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Capljina
Sloboda Tuzla
Capljina have scored 1.57 goals a game and conceded 1.57 across their last 7 home games in the First League: FBiH this season, while Sloboda Tuzla have scored 1.00 and conceded 1.00 across their last 7 away games. Both teams have scored in 6 of Capljina's last 7 home games and 3 of Sloboda Tuzla's last 7 away games. Capljina's last 7 home games have averaged 7.3 corners and Sloboda Tuzla's last 7 away games 7.9. Stats as of 13 Nov 2026, 17:13 UK.
Capljina's last 7 home games and Sloboda Tuzla's last 7 away games in the First League: FBiH this season.
From the OddAlerts probability model. See every market
Capljina vs Sloboda Tuzla kicks off at 12:00 UK time on Sunday 15 November 2026 in the First League: FBiH, at Stadion Bjelave, Čapljina.
The OddAlerts probability model gives Capljina a 30% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Sloboda Tuzla 43%.
Capljina have scored 1.57 goals a game and conceded 1.57 across their last 7 home games in the First League: FBiH this season, while Sloboda Tuzla have scored 1.00 and conceded 1.00 across their last 7 away games. Both teams have scored in 6 of Capljina's last 7 home games and 3 of Sloboda Tuzla's last 7 away games.
Capljina are 16th with 8 points from 13 games. Sloboda Tuzla are 1st with 27 points from 13 games.
Capljina2W 2D 3L · 7 home games
Sloboda Tuzla2W 3D 2L · 7 away games
| Capljina | Stat | Sloboda Tuzla |
|---|---|---|
| Match outcomes | ||
| 2 of 729% | Win | 2 of 729% |
| 2 of 729% | Draw | 3 of 743% |
| 3 of 743% | Loss | 2 of 729% |
| 8 | Points | 9 |
| 1.14 | Points per game | 1.29 |
| 0 | Goal difference | 0 |
| Expected goals | ||
| 0.00 | xG per game | 0.00 |
| 0.00 | xGA per game | 0.00 |
| 11.00 | xG performance | 7.00 |
| Possession & attacks | ||
| 44% | Possession | 32% |
| 28.86 | Dangerous attacks | 51.14 |
| 25.71 | Dangerous attacks against | 53.57 |
| Shots | ||
| 8.29 | Shots for | 7.43 |
| 7.14 | Shots against | 9.29 |
| 3.71 | On target for | 2.57 |
| 3.86 | On target against | 2.57 |
| 19% | Shot conversion | 13% |
| 45% | On-target accuracy | 35% |
| Tackles & fouls | ||
| 0.00 | Tackles | 0.00 |
| 0.00 | Fouls committed | 11.00 |
| 0.00 | Fouls won | 16.86 |
| 0.00 | Offsides | 1.29 |
| Capljina | Stat | Sloboda Tuzla |
|---|---|---|
| Goals overview | ||
| 3.14 | Goals per game (total) | 2.00 |
| 11 | Goals scored | 7 |
| 1.57 | Scored per game | 1.00 |
| 11 | Goals conceded | 7 |
| 1.57 | Conceded per game | 1.00 |
| Outcomes | ||
| 0 of 70% | Scored first | 4 of 757% |
| 1 of 714% | Failed to score | 3 of 743% |
| 0 of 70% | Clean sheet | 3 of 743% |
| 6 of 786% | BTTS | 3 of 743% |
| 5 of 771% | BTTS & over 2.5 | 2 of 729% |
| 6 of 786% | BTTS or over 2.5 | 3 of 743% |
| Total goals | ||
| 7 of 7100% | Over 0.5 | 5 of 771% |
| 6 of 786% | Over 1.5 | 5 of 771% |
| 5 of 771% | Over 2.5 | 2 of 729% |
| 2 of 729% | Over 3.5 | 1 of 714% |
| Goals scored | ||
| 6 of 786% | Scored 1+ | 4 of 757% |
| 3 of 743% | Scored 2+ | 3 of 743% |
| 1 of 714% | Scored 3+ | 0 of 70% |
| Goals conceded | ||
| 7 of 7100% | Conceded 1+ | 4 of 757% |
| 4 of 757% | Conceded 2+ | 2 of 729% |
| 0 of 70% | Conceded 3+ | 1 of 714% |
| Capljina | Stat | Sloboda Tuzla |
|---|---|---|
| Half-time result | ||
