Derby County vs Watford

Derby County host Watford in the England Championship on Saturday 28 November 2026, kick-off 15:00. Our model makes Derby County favourites at 48%, with a 25% chance of a draw. In their last 6 meetings, Derby County won 0, Watford won 6 and 0 were drawn.

England Championship Sat 28 Nov 2026, 15:00 Save

Derby County

15:00

28 Nov

Watford

Pride Park Stadium, Derby

Derby County vs Watford preview

Derby County have scored 0.88 goals a game and conceded 1.88 across their last 8 home games in the Championship this season, while Watford have scored 0.57 and conceded 2.00 across their last 7 away games. Both teams have scored in 4 of Derby County's last 8 home games and 3 of Watford's last 7 away games. Derby County have won 1 of their last 8 home games and Watford none of their last 7 away games. Over 9.5 corners has landed in 6 of Derby County's last 8 home games. Derby County's last 8 home games have averaged 11.4 corners and Watford's last 7 away games 10.1. Stats as of 13 Nov 2026, 14:25 UK.

Goals scored Derby County: 0.88 Watford: 0.57
Goals conceded Derby County: 1.88 Watford: 2.00
Both teams scored Derby County: 4 of 850% Watford: 3 of 743%
Over 2.5 goals Derby County: 5 of 863% Watford: 2 of 729%
Match corners Derby County: 11.38 Watford: 10.14
Match cards Derby County: 3.63 Watford: 5.00

Derby County's last 8 home games and Watford's last 7 away games in the Championship this season.

Win probabilities

48%Derby County 25%Draw 27%Watford

From the OddAlerts probability model. See every market

More on Derby County vs Watford

Team statsGoals, corners and cards for both teams StandingsDerby County 23rd, Watford 20th LineupsTop players for both teams Head to headResults of the last 6 meetings

Derby County vs Watford: questions and answers

When is Derby County vs Watford?

Derby County vs Watford kicks off at 15:00 UK time on Saturday 28 November 2026 in the Championship, at Pride Park Stadium, Derby.

Who is the favourite in Derby County vs Watford?

The OddAlerts probability model gives Derby County a 48% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Watford 27%.

How many goals do Derby County and Watford games have?

Where are Derby County and Watford in the Championship table?

Derby County are 23rd with 10 points from 15 games. Watford are 20th with 15 points from 15 games.

Derby County vs Watford stats

Last 5 Last 20 Season

All competitions

Derby County1W 2D 5L · 8 home games

Watford0W 1D 6L · 7 away games

Derby County vs Watford general stats: Derby County's last 8 home games and Watford's last 7 away games in the Championship this season
Derby County	Stat	Watford
Match outcomes
1 of 813%	Win	0 of 70%
2 of 825%	Draw	1 of 714%
5 of 863%	Loss	6 of 786%
5	Points	1
0.63	Points per game	0.14
-8	Goal difference	-10
Expected goals
1.18	xG per game	0.92
1.97	xGA per game	2.14
-2.44	xG performance	-2.44
Possession & attacks
48%	Possession	45%
58.75	Dangerous attacks	32.14
41.00	Dangerous attacks against	53.14
Shots
12.00	Shots for	9.43
15.38	Shots against	16.71
3.50	On target for	3.14
6.25	On target against	5.57
7%	Shot conversion	6%
29%	On-target accuracy	33%
Tackles & fouls
17.88	Tackles	16.00
8.88	Fouls committed	12.00
11.50	Fouls won	11.86
3.13	Offsides	1.29

Derby County vs Watford goals stats: Derby County's last 8 home games and Watford's last 7 away games in the Championship this season
Derby County	Stat	Watford
Goals overview
2.75	Goals per game (total)	2.57
7	Goals scored	4
0.88	Scored per game	0.57
15	Goals conceded	14
1.88	Conceded per game	2.00
Outcomes
2 of 825%	Scored first	2 of 729%
4 of 850%	Failed to score	4 of 757%
0 of 80%	Clean sheet	0 of 70%
4 of 850%	BTTS	3 of 743%
3 of 838%	BTTS & over 2.5	2 of 729%
6 of 875%	BTTS or over 2.5	3 of 743%
Total goals
8 of 8100%	Over 0.5	7 of 7100%
6 of 875%	Over 1.5	4 of 757%
5 of 863%	Over 2.5	2 of 729%
3 of 838%	Over 3.5	2 of 729%
Goals scored
4 of 850%	Scored 1+	3 of 743%
2 of 825%	Scored 2+	1 of 714%
1 of 813%	Scored 3+	0 of 70%
Goals conceded
8 of 8100%	Conceded 1+	7 of 7100%
4 of 850%	Conceded 2+	3 of 743%
2 of 825%	Conceded 3+	2 of 729%

