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Nottingham Forest vs Chelsea

Nottingham Forest host Chelsea in the England Premier League on Friday 27 November 2026, kick-off 20:00. Our model makes Chelsea favourites at 40%, with a 24% chance of a draw. In their last 8 meetings, Chelsea won 3, Nottingham Forest won 2 and 3 were drawn.

England Premier League Save
Nottingham Forest
20:00
27 Nov
Chelsea
The City Ground, Nottingham

Nottingham Forest vs Chelsea preview

Nottingham Forest have scored 0.60 goals a game and conceded 0.80 across their last 5 home games in the Premier League this season, while Chelsea have scored 1.20 and conceded 1.60 across their last 5 away games. Both teams have scored in 1 of Nottingham Forest's last 5 home games and 2 of Chelsea's last 5 away games. Nottingham Forest have failed to score in 4 of their last 5 home games. Over 3.5 cards has landed in 4 of Chelsea's last 5 away games. Nottingham Forest's last 5 home games have averaged 9.8 corners and Chelsea's last 5 away games 10.0. Stats as of 13 Nov 2026, 21:49 UK.

  • Goals scored Nottingham Forest: 0.60 Chelsea: 1.20
  • Goals conceded Nottingham Forest: 0.80 Chelsea: 1.60
  • Both teams scored Nottingham Forest: 1 of 520% Chelsea: 2 of 540%
  • Over 2.5 goals Nottingham Forest: 1 of 520% Chelsea: 3 of 560%
  • Match corners Nottingham Forest: 9.80 Chelsea: 10.00
  • Match cards Nottingham Forest: 3.00 Chelsea: 5.80

Nottingham Forest's last 5 home games and Chelsea's last 5 away games in the Premier League this season.

Win probabilities

36%Nottingham Forest 24%Draw 40%Chelsea

From the OddAlerts probability model. See every market

Nottingham Forest vs Chelsea: questions and answers

When is Nottingham Forest vs Chelsea?

Nottingham Forest vs Chelsea kicks off at 20:00 UK time on Friday 27 November 2026 in the Premier League, at The City Ground, Nottingham.

Who is the favourite in Nottingham Forest vs Chelsea?

The OddAlerts probability model gives Nottingham Forest a 36% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Chelsea 40%.

How many goals do Nottingham Forest and Chelsea games have?

Nottingham Forest have scored 0.60 goals a game and conceded 0.80 across their last 5 home games in the Premier League this season, while Chelsea have scored 1.20 and conceded 1.60 across their last 5 away games. Both teams have scored in 1 of Nottingham Forest's last 5 home games and 2 of Chelsea's last 5 away games.

Where are Nottingham Forest and Chelsea in the Premier League table?

Nottingham Forest are 16th with 9 points from 10 games. Chelsea are 5th with 16 points from 10 games.

Nottingham Forest vs Chelsea stats

All competitions , Pro
Nottingham Forest1W 1D 3L · 5 home games
Chelsea2W 0D 3L · 5 away games
Nottingham Forest vs Chelsea general stats: Nottingham Forest's last 5 home games and Chelsea's last 5 away games in the Premier League this season
Nottingham ForestStatChelsea
Match outcomes
1 of 520% Win 2 of 540%
1 of 520% Draw 0 of 50%
3 of 560% Loss 3 of 560%
4 Points 6
0.80 Points per game 1.20
-1 Goal difference -2
Expected goals
0.97 xG per game 1.06
1.04 xGA per game 1.75
-1.83 xG performance 0.72
Possession & attacks
41% Possession 53%
43.60 Dangerous attacks 48.60
51.20 Dangerous attacks against 47.80
Shots
14.60 Shots for 14.20
10.60 Shots against 11.60
2.80 On target for 4.80
2.20 On target against 5.60
4% Shot conversion 8%
19% On-target accuracy 34%
Tackles & fouls
17.40 Tackles 16.20
10.60 Fouls committed 12.00
15.20 Fouls won 10.60
2.20 Offsides 1.20

Nottingham Forest's last 5 home games and Chelsea's last 5 away games in the Premier League this season. A rate such as "5 of 7" counts the games where it happened.

Stats as of 13 Nov 2026, 21:49 UK.

Nottingham Forest vs Chelsea lineups

Lineups will appear here when they're predicted and confirmed. Until then, see key players.

Nottingham Forest vs Chelsea players

Player rankings

  1. 1 Chelsea Estêvão 1.58
  2. 2 Chelsea João Pedro 1.45
  3. 3 Nottingham Forest Igor Jesus 1.36
  4. 4 Chelsea Emmanuel Emegha 1.27
  5. 5 Chelsea Pedro Neto 1.26

Per 90 minutes, weighted towards recent games. Goalkeepers left out.