| 0 of 70% | Winning at HT | 2 of 729% |
| 6 of 786% | Drawing at HT | 5 of 771% |
| 1 of 714% | Losing at HT | 0 of 70% |
| Capljina | Stat | Sloboda Tuzla |
|---|---|---|
| Corners per game | ||
| 7.29 | Total corners | 7.86 |
| 3.57 | Corners for | 3.29 |
| 3.71 | Corners against | 4.57 |
| 2 of 729% | Most corners | 2 of 729% |
| Match corner lines | ||
| 4 of 757% | Over 7.5 | 3 of 743% |
| 3 of 743% | Over 8.5 | 3 of 743% |
| 2 of 729% | Over 9.5 | 2 of 729% |
| 1 of 714% | Over 10.5 | 2 of 729% |
| 1 of 714% | Over 11.5 | 1 of 714% |
| 1 of 714% | Over 12.5 | 1 of 714% |
| Corners for lines | ||
| 2 of 729% | For over 4.5 | 2 of 729% |
| 2 of 729% | For over 5.5 | 1 of 714% |
| 1 of 714% | For over 6.5 | 0 of 70% |
| 1 of 714% | For over 7.5 | 0 of 70% |
| Corners against lines | ||
| 2 of 729% | Against over 4.5 | 4 of 757% |
| 2 of 729% | Against over 5.5 | 4 of 757% |
| 1 of 714% | Against over 6.5 | 1 of 714% |
| By half | ||
| 3.29 | 1H total | 4.71 |
| 1.57 | 1H for | 2.14 |
| 1.71 | 1H against | 2.57 |
| 4.00 | 2H total | 3.14 |
| 2.00 | 2H for | 1.14 |
| 2.00 | 2H against | 2.00 |
| Capljina | Stat | Sloboda Tuzla |
|---|---|---|
| Cards per game | ||
| 4.43 | Total cards | 4.43 |
| 1.43 | Cards received | 2.29 |
| 3.00 | Opponent cards | 2.14 |
| 1 of 714% | Most cards | 3 of 743% |
| Match card lines | ||
| 5 of 771% | Over 2.5 | 6 of 786% |
| 4 of 757% | Over 3.5 | 5 of 771% |
| 4 of 757% | Over 4.5 | 4 of 757% |
| 4 of 757% | Over 5.5 | 2 of 729% |
| Cards received lines | ||
| 5 of 771% | Received 1+ | 6 of 786% |
| 3 of 743% | Received 2+ | 5 of 771% |
| 2 of 729% | Received 3+ | 4 of 757% |
| Opponent card lines | ||
| 6 of 786% | Opponent 1+ | 5 of 771% |
| 6 of 786% | Opponent 2+ | 5 of 771% |
| 4 of 757% | Opponent 3+ | 3 of 743% |
| By half | ||
| 0.57 | 1H total | 1.43 |
| 0.14 | 1H received | 0.71 |
| 1.57 | 2H total | 3.00 |
| 0.43 | 2H received | 1.57 |
| Capljina | Stat | Sloboda Tuzla |
|---|---|---|
| Shots & conversion | ||
| 15.43 | Total shots (match) | 16.71 |
| 7.57 | Total on target (match) | 5.14 |
| 42% | On-target conversion | 39% |
Capljina's last 7 home games and Sloboda Tuzla's last 7 away games in the First League: FBiH this season. A rate such as "5 of 7" counts the games where it happened.
Capljina1W 1D 8L · 10 games
Sloboda Tuzla7W 2D 1L · 10 games
| Capljina | Stat | Sloboda Tuzla |
|---|---|---|
| Match outcomes | ||
| 1 of 1010% | Win | 7 of 1070% |
| 1 of 1010% | Draw | 2 of 1020% |
| 8 of 1080% | Loss | 1 of 1010% |
| 4 | Points | 23 |
| 0.40 | Points per game | 2.30 |
| -13 | Goal difference | 11 |
| Expected goals | ||
| 0.00 | xG per game | 0.00 |
| 0.00 | xGA per game | 0.00 |
| 8.00 | xG performance | 18.00 |
| Possession & attacks | ||
| 30% | Possession | 29% |
| 27.90 | Dangerous attacks | 63.30 |
| 25.20 | Dangerous attacks against | 55.80 |
| Shots | ||
| 5.90 | Shots for | 9.00 |
| 5.70 | Shots against | 8.30 |
| 2.80 | On target for | 3.50 |
| 2.70 | On target against | 2.00 |
| 14% | Shot conversion | 20% |
| 47% | On-target accuracy | 39% |
| Tackles & fouls | ||
| 0.00 | Tackles | 0.00 |
| 0.90 | Fouls committed | 13.80 |
| 1.10 | Fouls won | 18.10 |
| 0.20 | Offsides | 1.70 |
| Capljina | Stat | Sloboda Tuzla |
|---|---|---|
| Goals overview | ||