Derby County vs Watford halves & timing stats: Derby County's last 8 home games and Watford's last 7 away games in the Championship this season
Derby County	Stat	Watford
Half-time result
1 of 813%	Winning at HT	1 of 714%
2 of 825%	Drawing at HT	1 of 714%
5 of 863%	Losing at HT	5 of 771%

29 more halves & timing stats with ProHalf-time results, goals by half, first and second-half lines, goal timing and late goals for both teams.

Derby County vs Watford corners stats: Derby County's last 8 home games and Watford's last 7 away games in the Championship this season
Derby County	Stat	Watford
Corners per game
11.38	Total corners	10.14
6.00	Corners for	2.86
5.38	Corners against	7.29
3 of 838%	Most corners	1 of 714%
Match corner lines
8 of 8100%	Over 7.5	5 of 771%
8 of 8100%	Over 8.5	4 of 757%
6 of 875%	Over 9.5	3 of 743%
4 of 850%	Over 10.5	3 of 743%
3 of 838%	Over 11.5	2 of 729%
3 of 838%	Over 12.5	2 of 729%
Corners for lines
5 of 863%	For over 4.5	1 of 714%
4 of 850%	For over 5.5	0 of 70%
3 of 838%	For over 6.5	0 of 70%
2 of 825%	For over 7.5	0 of 70%
Corners against lines
5 of 863%	Against over 4.5	6 of 786%
4 of 850%	Against over 5.5	4 of 757%
2 of 825%	Against over 6.5	3 of 743%
By half
4.50	1H total	4.71
2.00	1H for	1.14
2.50	1H against	3.57
6.88	2H total	5.43
4.00	2H for	1.71
2.88	2H against	3.71

Derby County vs Watford cards stats: Derby County's last 8 home games and Watford's last 7 away games in the Championship this season
Derby County	Stat	Watford
Cards per game
3.63	Total cards	5.00
1.88	Cards received	2.86
1.75	Opponent cards	2.14
5 of 863%	Most cards	3 of 743%
Match card lines
6 of 875%	Over 2.5	5 of 771%
5 of 863%	Over 3.5	5 of 771%
4 of 850%	Over 4.5	4 of 757%
1 of 813%	Over 5.5	3 of 743%
Cards received lines
7 of 888%	Received 1+	6 of 786%
3 of 838%	Received 2+	5 of 771%
3 of 838%	Received 3+	5 of 771%
Opponent card lines
6 of 875%	Opponent 1+	6 of 786%
5 of 863%	Opponent 2+	4 of 757%
2 of 825%	Opponent 3+	2 of 729%
By half
1.13	1H total	1.57
0.50	1H received	1.00
2.50	2H total	3.43
1.38	2H received	1.86

Derby County vs Watford other stats: Derby County's last 8 home games and Watford's last 7 away games in the Championship this season
Derby County	Stat	Watford
Shots & conversion
27.38	Total shots (match)	26.14
9.75	Total on target (match)	8.71
25%	On-target conversion	18%

11 more other stats with ProShot conversion, attacks, set pieces and which side usually has more shots and xG.

Derby County's last 8 home games and Watford's last 7 away games in the Championship this season. A rate such as "5 of 7" counts the games where it happened.

