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Merthyr Town vs Harborough Town

Merthyr Town host Harborough Town in the England Fa Trophy on Saturday 14 November 2026, kick-off 15:00. Our model makes Merthyr Town favourites at 46%, with a 22% chance of a draw.

England Fa Trophy Save
Merthyr Town
15:00
14 Nov
Harborough Town
Penydarren Park, England

Merthyr Town vs Harborough Town preview

Merthyr Town have scored 1.70 goals a game and conceded 1.60 across their last 10 home games in all competitions, while Harborough Town have scored 0.80 and conceded 1.60 across their last 10 away games. Both teams have scored in 9 of Merthyr Town's last 10 home games and 6 of Harborough Town's last 10 away games. Harborough Town have won 1 of their last 10 away games. Merthyr Town's last 10 home games have averaged 10.7 corners and Harborough Town's last 10 away games 8.9. Stats as of 13 Nov 2026, 04:49 UK.

  • Goals scored Merthyr Town: 1.70 Harborough Town: 0.80
  • Goals conceded Merthyr Town: 1.60 Harborough Town: 1.60
  • Both teams scored Merthyr Town: 9 of 1090% Harborough Town: 6 of 1060%
  • Over 2.5 goals Merthyr Town: 6 of 1060% Harborough Town: 4 of 1040%
  • Match corners Merthyr Town: 10.70 Harborough Town: 8.90
  • Match cards Merthyr Town: 3.20 Harborough Town: 3.00

Merthyr Town's last 10 home games and Harborough Town's last 10 away games in all competitions.

Win probabilities

46%Merthyr Town 22%Draw 32%Harborough Town

From the OddAlerts probability model. See every market

Merthyr Town vs Harborough Town: questions and answers

When is Merthyr Town vs Harborough Town?

Merthyr Town vs Harborough Town kicks off at 15:00 UK time on Saturday 14 November 2026 in the Fa Trophy, at Penydarren Park, England.

Who is the favourite in Merthyr Town vs Harborough Town?

The OddAlerts probability model gives Merthyr Town a 46% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Harborough Town 32%.

How many goals do Merthyr Town and Harborough Town games have?

Merthyr Town have scored 1.70 goals a game and conceded 1.60 across their last 10 home games in all competitions, while Harborough Town have scored 0.80 and conceded 1.60 across their last 10 away games. Both teams have scored in 9 of Merthyr Town's last 10 home games and 6 of Harborough Town's last 10 away games.

Merthyr Town vs Harborough Town stats

Merthyr Town3W 4D 3L · 10 home games
Harborough Town1W 4D 5L · 10 away games
Merthyr Town vs Harborough Town general stats: Merthyr Town's last 10 home games and Harborough Town's last 10 away games in all competitions
Merthyr TownStatHarborough Town
Match outcomes
3 of 1030% Win 1 of 1010%
4 of 1040% Draw 4 of 1040%
3 of 1030% Loss 5 of 1050%
13 Points 7
1.30 Points per game 0.70
1 Goal difference -8
Expected goals
0.00 xG per game 0.00
0.00 xGA per game 0.00
17.00 xG performance 8.00
Possession & attacks
56% Possession 37%
62.20 Dangerous attacks 49.20
49.60 Dangerous attacks against 46.30
Shots
12.70 Shots for 8.60
11.90 Shots against 8.90
5.50 On target for 2.30
4.50 On target against 4.20
13% Shot conversion 9%
43% On-target accuracy 27%
Tackles & fouls
1.30 Tackles 1.60
11.70 Fouls committed 9.80
9.50 Fouls won 10.90
0.90 Offsides 1.70

Merthyr Town's last 10 home games and Harborough Town's last 10 away games in all competitions. A rate such as "5 of 7" counts the games where it happened.

Stats as of 13 Nov 2026, 04:49 UK.

Merthyr Town vs Harborough Town lineups

Lineups will appear here when they're predicted and confirmed. Until then, see team news and key players.

Merthyr Town vs Harborough Town players

Leading scorers and creators

Top scorer
Ben Margetson in 4 games 1goal
Britt Assombalonga in 3 games 2goals
Top creator
Sam Pearson in 1 game 1assist
Michael Jacobs in 3 games 1assist