| 2.90 | Goals per game (total) | 2.50 |
| 8 | Goals scored | 18 |
| 0.80 | Scored per game | 1.80 |
| 21 | Goals conceded | 7 |
| 2.10 | Conceded per game | 0.70 |
| Outcomes | ||
| 0 of 100% | Scored first | 7 of 1070% |
| 5 of 1050% | Failed to score | 2 of 1020% |
| 0 of 100% | Clean sheet | 5 of 1050% |
| 5 of 1050% | BTTS | 4 of 1040% |
| 4 of 1040% | BTTS & over 2.5 | 3 of 1030% |
| 7 of 1070% | BTTS or over 2.5 | 5 of 1050% |
| Total goals | ||
| 10 of 10100% | Over 0.5 | 9 of 1090% |
| 7 of 1070% | Over 1.5 | 8 of 1080% |
| 6 of 1060% | Over 2.5 | 4 of 1040% |
| 3 of 1030% | Over 3.5 | 2 of 1020% |
| Goals scored | ||
| 5 of 1050% | Scored 1+ | 8 of 1080% |
| 1 of 1010% | Scored 2+ | 6 of 1060% |
| 1 of 1010% | Scored 3+ | 3 of 1030% |
| Goals conceded | ||
| 10 of 10100% | Conceded 1+ | 5 of 1050% |
| 6 of 1060% | Conceded 2+ | 2 of 1020% |
| 3 of 1030% | Conceded 3+ | 0 of 100% |
| Capljina | Stat | Sloboda Tuzla |
|---|---|---|
| Half-time result | ||
| 0 of 100% | Winning at HT | 5 of 1050% |
| 7 of 1070% | Drawing at HT | 5 of 1050% |
| 3 of 1030% | Losing at HT | 0 of 100% |
| Capljina | Stat | Sloboda Tuzla |
|---|---|---|
| Corners per game | ||
| 7.30 | Total corners | 7.80 |
| 3.20 | Corners for | 3.70 |
| 4.10 | Corners against | 4.10 |
| 2 of 1020% | Most corners | 3 of 1030% |
| Match corner lines | ||
| 6 of 1060% | Over 7.5 | 5 of 1050% |
| 5 of 1050% | Over 8.5 | 4 of 1040% |
| 4 of 1040% | Over 9.5 | 2 of 1020% |
| 3 of 1030% | Over 10.5 | 2 of 1020% |
| 3 of 1030% | Over 11.5 | 2 of 1020% |
| 3 of 1030% | Over 12.5 | 1 of 1010% |
| Corners for lines | ||
| 3 of 1030% | For over 4.5 | 4 of 1040% |
| 3 of 1030% | For over 5.5 | 3 of 1030% |
| 1 of 1010% | For over 6.5 | 0 of 100% |
| 1 of 1010% | For over 7.5 | 0 of 100% |
| Corners against lines | ||
| 4 of 1040% | Against over 4.5 | 4 of 1040% |
| 4 of 1040% | Against over 5.5 | 4 of 1040% |
| 3 of 1030% | Against over 6.5 | 1 of 1010% |
| By half | ||
| 3.90 | 1H total | 3.60 |
| 1.20 | 1H for | 1.80 |
| 2.70 | 1H against | 1.80 |
| 3.40 | 2H total | 4.20 |
| 2.00 | 2H for | 1.90 |
| 1.40 | 2H against | 2.30 |
| Capljina | Stat | Sloboda Tuzla |
|---|---|---|
| Cards per game | ||
| 3.30 | Total cards | 4.90 |
| 1.30 | Cards received | 2.70 |
| 2.00 | Opponent cards | 2.20 |
| 1 of 1010% | Most cards | 5 of 1050% |
| Match card lines | ||
| 6 of 1060% | Over 2.5 | 9 of 1090% |
| 4 of 1040% | Over 3.5 | 8 of 1080% |
| 4 of 1040% | Over 4.5 | 6 of 1060% |
| 4 of 1040% | Over 5.5 | 5 of 1050% |
| Cards received lines | ||
| 6 of 1060% | Received 1+ | 9 of 1090% |
| 3 of 1030% | Received 2+ | 8 of 1080% |
| 2 of 1020% | Received 3+ | 6 of 1060% |
| Opponent card lines | ||
| 6 of 1060% | Opponent 1+ | 8 of 1080% |
| 6 of 1060% | Opponent 2+ | 7 of 1070% |
| 4 of 1040% | Opponent 3+ | 5 of 1050% |
| By half | ||
| 0.20 | 1H total | 1.50 |
| 0.10 | 1H received | 0.70 |
| 1.90 | 2H total | 3.40 |
| 0.60 | 2H received | 2.00 |
| Capljina | Stat | Sloboda Tuzla |
|---|---|---|
| Shots & conversion | ||
| 11.60 | Total shots (match) | 17.30 |
| 5.50 | Total on target (match) | 5.50 |
| 29% | On-target conversion | 51% |
Capljina's last 10 games and Sloboda Tuzla's last 10 games in the First League: FBiH this season. A rate such as "5 of 7" counts the games where it happened.
