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MVV Maastricht vs Heracles Almelo

MVV Maastricht host Heracles Almelo in the Netherlands Eerste Divisie on Sunday 18 October 2026, kick-off 15:45. Our model makes Heracles Almelo favourites at 46%, with a 24% chance of a draw. In their last 2 meetings, Heracles Almelo won 1, MVV Maastricht won 0 and 1 was drawn.

Netherlands Eerste Divisie Save
MVV Maastricht
15:45
18 Oct
Heracles Almelo
De Geusselt, Maastricht

Win probabilities

30%MVV Maastricht 24%Draw 46%Heracles Almelo

Half-time result Pro

  • MVV Maastricht
  • Draw
  • Heracles Almelo

Double chance

  • MVV Maastricht or draw 54%
  • Heracles Almelo or draw 70%
  • MVV Maastricht or Heracles Almelo 76%

Half-time / full-time Pro

  • MVV Maastricht/MVV Maastricht
  • MVV Maastricht/Draw
  • MVV Maastricht/Heracles Almelo
  • Draw/MVV Maastricht
  • Draw/Draw
  • Draw/Heracles Almelo
  • Heracles Almelo/MVV Maastricht
  • Heracles Almelo/Draw
  • Heracles Almelo/Heracles Almelo
Unlock every model market, including correct scores, half-time/full-time, team goals and corners, with Pro

From the OddAlerts probability model before kick-off.

Form

MVV Maastricht L L W L L
Heracles Almelo W D W L W
MVV MaastrichtHeracles Almelo
20% Win rate 60%
0.80 Goals scored 2.00
3.00 Goals conceded 1.00
40% Both teams score 40%
60% Over 2.5 goals 60%
20% Clean sheets 40%
40% Scored first 80%
0.82 xG for 2.66
1.58 xG against 1.02
8.60 Match corners 12.00

From 5 and 5 matches.

Heracles Almelo vs MVV Maastricht head to head

1 Heracles Almelo wins 1 draws 0 MVV Maastricht wins
3.0 goals per game 50% both teams scored 50% over 2.5 goals
  1. 12 Mar 2027Eerste Divisie Heracles Almelo 19:00 MVV Maastricht
  2. 18 Oct 2026Eerste Divisie MVV Maastricht 15:45 Heracles Almelo
  3. 13 Feb 2023Eerste Divisie MVV Maastricht 0–2 Heracles
  4. 29 Aug 2022Eerste Divisie Heracles 2–2 MVV Maastricht