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Manchester City vs Brighton & Hove Albion

Manchester City host Brighton & Hove Albion in the England Carabao Cup on Wednesday 28 October 2026, kick-off 19:30. Our model makes Manchester City favourites at 59%, with a 21% chance of a draw. In their last 12 meetings, Brighton & Hove Albion won 3, Manchester City won 6 and 3 were drawn.

England Carabao Cup Save
Manchester City
19:30
28 Oct
Brighton & Hove Albion
Etihad Stadium, Manchester

Win probabilities

59%Manchester City 21%Draw 21%Brighton & Hove Albion
Unlock every model market, including correct scores, half-time/full-time, team goals and corners, with Pro

From the OddAlerts probability model before kick-off.

Form

Manchester City W W W W W
Brighton & Hove Albion W W W W D
Manchester CityBrighton & Hove Albion
100% Win rate 100%
5.00 Goals scored 3.00
0.00 Goals conceded 2.00
0% Both teams score 100%
100% Over 2.5 goals 100%
100% Clean sheets 0%
100% Scored first 0%
1.45 xG for 1.89
0.16 xG against 0.86
5.00 Match corners 7.00

From 1 and 1 matches.

Brighton & Hove Albion vs Manchester City head to head

3 Brighton & Hove Albion wins 3 draws 6 Manchester City wins
3.3 goals per game 75% both teams scored 75% over 2.5 goals
  1. 23 Jan 2027Premier League Brighton & Hove Albion 15:00 Manchester City
  2. 31 Oct 2026Premier League Manchester City 15:00 Brighton & Hove Albion
  3. 28 Oct 2026Carabao Cup Manchester City 19:30 Brighton & Hove Albion
  4. 7 Jan 2026Premier League Manchester City 1–1 Brighton & Hove Albion
  5. 31 Aug 2025Premier League Brighton & Hove Albion 2–1 Manchester City
  6. 15 Mar 2025Premier League Manchester City 2–2 Brighton & Hove Albion
  7. 9 Nov 2024Premier League Brighton & Hove Albion 2–1 Manchester City
  8. 25 Apr 2024Premier League Brighton & Hove Albion 0–4 Manchester City
  9. 21 Oct 2023Premier League Manchester City 2–1 Brighton & Hove Albion
  10. 24 May 2023Premier League Brighton & Hove Albion 1–1 Manchester City
  11. 22 Oct 2022Premier League Manchester City 3–1 Brighton & Hove Albion
  12. 20 Apr 2022Premier League Manchester City 3–0 Brighton & Hove Albion
  13. 23 Oct 2021Premier League Brighton & Hove Albion 1–4 Manchester City
  14. 18 May 2021Premier League Brighton & Hove Albion 3–2 Manchester City
  15. 13 Jan 2021Premier League Manchester City 1–0 Brighton & Hove Albion