Derby County1W 3D 6L · 10 games

Watford3W 1D 6L · 10 games

Derby County vs Watford general stats: Derby County's last 10 games and Watford's last 10 games in the Championship this season
Derby County	Stat	Watford
Match outcomes
1 of 1010%	Win	3 of 1030%
3 of 1030%	Draw	1 of 1010%
6 of 1060%	Loss	6 of 1060%
6	Points	10
0.60	Points per game	1.00
-11	Goal difference	-8
Expected goals
1.13	xG per game	0.94
1.94	xGA per game	1.81
-2.27	xG performance	-0.43
Possession & attacks
48%	Possession	47%
52.30	Dangerous attacks	35.10
45.70	Dangerous attacks against	53.50
Shots
12.90	Shots for	11.90
14.50	Shots against	17.50
4.10	On target for	3.70
5.90	On target against	5.30
7%	Shot conversion	8%
32%	On-target accuracy	31%
Tackles & fouls
17.90	Tackles	14.00
9.00	Fouls committed	11.30
11.20	Fouls won	11.50
2.70	Offsides	1.40

Derby County vs Watford goals stats: Derby County's last 10 games and Watford's last 10 games in the Championship this season
Derby County	Stat	Watford
Goals overview
2.90	Goals per game (total)	2.60
9	Goals scored	9
0.90	Scored per game	0.90
20	Goals conceded	17
2.00	Conceded per game	1.70
Outcomes
3 of 1030%	Scored first	3 of 1030%
3 of 1030%	Failed to score	4 of 1040%
0 of 100%	Clean sheet	3 of 1030%
7 of 1070%	BTTS	4 of 1040%
4 of 1040%	BTTS & over 2.5	4 of 1040%
8 of 1080%	BTTS or over 2.5	5 of 1050%
Total goals
10 of 10100%	Over 0.5	9 of 1090%
8 of 1080%	Over 1.5	6 of 1060%
5 of 1050%	Over 2.5	5 of 1050%
4 of 1040%	Over 3.5	3 of 1030%
Goals scored
7 of 1070%	Scored 1+	6 of 1060%
1 of 1010%	Scored 2+	3 of 1030%
1 of 1010%	Scored 3+	0 of 100%
Goals conceded
10 of 10100%	Conceded 1+	7 of 1070%
4 of 1040%	Conceded 2+	4 of 1040%
3 of 1030%	Conceded 3+	3 of 1030%

Derby County vs Watford halves & timing stats: Derby County's last 10 games and Watford's last 10 games in the Championship this season
Derby County	Stat	Watford
Half-time result
2 of 1020%	Winning at HT	1 of 1010%
2 of 1020%	Drawing at HT	3 of 1030%
6 of 1060%	Losing at HT	6 of 1060%

29 more halves & timing stats with ProHalf-time results, goals by half, first and second-half lines, goal timing and late goals for both teams.

Derby County vs Watford corners stats: Derby County's last 10 games and Watford's last 10 games in the Championship this season
Derby County	Stat	Watford
Corners per game
10.30	Total corners	9.90
5.70	Corners for	3.90
4.60	Corners against	6.00
6 of 1060%	Most corners	4 of 1040%
Match corner lines
9 of 1090%	Over 7.5	6 of 1060%
9 of 1090%	Over 8.5	5 of 1050%
6 of 1060%	Over 9.5	5 of 1050%
3 of 1030%	Over 10.5	5 of 1050%
3 of 1030%	Over 11.5	3 of 1030%
3 of 1030%	Over 12.5	3 of 1030%
Corners for lines
6 of 1060%	For over 4.5	5 of 1050%
5 of 1050%	For over 5.5	2 of 1020%
3 of 1030%	For over 6.5	1 of 1010%
2 of 1020%	For over 7.5	0 of 100%
Corners against lines
4 of 1040%	Against over 4.5	6 of 1060%
3 of 1030%	Against over 5.5	6 of 1060%
2 of 1020%	Against over 6.5	3 of 1030%
By half
4.00	1H total	5.60
2.00	1H for	1.70
2.00	1H against	3.90
6.30	2H total	4.30
3.70	2H for	2.20
2.60	2H against	2.10