Stats as of 13 Nov 2026, 17:13 UK.
Lineups will appear here when they're predicted and confirmed.
GOSK Gabela
0–3
defeat
Radnik Hadžići
1–2
defeat
Slavija
1–0
win
Zvijezda Gradačac
1–4
defeat
TOSK Tesanj
1–1
draw
Buducnost Banovici
0–1
defeat
Tomislav
4–2
win
Vitez
0–1
defeat
Rudar Kakanj
1–2
defeat
Posusje
0–1
defeat
Igman Konjic
0–4
defeat
Bratstvo Gracanica
2–1
win
Stupčanica Olovo
0–5
defeat
Jedinstvo Bihac
2–2
draw
Jedinstvo Bihac
2–1
win
Jedinstvo Bihac
1–3
defeat
Radnik Bijeljina
1–2
defeat
Travnik
2–0
win
Slaven Zivinice
5–1
win
TOSK Tesanj
3–3
draw
Buducnost Banovici
2–1
win
Bratstvo Gracanica
1–2
defeat
Zvijezda Gradačac
3–1
win
Jedinstvo Bihac
0–1
defeat
Orasje
2–0
win
Gorazde
0–3
defeat
Vis Kosova
3–2
win
Posusje
1–3
defeat
Igman Konjic
1–0
win
Radnik Hadžići
0–0
draw
No games match these filters.
Igman Konjic
3–1
win
Bratstvo Gracanica
2–1
win
Zeljeznicar
0–1
defeat
Stupčanica Olovo
1–0
win
Jedinstvo Bihac
0–0
draw
Travnik
2–0
win
Posusje
0–2
defeat
GOSK Gabela
2–0
win
Radnik Hadžići
3–0
win
Zvijezda Gradačac
1–1
draw
TOSK Tesanj
4–2
win
Buducnost Banovici
2–3
defeat
Tomislav
3–0
win
Vitez
0–0
draw
Bratstvo Gracanica
0–1
defeat
Zvijezda '09 Brgule
6–0
win
TOSK Tesanj
2–0
win
Vitez
2–1
win
Jedinstvo Bihac
1–1
draw
Stupčanica Olovo
1–1
draw
Bratstvo Gracanica
1–0
win
Buducnost Banovici
1–1
draw
Igman Konjic
0–1
defeat
Tomislav
3–1
win
Travnik
1–0
win
GOSK Gabela
2–1
win
Celik
1–2
defeat
Radnik Hadžići
2–3
defeat
Tuzla City
1–0
win
TOSK Tesanj
0–1
defeat
No games match these filters.
Results before kick-off, most recent first, from each team's side. Open a game to see its full stats.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sloboda Tuzla |
13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 23 | 10 | +13 | 27 | |
| 2 | Posusje |
13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 10 | +8 | 27 | |
| 3 | Travnik |
13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 23 | 14 | +9 | 26 | |
| 4 | Stupčanica Olovo |
13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 30 | 15 | +15 | 23 | |
| 5 | GOSK Gabela |
13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 19 | 10 | +9 | 23 | |
| 6 | Igman Konjic |
13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 16 | 13 | +3 | 22 | |
| 7 | TOSK Tesanj |
13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 20 | 16 | +4 | 20 | |
| 8 | Jedinstvo Bihac |
13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 21 | 18 | +3 | 19 | |
| 9 | Vitez |
13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 16 | |
| 10 | Zvijezda Gradačac |
13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 19 | 12 | +7 | 15 | |
| 11 | Bratstvo Gracanica |
13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 15 | |
| 12 | Radnik Hadžići |
13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 14 | |
| 13 | Buducnost Banovici |
13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 13 | |
| 14 | Tomislav |
13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 11 | |
| 15 | Rudar Kakanj |
13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 26 | -18 | 9 | |
| 16 | Capljina |
13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 12 | 29 | -17 | 8 |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sloboda Tuzla |
6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 3 | +13 | 18 | |
| 2 | Igman Konjic |
7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 5 | +5 | 16 | |
| 3 | Posusje |
6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | +5 | 15 | |
| 4 | Stupčanica Olovo |
6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 19 | 6 | +13 | 14 | |
| 5 | Travnik |
6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 3 | +10 | 14 | |
| 6 | TOSK Tesanj |
7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 6 | +6 | 13 | |
| 7 | GOSK Gabela |
6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 5 | +6 | 12 | |
| 8 | Buducnost Banovici |
7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 8 | +2 | 12 | |
| 9 | Vitez |