Leading scorers and creators

Top scorer
Liam Delap in 9 games 3goals
João Pedro in 6 games 5goals
Top creator
Morgan Gibbs-White in 9 games 3assists
João Pedro in 6 games 3assists

Players in form

  1. João Pedro Striker · Chelsea 7.44 Form rating
    Apps
    6
    Goals
    5
    Assists
    3
    • Fouls won2.29 per 90 Top 3%
    • NP goals0.83 per 90 Top 4%
    • Finishing+0.18 per 90 Top 11%
  2. Morgan Gibbs-White Attacking midfielder · Nottingham Forest 7.24 Form rating
    Apps
    9
    Goals
    1
    Assists
    3
    • Big chances0.76 per 90 Top 2%
    • Key passes2.40 per 90 Top 14%
    • Assists0.29 per 90 Top 24%
  3. Morgan Rogers Attacking midfielder · Chelsea 7.17 Form rating
    Apps
    10
    Goals
    5
    Assists
    1
    • NP goals0.45 per 90 Top 6%
    • Recoveries4.80 per 90 Top 11%
    • Duels won5.89 per 90 Top 17%
  4. Cole Palmer Attacking midfielder · Chelsea 7.14 Form rating
    Apps
    10
    Goals
    3
    Assists
    3
    • Shots2.88 per 90 Top 20%
    • Final third5.42 per 90 Top 22%
    • Pass %85% per 90 Top 23%
  5. Emiliano Martínez Goalkeeper · Chelsea 7.11 Form rating
    Apps
    6
    Goals
    0
    Assists
    0
    • Aerials0.50 per 90 Top 9%
    • Recoveries9.59 per 90 Top 11%
    • Saves3.63 per 90 Top 20%
  6. Reece James Central midfielder · Chelsea 7.04 Form rating
    Apps
    4
    Goals
    0
    Assists
    0
    • Pass %92% per 90 Top 8%
    • Passes61.85 per 90 Top 11%
    • Shots1.73 per 90 Top 15%
  7. M. Caicedo Central midfielder · Chelsea 7.01 Form rating
    Apps
    6
    Goals
    0
    Assists
    0
    • Interceptions2.09 per 90 Top 2%
    • Passes66.54 per 90 Top 6%
    • Pass %92% per 90 Top 6%
  8. Murillo Centre-back · Nottingham Forest 6.98 Form rating
    Apps
    10
    Goals
    0
    Assists
    1
    • Recoveries5.27 per 90 Top 6%
    • xG0.12 per 90 Top 7%
    • Interceptions1.86 per 90 Top 10%
  9. Neco Williams Wing-back · Nottingham Forest 6.93 Form rating
    Apps
    10
    Goals
    1
    Assists
    0
    • Crosses1.56 per 90 Top 10%
    • Recoveries4.74 per 90 Top 26%
  10. James McAtee Central midfielder · Nottingham Forest 6.92 Form rating
    Apps
    10
    Goals
    0
    Assists
    0
    • Recoveries7.11 per 90 Top 4%
    • Shots1.92 per 90 Top 9%
    • Key passes1.71 per 90 Top 14%
  11. Callum Hudson-Odoi Winger · Nottingham Forest 6.91 Form rating
    Apps
    4
    Goals
    0
    Assists
    0
    • Key passes2.92 per 90 Top 7%
    • Assists0.34 per 90 Top 22%
    • Dribble %53% per 90 Top 29%
  12. Daniel Muñoz Wing-back · Nottingham Forest 6.91 Form rating
    Apps
    9
    Goals
    0
    Assists
    1
    • Tackles3.51 per 90 Top 3%
    • Big chances0.41 per 90 Top 16%
    • Pass %84% per 90 Top 19%

Form rating weights recent games most; the ring and bars show the percentile against players in the same role. Apps, goals and assists are this club season.

Explore the player data hubRank and compare players on every stat, across every top league

Nottingham Forest vs Chelsea form

Nottingham Forest All venues
1 W · 1 D · 3 L
Points per game
0.80
Scored per game
1.0
Conceded per game
1.6
Both teams scored
60%
Over 2.5 goals
40%
  1. Premier League H Manchester City 3–1 win xG 1.0–1.5
  2. Premier League A Brentford 0–2 defeat xG 1.1–0.7
  3. Premier League A Ipswich Town 1–1 draw xG 2.5–0.6
  4. Premier League H Arsenal 0–1 defeat xG 0.9–1.2
  5. Premier League A Crystal Palace 1–3 defeat xG 2.6–2.3
Chelsea All venues
2 W · 1 D · 2 L
Points per game
1.40
Scored per game
1.0
Conceded per game
0.8
Both teams scored
20%
Over 2.5 goals
0%
  1. Premier League A Sunderland 0–1 defeat xG 0.7–2.3
  2. Premier League H Manchester United 2–0 win xG 2.4–1.1
  3. Carabao Cup A Liverpool 1–1 draw Pens xG 2.0–2.5
  4. Premier League H Tottenham Hotspur 0–2 defeat xG 0.5–0.8
  5. Premier League A Everton 2–0 win xG 1.4–0.5

Results before kick-off, most recent first, from each team's side. Open a game to see its full stats.