Derby County vs Watford cards stats: Derby County's last 10 games and Watford's last 10 games in the Championship this season
Derby County	Stat	Watford
Cards per game
4.10	Total cards	4.60
1.90	Cards received	2.40
2.20	Opponent cards	2.20
5 of 1050%	Most cards	3 of 1030%
Match card lines
8 of 1080%	Over 2.5	7 of 1070%
7 of 1070%	Over 3.5	7 of 1070%
6 of 1060%	Over 4.5	5 of 1050%
3 of 1030%	Over 5.5	4 of 1040%
Cards received lines
9 of 1090%	Received 1+	8 of 1080%
5 of 1050%	Received 2+	6 of 1060%
3 of 1030%	Received 3+	5 of 1050%
Opponent card lines
8 of 1080%	Opponent 1+	9 of 1090%
8 of 1080%	Opponent 2+	7 of 1070%
4 of 1040%	Opponent 3+	3 of 1030%
By half
1.70	1H total	1.50
0.90	1H received	0.80
2.50	2H total	3.10
1.10	2H received	1.60

Derby County vs Watford other stats: Derby County's last 10 games and Watford's last 10 games in the Championship this season
Derby County	Stat	Watford
Shots & conversion
27.40	Total shots (match)	29.40
10.00	Total on target (match)	9.00
22%	On-target conversion	24%

11 more other stats with ProShot conversion, attacks, set pieces and which side usually has more shots and xG.

Derby County's last 10 games and Watford's last 10 games in the Championship this season. A rate such as "5 of 7" counts the games where it happened.

Stats as of 13 Nov 2026, 14:25 UK.

Derby County vs Watford lineups

Lineups will appear here when they're predicted and confirmed. Until then, see key players.

Derby County vs Watford players

Player rankings

Per 90 minutes, weighted towards recent games. Goalkeepers left out.

Leading scorers and creators

Top scorer

Sammie Szmodics in 13 games 3goals

Amin Nabizada in 12 games 3goals

Top creator

Carlton Morris in 11 games 2assists

Iker Bravo in 15 games 3assists

Players in form

Shane Duffy Centre-back · Derby County 7.10 Form rating

Apps
1

Goals
0

Assists
0
- Aerial %76% per 90 Top 4%
- Duel %68% per 90 Top 6%
- Aerials3.82 per 90 Top 7%
Jacob Widell Zetterström Goalkeeper · Derby County 7.07 Form rating

Apps
11

Goals
0

Assists
0
- Saves4.60 per 90 Top 3%
- Touches45.56 per 90 Top 19%
- Recoveries8.98 per 90 Top 30%
Carlton Morris Striker · Derby County 7.00 Form rating

Apps
11

Goals
1

Assists
2
- Aerials6.76 per 90 Top 3%
- Big chances0.50 per 90 Top 4%
- Key passes1.48 per 90 Top 15%
Mattie Pollock Centre-back · Watford 6.99 Form rating

Apps
15

Goals
0

Assists
1
- Clearances9.33 per 90 Top 2%
- Aerials3.43 per 90 Top 12%
Eiran Cashin Centre-back · Derby County 6.98 Form rating

Apps
2

Goals
0

Assists
0
- Aerials6.16 per 90 Top 2%
- Final third10.30 per 90 Top 5%
- Tackles2.35 per 90 Top 5%
Joe Ward Full-back · Derby County 6.96 Form rating

Apps
10

Goals
0

Assists
0
- Key passes2.25 per 90 Top 3%
- Crosses1.93 per 90 Top 4%
- Recoveries5.36 per 90 Top 8%
Federico Ravaglia Goalkeeper · Watford 6.96 Form rating

Apps
15

Goals
0

Assists
0
- Aerials0.91 per 90 Top 1%
Alex Mowatt Defensive midfielder · Derby County 6.85 Form rating

Apps
12

Goals
0

Assists
0
- Recoveries6.16 per 90 Top 14%
- Final third8.84 per 90 Top 16%
- Touches74.25 per 90 Top 17%
Hector Kyprianou Defensive midfielder · Watford 6.85 Form rating

Apps
14

Goals
1

Assists
0
- Aerials1.88 per 90 Top 9%
- Duel %58% per 90 Top 16%
Marc Bola Full-back · Watford 6.81 Form rating

Apps
7

Goals
0

Assists
0
- Duel %60% per 90 Top 15%
- Interceptions1.48 per 90 Top 25%
- Key passes1.16 per 90 Top 28%
Iker Bravo Central midfielder · Watford 6.81 Form rating