7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 7 | +2 | 12 | |
| 10 | Zvijezda Gradačac |
6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 6 | +6 | 11 | |
| 11 | Jedinstvo Bihac |
6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 5 | +7 | 10 | |
| 12 | Tomislav |
7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 10 | |
| 13 | Bratstvo Gracanica |
7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 9 | |
| 14 | Capljina |
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 8 | |
| 15 | Radnik Hadžići |
6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 7 | |
| 16 | Rudar Kakanj |
7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 12 | -8 | 5 |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Posusje |
7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 8 | +3 | 12 | |
| 2 | Travnik |
7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 12 | |
| 3 | GOSK Gabela |
7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 5 | +3 | 11 | |
| 4 | Stupčanica Olovo |
7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 9 | +2 | 9 | |
| 5 | Sloboda Tuzla |
7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 9 | |
| 6 | Jedinstvo Bihac |
7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 9 | |
| 7 | TOSK Tesanj |
6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 7 | |
| 8 | Radnik Hadžići |
7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 7 | |
| 9 | Bratstvo Gracanica |
6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 6 | |
| 10 | Igman Konjic |
6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 6 | |
| 11 | Zvijezda Gradačac |
7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 6 | +1 | 4 | |
| 12 | Vitez |
6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 4 | |
| 13 | Rudar Kakanj |
6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 14 | -10 | 4 | |
| 14 | Tomislav |
6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 17 | -11 | 1 | |
| 15 | Buducnost Banovici |
6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 16 | -12 | 1 | |
| 16 | Capljina |
6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 18 | -17 | 0 |
First League: FBiH 2026/2027 standings as of 13 Nov 2026, 17:13 UK. Last 5 shows the most recent result first.
Best price across 3 bookmakers, how it has moved since it opened, and our model's chance for each selection.
| Selection | Best price | Since opening | Model |
|---|---|---|---|
| Capljina | 5.50Bet365 | Drifted 53%from 3.60 | 30% |
| Draw | 3.60Bet365 | Drifted 6%from 3.40 | 28% |
| Sloboda Tuzla | 2.10Kambi Group | No changefrom 2.10 | 43% |
| Selection | Best price | Since opening | Model |
|---|---|---|---|
| Capljina or Draw | 2.30Bet365 | Drifted 28%from 1.80 | 57% |
| Draw or Sloboda Tuzla | 1.10Bet365 | Shortened 10%from 1.22 | 70% |
| Capljina or Sloboda Tuzla | 1.22Bet365 | Shortened 2%from 1.25 | 73% |
| Selection | Best price | Since opening | Model |
|---|---|---|---|
| Capljina | 4.33Bet365 | Drifted 58%from 2.75 | 41% |
| Sloboda Tuzla | 1.20Bet365 | Shortened 14%from 1.40 | 59% |
| Selection | Best price | Since opening | Model |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 1.951xBet | Drifted 5%from 1.86 | 51% |
| BTTS No | 1.851xBet | Shortened 5%from 1.95 | 49% |
| Selection | Best price | Since opening | Model |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 1.30Kambi Group | Shortened 2%from 1.33 | 71% |
| Under 1.5 | 3.301xBet | Drifted 3%from 3.20 | 29% |
| Over 2.5 | 1.98Kambi Group | Shortened 2%from 2.02 | 46% |
| Under 2.5 | 1.85Bet365 | No changefrom 1.85 | 54% |
| Over 3.5 | 3.35Kambi Group | Shortened 4%from 3.50 | 25% |
| Under 3.5 | 1.291xBet | Drifted 1%from 1.28 | 75% |
| Selection | Best price | Since opening | Model |
|---|---|---|---|
| Capljina | 5.50Bet365 | Drifted 38%from 4.00 | – |
| Draw | 2.20Bet365 | No changefrom 2.20 | – |
| Sloboda Tuzla | 2.10Bet365 | Shortened 16%from 2.50 | – |
Prices are decimal. Updated 13 Nov, 11:58. Gamble responsibly, 18+.
From the OddAlerts probability model before kick-off.
