 5 home games have averaged 8.4 corners and Paris' last 5 away games 8.4. Stats as of 13 Nov 2026, 00:17 UK.

  • Goals scored Brest: 2.00 Paris: 1.00
  • Goals conceded Brest: 1.20 Paris: 1.00
  • Both teams scored Brest: 3 of 560% Paris: 2 of 540%
  • Over 2.5 goals Brest: 3 of 560% Paris: 2 of 540%
  • Match corners Brest: 8.40 Paris: 8.40
  • Match cards Brest: 4.60 Paris: 4.20

Brest's last 5 home games and Paris' last 5 away games in the Ligue 1 this season.

Win probabilities

41%Brest 27%Draw 33%Paris

From the OddAlerts probability model. See every market

Brest vs Paris: questions and answers

When is Brest vs Paris?

Brest vs Paris kicks off at 19:45 UK time on Friday 27 November 2026 in the Ligue 1, at Stade Francis-Le Ble, Brest.

Who is the favourite in Brest vs Paris?

The OddAlerts probability model gives Brest a 41% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Paris 33%.

How many goals do Brest and Paris games have?

Brest have scored 2.00 goals a game and conceded 1.20 across their last 5 home games in the Ligue 1 this season, while Paris have scored 1.00 and conceded 1.00 across their last 5 away games. Both teams have scored in 3 of Brest's last 5 home games and 2 of Paris' last 5 away games.

Where are Brest and Paris in the Ligue 1 table?

Brest are 9th with 15 points from 10 games. Paris are 3rd with 20 points from 10 games.

Brest vs Paris stats

Brest2W 1D 2L · 5 home games
Paris2W 1D 2L · 5 away games
Brest vs Paris general stats: Brest's last 5 home games and Paris' last 5 away games in the Ligue 1 this season
BrestStatParis
Match outcomes
2 of 540% Win 2 of 540%
1 of 520% Draw 1 of 520%
2 of 540% Loss 2 of 540%
7 Points 7
1.40 Points per game 1.40
4 Goal difference 0
Expected goals
2.03 xG per game 1.19
0.91 xGA per game 0.84
-0.16 xG performance -0.94
Possession & attacks
45% Possession 53%
36.60 Dangerous attacks 31.80
38.80 Dangerous attacks against 54.00
Shots
17.60 Shots for 11.80
9.80 Shots against 9.40
6.60 On target for 3.00
3.20 On target against 3.40
11% Shot conversion 8%
38% On-target accuracy 25%
Tackles & fouls
15.80 Tackles 17.60
12.20 Fouls committed 13.60
13.00 Fouls won 14.00
2.40 Offsides 1.40

Brest's last 5 home games and Paris' last 5 away games in the Ligue 1 this season. A rate such as "5 of 7" counts the games where it happened.

Stats as of 13 Nov 2026, 00:17 UK.

Brest vs Paris lineups

Lineups will appear here when they're predicted and confirmed. Until then, see key players.

Brest vs Paris players

Brest

Top scorer
Ludovic Ajorque 5 goals in 10 games
Top creator
Joris Chotard 2 assists in 10 games

In form

  1. Ludovic Ajorque Striker 7.32 Aerials 97% Finishing 91% Big chances 90%
  2. Joris Chotard Defensive midfielder 6.99 Interceptions 94% Key passes 78% Final third 75%
  3. Kamory Doumbia Attacking midfielder 6.94 Recoveries 95% Tackles 88% xG 79%
  4. Hugo Magnetti Defensive midfielder 6.91 Recoveries 86% Ball security 79% Interceptions 73%
  5. R. Le Guen Centre-back 6.88 Duel % 98% xG 96% Aerial % 95%

Paris

Top scorer
Lassine Sinayoko 9 goals in 10 games
Top creator
Lassine Sinayoko 5 assists in 10 games

In form

  1. Lassine Sinayoko Striker 7.72 Finishing 97% Assists 96% Key passes 96%
  2. Pablo Pagis Attacking midfielder 7.37 Final third 85% Assists 83% Key passes 79%
  3. Maxime Lopez Defensive midfielder 7.16 Passes 96% Touches 95% Pass % 93%
  4. Ilan Kebbal Winger 7.16 Final third 95% Recoveries 95% Key passes 88%
  5. Pierre Lees-Melou Defensive midfielder 7.07 Tackles 84% Ball security 80% Duel % 77%

Form rating weights recent games most. Percentages compare each player with others in his role.