Chelsea vs Nottingham Forest head to head

3 Chelsea wins 3 draws 2 Nottingham Forest wins
2.8 goals per game 63% both teams scored 50% over 2.5 goals
  1. 30 Jan 2027Premier League Chelsea 15:00 Nottingham Forest
  2. 27 Nov 2026Premier League Nottingham Forest 20:00 Chelsea
  3. 4 May 2026Premier League Chelsea 1–3 Nottingham Forest
  4. 18 Oct 2025Premier League Nottingham Forest 0–3 Chelsea
  5. 25 May 2025Premier League Nottingham Forest 0–1 Chelsea
  6. 6 Oct 2024Premier League Chelsea 1–1 Nottingham Forest
  7. 11 May 2024Premier League Nottingham Forest 2–3 Chelsea
  8. 2 Sep 2023Premier League Chelsea 0–1 Nottingham Forest
  9. 13 May 2023Premier League Chelsea 2–2 Nottingham Forest
  10. 1 Jan 2023Premier League Nottingham Forest 1–1 Chelsea

Nottingham Forest vs Chelsea standings

Premier League table
# Team P W D L GF GA GD Pts Last 5
1 Arsenal 10901155 +10 27
2 Brighton & Hove Albion 10712267 +19 22
3 Manchester City 107032113 +8 21
4 Liverpool 105321410 +4 18
5 Chelsea 105141916 +3 16
6 Everton 104421210 +2 16
7 AFC Bournemouth 104331614 +2 15
8 Brentford 103521611 +5 14
9 Leeds United 10352108 +2 14
10 Aston Villa 103431417 -3 13
11 Tottenham Hotspur 103341011 -1 12
12 Newcastle United 103341316 -3 12
13 Hull City 102531111 0 11
14 Ipswich Town 103251520 -5 11
15 Fulham 102441012 -2 10
16 Nottingham Forest 10235913 -4 9
17 Coventry City 103071019 -9 9
18 Manchester United 101541419 -5 8
19 Sunderland 10226817 -9 8
20 Crystal Palace 102171024 -14 7
  • Nottingham Forest
  • Chelsea
  • Relegation
Full Premier League table

Premier League 2026/2027 standings as of 13 Nov 2026, 21:49 UK. Last 5 shows the most recent result first.

Nottingham Forest vs Chelsea odds

Best price across 4 bookmakers, how it has moved since it opened, and our model's chance for each selection.

Match Result
Selection Best price Since opening Model
Nottingham Forest 2.741xBet Shortened 28%from 3.82 36%
Draw 3.731xBet No changefrom 3.72 24%
Chelsea 2.601xBet Drifted 26%from 2.07 40%
Double Chance
Selection Best price Since opening Model
Nottingham Forest or Draw 1.50Bet365 Shortened 2%from 1.53 60%
Draw or Chelsea 1.50Bet365 Drifted 4%from 1.44 64%
Nottingham Forest or Chelsea 1.33Bet365 Drifted 2%from 1.30 76%
Draw No Bet
Selection Best price Since opening Model
Nottingham Forest 1.83Bet365 No changefrom 1.83 47%
Chelsea 1.83Bet365 No changefrom 1.83 53%
Both Teams to Score
Selection Best price Since opening Model
BTTS Yes 1.581xBet Shortened 6%from 1.68 61%
BTTS No 2.30Betano Drifted 9%from 2.12 39%
Total Goals
Selection Best price Since opening Model
Over 1.5 1.24Betano Shortened 2%from 1.27 80%
Under 1.5 4.33Bet365 Drifted 8%from 4.00 20%
Over 2.5 1.791xBet Shortened 4%from 1.87 59%
Under 2.5 2.191xBet Drifted 5%from 2.08 42%
Over 3.5 2.821xBet Shortened 3%from 2.91 37%
Under 3.5 1.45Betano Drifted 4%from 1.40 64%
Half-Time Result
Selection Best price Since opening Model
Nottingham Forest 3.10Bet365 No changefrom 3.10 –
Draw 2.30Bet365 No changefrom 2.30 –
Chelsea 3.10Bet365 No changefrom 3.10 –

Prices are decimal. Updated 13 Nov, 04:46. Gamble responsibly, 18+.

Win probabilities

36%Nottingham Forest 24%Draw 40%Chelsea
Unlock every model market, including correct scores, half-time/full-time, team goals and corners, with Pro

From the OddAlerts probability model before kick-off.