Players in form

  1. Michael Jacobs Winger · Harborough Town 6.93 Form rating
    Apps
    3
    Goals
    1
    Assists
    1
    • Assists0.49 per 90 Top 5%
    • Tackles1.95 per 90 Top 10%
    • NP goals0.45 per 90 Top 14%
  2. Callum Powell Winger · Harborough Town 6.93 Form rating
    Apps
    3
    Goals
    1
    Assists
    0
    • NP goals0.47 per 90 Top 15%
  3. Ben Margetson Centre-back · Merthyr Town 6.84 Form rating
    Apps
    4
    Goals
    1
    Assists
    0
  4. Sam Pearson Wing-back · Merthyr Town 6.73 Form rating
    Apps
    1
    Goals
    0
    Assists
    1
    • Dribbles2.46 per 90 Top 10%
    • Pass %80% per 90 Top 13%
    • Key passes1.51 per 90 Top 14%
  5. Britt Assombalonga Striker · Harborough Town 6.73 Form rating
    Apps
    3
    Goals
    2
    Assists
    1
    • On target2.01 per 90 Top 10%
    • Assists0.29 per 90 Top 15%
    • NP goals0.60 per 90 Top 20%
  6. Morgan Wigley Striker · Merthyr Town 6.66 Form rating
    Apps
    4
    Goals
    1
    Assists
    0
    • Dribbles3.24 per 90 Top 10%
    • On target1.97 per 90 Top 14%
    • Key passes1.43 per 90 Top 22%
  7. Jay Foulston Full-back · Merthyr Town 6.56 Form rating
    Apps
    4
    Goals
    0
    Assists
    0
    • Assists0.13 per 90 Top 17%
  8. Will Spiers Wing-back · Merthyr Town 6.56 Form rating
    Apps
    3
    Goals
    0
    Assists
    0
    • Big chances0.49 per 90 Top 5%
    • Crosses1.80 per 90 Top 10%
    • Interceptions2.54 per 90 Top 26%
  9. Lloyd Humphries Central midfielder · Merthyr Town 6.26 Form rating
    Apps
    4
    Goals
    0
    Assists
    0
    • Interceptions2.62 per 90 Top 6%
    • Passes49.30 per 90 Top 20%

Form rating weights recent games most; the ring and bars show the percentile against players in the same role. Apps, goals and assists are this club season.

Explore the player data hubRank and compare players on every stat, across every top league

Merthyr Town vs Harborough Town team news

Merthyr Town are without 3 players and Harborough Town had no reported absences.

Merthyr Town 3 out

Jay Foulston Leg Injury · Missed 6 games Injured
Caleb Hughes Unknown Injury · Missed 1 game Injured
Sam Pearson Unknown Injury Injured

Harborough Town 0 out

No reported absences.

Merthyr Town vs Harborough Town form

Merthyr Town All venues
1 W · 2 D · 2 L
Points per game
1.00
Scored per game
1.8
Conceded per game
2.2
Both teams scored
80%
Over 2.5 goals
80%
  1. Enterprise National League North H Hebburn Town 4–1 win
  2. Enterprise National League North A Radcliffe Borough 3–3 draw
  3. Enterprise National League North A Oxford City 0–3 defeat
  4. Enterprise National League North H Morecambe 1–3 defeat
  5. Enterprise National League North H King's Lynn Town 1–1 draw
Harborough Town All venues
1 W · 2 D · 2 L
Points per game
1.00
Scored per game
1.2
Conceded per game
2.2
Both teams scored
80%
Over 2.5 goals
60%
  1. FA Cup A Leyton Orient 1–5 defeat
  2. Enterprise National League North A Hebburn Town 1–1 draw
  3. Enterprise National League North A Buxton 0–3 defeat
  4. Enterprise National League North H Worksop Town 1–1 draw
  5. FA Cup H Spennymoor Town 3–1 win

Results before kick-off, most recent first, from each team's side. Open a game to see its full stats.

Harborough Town vs Merthyr Town head to head

  1. 3 Apr 2027Enterprise National League North Harborough Town 15:00 Merthyr Town
  2. 2 Jan 2027Enterprise National League North Merthyr Town 15:00 Harborough Town
  3. 14 Nov 2026Fa Trophy Merthyr Town 15:00 Harborough Town

Merthyr Town vs Harborough Town odds

Best price across 2 bookmakers, how it has moved since it opened, and our model's chance for each selection.

Match Result
Selection Best price Since opening Model
Merthyr Town 2.111xBet Shortened 2%from 2.15 46%
Draw 3.40Bet365 Drifted 3%from 3.30 22%
Harborough Town 3.001xBet Shortened 4%from 3.11 32%
Double Chance
Selection Best price Since opening Model
Merthyr Town or Draw 1.30Bet365 No changefrom 1.30 68%
Draw or Harborough Town 1.60Bet365 No changefrom 1.60 54%
Merthyr Town or Harborough Town 1.25Bet365 No changefrom 1.25 78%
Draw No Bet
Selection Best price Since opening Model
Merthyr Town 1.61Bet365 Drifted 3%from 1.57 59%
Harborough Town 2.20Bet365 Shortened 2%from 2.25 41%
Both Teams to Score
Selection Best price Since opening Model
BTTS Yes 1.621xBet Shortened 4%from 1.69 64%
BTTS No 2.141xBet Drifted 3%from 2.07 36%
Total Goals
Selection Best price Since opening Model
Over 1.5 1.221xBet Shortened 2%from 1.25 84%
Under 1.5 3.501xBet No changefrom 3.50 16%
Over 2.5 1.80Bet365 Shortened 5%from 1.90 65%
Under 2.5 2.00Bet365 Drifted 5%from 1.90 35%
Over 3.5 2.831xBet Shortened 6%from 3.00 43%
Under 3.5 1.331xBet Shortened 1%from 1.34 57%
Half-Time Result
Selection Best price Since opening Model
Merthyr Town 2.691xBet Drifted 1%from 2.67 –
Draw 2.25Bet365 Drifted 2%from 2.20 –
Harborough Town 3.701xBet Drifted 4%from 3.57 –

Prices are decimal. Updated 12 Nov, 00:25. Gamble responsibly, 18+.

Win probabilities

46%Merthyr Town 22%Draw 32%Harborough Town
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From the OddAlerts probability model before kick-off.