Player rankings

  1. 1 Paris Lassine Sinayoko 1.62
  2. 2 Brest Pathé Mboup 1.26
  3. 3 Brest Ludovic Ajorque 1.09
  4. 4 Paris Luca Koleosho 0.98
  5. 5 Paris Pablo Pagis 0.89

Per 90 minutes, weighted towards recent games. Goalkeepers left out.

Explore the player data hubRank and compare players on every stat, across every top league

Brest vs Paris form and stats

Brest W W L D W
Paris W W L W L

Last 5 results in all competitions before kick-off, most recent first.

BrestParis
60% Win rate 60%
2.20 Goals scored 1.80
0.80 Goals conceded 1.40
60% Both teams score 60%
40% Over 2.5 goals 60%
40% Clean sheets 20%
100% Scored first 80%
1.56 xG for 1.40
1.35 xG against 1.21
9.00 Match corners 7.40

Ligue 1 matches only, before kick-off: 5 each.

Brest vs Paris head to head

0 Brest wins 0 draws 2 Paris wins
3.5 goals per game 50% both teams scored 100% over 2.5 goals
  1. 6 Mar 2027Ligue 1 Paris 00:00 Brest
  2. 27 Nov 2026Ligue 1 Brest 19:45 Paris
  3. 3 May 2026Ligue 1 Paris 4–0 Brest
  4. 14 Sep 2025Ligue 1 Brest 1–2 Paris

Brest vs Paris standings

Ligue 1 table
# Team P W D L GF GA GD Pts Last 5
1 Paris Saint Germain 107212210 +12 23
2 LOSC Lille 10631147 +7 21
3 Paris 106221710 +7 20
4 Olympique Marseille 106042214 +8 18
5 Olympique Lyonnais 10523159 +6 17
6 Nice 105231512 +3 17
7 Monaco 104421311 +2 16
8 Rennes 105142121 0 16
9 Brest 104331812 +6 15
10 Lorient 1043398 +1 15
11 Lens 104151715 +2 13
12 Toulouse 103431514 +1 13
13 Strasbourg 103161822 -4 10
14 Auxerre 103161324 -11 10
15 Le Mans 101541219 -7 8
16 Angers SCO 10226919 -10 8
17 Troyes 10226717 -10 8
18 Le Havre 10028922 -13 2
  • Brest
  • Paris
  • Relegation
Full Ligue 1 table

Ligue 1 2026/2027 standings as of 13 Nov 2026, 00:17 UK. Last 5 shows the most recent result first.

Brest vs Paris odds

Best price across 4 bookmakers, how it has moved since it opened, and our model's chance for each selection.

Match Result
Selection Best price Since opening Model
Brest 3.21Pinnacle No changefrom 3.21 41%
Draw 3.741xBet Drifted 1%from 3.70 27%
Paris 2.29Pinnacle No changefrom 2.29 33%
Both Teams to Score
Selection Best price Since opening Model
BTTS Yes 1.62Betano Drifted 1%from 1.60 56%
BTTS No 2.20Bet365 No changefrom 2.20 44%
Total Goals
Selection Best price Since opening Model
Over 1.5 1.26Betano Drifted 1%from 1.25 76%
Under 1.5 4.00Bet365 Shortened 8%from 4.33 24%
Over 2.5 1.871xBet Drifted 4%from 1.80 52%
Under 2.5 2.081xBet Shortened 5%from 2.18 48%
Over 3.5 3.00Bet365 Drifted 9%from 2.75 30%
Under 3.5 1.40Betano Shortened 3%from 1.44 70%

Prices are decimal. Updated 13 Nov, 00:04. Gamble responsibly, 18+.

Win probabilities

41%Brest 27%Draw 33%Paris
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From the OddAlerts probability model before kick-off.