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Italy vs France

Italy host France in the Europe UEFA Nations League on Thursday 12 November 2026, kick-off 19:45. Our model makes France favourites at 49%, with a 21% chance of a draw. In their last 3 meetings, France won 1, Italy won 1 and 1 was drawn.

Europe UEFA Nations League Save
Italy
19:45
12 Nov
France
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza, Milano

Win probabilities

30%Italy 21%Draw 49%France

Half-time result Pro

  • Italy
  • Draw
  • France

Double chance

  • Italy or draw 51%
  • France or draw 70%
  • Italy or France 79%

Half-time / full-time Pro

  • Italy/Italy
  • Italy/Draw
  • Italy/France
  • Draw/Italy
  • Draw/Draw
  • Draw/France
  • France/Italy
  • France/Draw
  • France/France
Unlock every model market, including correct scores, half-time/full-time, team goals and corners, with Pro

From the OddAlerts probability model before kick-off.

Italy vs France predictionPredicted scores and goal markets from our match simulation

Form

Italy W D W L W
France W D W W L

Last 5 results in all competitions before kick-off, most recent first.

ItalyFrance
50% Win rate 75%
2.00 Goals scored 1.75
1.25 Goals conceded 0.50
75% Both teams score 50%
50% Over 2.5 goals 25%
0% Clean sheets 50%
50% Scored first 75%
1.81 xG for 1.56
1.48 xG against 1.01
10.50 Match corners 9.25

UEFA Nations League matches only, before kick-off: 4 each.

France vs Italy head to head

1 France wins 1 draws 1 Italy wins
3.3 goals per game 100% both teams scored 67% over 2.5 goals
  1. 12 Nov 2026UEFA Nations League Italy 19:45 France
  2. 2 Oct 2026UEFA Nations League France 1–1 Italy
  3. 17 Nov 2024UEFA Nations League Italy 1–3 France
  4. 6 Sep 2024UEFA Nations League France 1–3 Italy