Apps
15

Goals
1

Assists
3
- Dribbles1.80 per 90 Top 4%
- Pass %89% per 90 Top 14%
- Big chances0.28 per 90 Top 15%
Myron Boadu Striker · Watford 6.77 Form rating

Apps
7

Goals
2

Assists
1
- NP goals0.61 per 90 Top 16%
- Finishing+0.19 per 90 Top 16%
- xG/shot0.20 per 90 Top 19%

Form rating weights recent games most; the ring and bars show the percentile against players in the same role. Apps, goals and assists are this club season.

Explore the player data hubRank and compare players on every stat, across every top league

Derby County vs Watford form

Derby County All venues

1 W · 1 D · 3 L

Points per game: 0.80
Scored per game: 1.0
Conceded per game: 2.2
Both teams scored: 60%
Over 2.5 goals: 60%

Watford All venues

2 W · 1 D · 2 L

Points per game: 1.40
Scored per game: 1.0
Conceded per game: 0.8
Both teams scored: 20%
Over 2.5 goals: 20%

Results before kick-off, most recent first, from each team's side. Open a game to see its full stats.

Derby County vs Watford head to head

0 Derby County wins 0 draws 6 Watford wins

2.7 goals per game 50% both teams scored 50% over 2.5 goals

Derby County vs Watford standings

Championship table
#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Birmingham City	15	8	5	2	28	14	+14	29
2	Middlesbrough	15	8	5	2	30	19	+11	29
3	Stoke City	15	9	2	4	24	18	+6	29
4	Wolverhampton Wanderers	15	8	4	3	26	18	+8	28
5	West Bromwich Albion	15	8	4	3	23	15	+8	28
6	Swansea City	15	8	2	5	22	18	+4	26
7	Southampton	15	8	4	3	29	15	+14	24
8	Queens Park Rangers	15	6	6	3	24	18	+6	24
9	West Ham United	15	6	5	4	37	23	+14	23
10	Sheffield United	15	6	4	5	21	19	+2	22
11	Portsmouth	15	6	4	5	20	18	+2	22
12	Norwich City	15	7	0	8	32	24	+8	21
13	Blackburn Rovers	15	6	3	6	22	23	-1	21
14	Cardiff City	15	4	6	5	27	27	0	18
15	Wrexham	15	4	6	5	18	20	-2	18
16	Millwall	15	5	3	7	23	27	-4	18
17	Bristol City	15	5	3	7	16	24	-8	18
18	Bolton Wanderers	15	5	2	8	20	29	-9	17
19	Charlton Athletic	15	4	5	6	13	23	-10	17
20	Watford	15	4	3	8	13	23	-10	15
21	Lincoln City	15	4	3	8	15	26	-11	15
22	Burnley	15	1	7	7	22	31	-9	10
23	Derby County	15	2	4	9	14	30	-16	10
24	Preston North End	15	2	2	11	13	30	-17	8

Championship home table
#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Southampton	7	6	1	0	20	5	+15	19
2	Middlesbrough	7	5	2	0	17	9	+8	17
3	Birmingham City	8	4	4	0	19	8	+11	16
4	Cardiff City	8	4	4	0	21	13	+8	16
5	Queens Park Rangers	8	4	3	1	16	7	+9	15
6	West Bromwich Albion	8	4	3	1	13	7	+6	15
7	Blackburn Rovers	8	5	0	3	14	10	+4	15
8	Swansea City	7	4	2	1	11	3	+8	14
9	Wolverhampton Wanderers	7	4	2	1	13	7	+6	14
10	Watford	8	4	2	2	9	9	0	14
11	Stoke City	7	4	1	2	12	6	+6	13
12	Portsmouth	8	4	1	3	14	13	+1	13
13	Wrexham	8	3	3	2	13	9	+4	12
14	Charlton Athletic	8	3	3	2	7	7	0	12
15	Millwall	7	3	2	2	15	9	+6	11
16	Sheffield United	7	3	2	2	9	7	+2	11
17	West Ham United	7	3	1	3	18	11	+7	10
18	Norwich City	7	3	0	4	13	12	+1	9
19	Preston North End	8	2	1	5	8	13	-5	7
20	Bolton Wanderers	7	2	0	5	9	15	-6	6
21	Bristol City	8	2	0	6	4	13	-9	6
22	Burnley	7	0	5	2	8	10	-2	5
23	Lincoln City	7	1	2	4	8	16	-8	5
24	Derby County	8	1	2	5	7	15	-8	5

