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Millwall vs Derby County

Millwall host Derby County in the England Championship on Saturday 31 October 2026, kick-off 15:00. Our model makes Millwall favourites at 44%, with a 26% chance of a draw. In their last 8 meetings, Derby County won 1, Millwall won 4 and 3 were drawn.

England Championship Save
Millwall
15:00
31 Oct
Derby County
The Den, London Referee: Anthony Backhouse

Win probabilities

44%Millwall 26%Draw 30%Derby County
Unlock every model market, including correct scores, half-time/full-time, team goals and corners, with Pro

From the OddAlerts probability model before kick-off.

Millwall vs Derby County predictionPredicted scores and goal markets from our match simulation

Millwall vs Derby County lineups

Predicted

Millwall 4-2-3-1

  • 15 Max Crocombe
  • 4 Tristan Crama
  • 6 Caleb Taylor
  • 5 Jake Cooper
  • 3 Zak Sturge
  • 14 Jenson Metcalfe
  • 49 Derek Mazou-Sacko
  • 10 Camiel Neghli
  • 25 Luke Cundle
  • 22 Kyrell Lisbie
  • 13 Lyndon Dykes

Derby County 4-2-3-1

  • 1 Jacob Widell Zetterström
  • 26 Ryan Hedges
  • 14 Jack Robinson
  • 24 Ryan Nyambe
  • 23 Joe Ward
  • 4 David Ozoh
  • 8 Bobby Clark
  • 15 Lars-Jørgen Salvesen
  • 11 Sammie Szmodics
  • 10 Rhian Brewster
  • 9 Carlton Morris

Millwall vs Derby County team news

Millwall are without 2 players and Derby County are without 8 players.

Millwall 2 out

Ryan Leonard Unknown Injury · Missed 13 games Injured
Josh Coburn Unknown Injury · Missed 12 games Injured

Derby County 8 out

Patrick Agyemang Achilles tendon rupture · Missed 23 games Injured
Derry Murkin Hamstring Injury · Missed 20 games Injured
Matt Clarke Calf Injury · Missed 13 games Injured
Craig Forsyth Knee Injury · Missed 9 games Injured
Eiran Cashin Calf Injury · Missed 5 games Injured
Charlie Taylor Hamstring Injury · Missed 5 games Injured
Sondre Langås Groin Surgery · Missed 3 games Injured
Lewis Travis Ankle Injury · Missed 2 games Injured

Form

Millwall L D L W D
Derby County D L L D D

Last 5 results in all competitions before kick-off, most recent first.

MillwallDerby County
20% Win rate 0%
1.20 Goals scored 0.80
1.40 Goals conceded 1.60
60% Both teams score 80%
60% Over 2.5 goals 20%
20% Clean sheets 0%
60% Scored first 40%
1.54 xG for 1.08
1.26 xG against 1.62
12.20 Match corners 9.40

Championship matches only, before kick-off: 5 each.

Derby County vs Millwall head to head

1 Derby County wins 3 draws 4 Millwall wins
1.6 goals per game 50% both teams scored 13% over 2.5 goals
  1. 23 Jan 2027Championship Derby County 15:00 Millwall
  2. 31 Oct 2026Championship Millwall 15:00 Derby County
  3. 10 Mar 2026Championship Millwall 1–0 Derby County
  4. 10 Dec 2025Championship Derby County 1–1 Millwall
  5. 22 Feb 2025Championship Derby County 0–1 Millwall
  6. 19 Oct 2024Championship Millwall 1–1 Derby County
  7. 23 Feb 2022Championship Derby County 1–2 Millwall
  8. 6 Nov 2021Championship Millwall 1–1 Derby County
  9. 13 Mar 2021Championship Derby County 0–1 Millwall
  10. 5 Dec 2020Championship Millwall 0–1 Derby County