Championship away table
#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Stoke City	8	5	1	2	12	12	0	16
2	Wolverhampton Wanderers	8	4	2	2	13	11	+2	14
3	West Ham United	8	3	4	1	19	12	+7	13
4	Birmingham City	7	4	1	2	9	6	+3	13
5	West Bromwich Albion	7	4	1	2	10	8	+2	13
6	Norwich City	8	4	0	4	19	12	+7	12
7	Middlesbrough	8	3	3	2	13	10	+3	12
8	Bristol City	7	3	3	1	12	11	+1	12
9	Swansea City	8	4	0	4	11	15	-4	12
10	Sheffield United	8	3	2	3	12	12	0	11
11	Bolton Wanderers	8	3	2	3	11	14	-3	11
12	Lincoln City	8	3	1	4	7	10	-3	10
13	Portsmouth	7	2	3	2	6	5	+1	9
14	Southampton	8	2	3	3	9	10	-1	9
15	Queens Park Rangers	7	2	3	2	8	11	-3	9
16	Millwall	8	2	1	5	8	18	-10	7
17	Blackburn Rovers	7	1	3	3	8	13	-5	6
18	Wrexham	7	1	3	3	5	11	-6	6
19	Burnley	8	1	2	5	14	21	-7	5
20	Derby County	7	1	2	4	7	15	-8	5
21	Charlton Athletic	7	1	2	4	6	16	-10	5
22	Cardiff City	7	0	2	5	6	14	-8	2
23	Watford	7	0	1	6	4	14	-10	1
24	Preston North End	7	0	1	6	5	17	-12	1

Derby County
Watford
Promotion or qualification
Play-offs or qualifying rounds
Relegation

Full Championship table

Championship 2026/2027 standings as of 13 Nov 2026, 14:25 UK. Last 5 shows the most recent result first.

Win probabilities

48%Derby County 25%Draw 27%Watford

Half-time result Pro

Derby County
Draw
Watford

Double chance

Derby County or draw 73%
Watford or draw 52%
Derby County or Watford 75%

Half-time / full-time Pro

Derby County/Derby County
Derby County/Draw
Derby County/Watford
Draw/Derby County
Draw/Draw
Draw/Watford
Watford/Derby County
Watford/Draw
Watford/Watford

Unlock every model market, including correct scores, half-time/full-time, team goals and corners, with Pro

From the OddAlerts probability model before kick-off.

Predictions

Live & Odds

Stats

Trends

Players & FPL

Your Tools

Help

Stay Connected

Join The Team!

Derby County vs Watford preview

Win probabilities

More on Derby County vs Watford

Derby County vs Watford: questions and answers

Derby County vs Watford stats

Derby County vs Watford lineups

Derby County vs Watford players

Player rankings

Leading scorers and creators

Players in form

Derby County vs Watford form

Derby County vs Watford head to head

Derby County vs Watford standings

Win probabilities

Half-time result Pro

Double chance

Half-time / full-time Pro

Both teams to score

First to score Pro

Goals 0.5 Pro

Goals 1.5

Goals 2.5

Goals 3.5

Goals 4.5 Pro

First-half goal Pro

Derby County goals 0.5 Pro

Derby County goals 1.5 Pro

Derby County goals 2.5 Pro

Derby County goals 3.5 Pro

Watford goals 0.5 Pro

Watford goals 1.5 Pro

Watford goals 2.5 Pro

Watford goals 3.5 Pro

Corners 4 Pro

Corners 5 Pro

Corners 6 Pro

Corners 7 Pro

Corners 8 Pro

Corners 9 Pro

Corners 10 Pro

Corners 11 Pro

Corners 10.5 Pro

Most likely scores Pro