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Horsham
Truro City
Horsham have scored 1.13 goals a game and conceded 1.50 across their last 8 home games in the Enterprise National League South this season, while Truro City have scored 1.71 and conceded 1.14 across their last 7 away games. Both teams have scored in 5 of Horsham's last 8 home games and 4 of Truro City's last 7 away games. Horsham have won 2 of their last 8 home games. Horsham's last 8 home games have averaged 10.9 corners and Truro City's last 7 away games 9.4. Stats as of 13 Nov 2026, 06:01 UK.
Horsham's last 8 home games and Truro City's last 7 away games in the Enterprise National League South this season.
From the OddAlerts probability model. See every market
Horsham vs Truro City kicks off at 19:45 UK time on Tuesday 24 November 2026 in the Enterprise National League South, at The Camping World Community Stadium (Horsham, West Sussex), England.
The OddAlerts probability model gives Horsham a 44% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Truro City 31%.
Horsham have scored 1.13 goals a game and conceded 1.50 across their last 8 home games in the Enterprise National League South this season, while Truro City have scored 1.71 and conceded 1.14 across their last 7 away games. Both teams have scored in 5 of Horsham's last 8 home games and 4 of Truro City's last 7 away games.
Horsham are 12th with 22 points from 16 games. Truro City are 4th with 30 points from 14 games.
Horsham2W 2D 4L · 8 home games
Truro City4W 2D 1L · 7 away games
| Horsham | Stat | Truro City |
|---|---|---|
| Match outcomes | ||
| 2 of 825% | Win | 4 of 757% |
| 2 of 825% | Draw | 2 of 729% |
| 4 of 850% | Loss | 1 of 714% |
| 8 | Points | 14 |
| 1.00 | Points per game | 2.00 |
| -3 | Goal difference | 4 |
| Expected goals | ||
| 0.00 | xG per game | 0.00 |
| 0.00 | xGA per game | 0.00 |
| 9.00 | xG performance | 12.00 |
| Possession & attacks | ||
| 56% | Possession | 51% |
| 50.25 | Dangerous attacks | 69.43 |
| 36.25 | Dangerous attacks against | 53.71 |
| Shots | ||
| 11.75 | Shots for | 8.57 |
| 9.25 | Shots against | 8.43 |
| 3.75 | On target for | 4.14 |
| 3.25 | On target against | 4.57 |
| 10% | Shot conversion | 20% |
| 32% | On-target accuracy | 48% |
| Tackles & fouls | ||
| 2.25 | Tackles | 0.43 |
| 10.25 | Fouls committed | 13.71 |
| 9.88 | Fouls won | 12.86 |
| 2.88 | Offsides | 1.14 |
| Horsham | Stat | Truro City |
|---|---|---|
| Goals overview | ||
| 2.63 | Goals per game (total) | 2.86 |
| 9 | Goals scored | 12 |
| 1.13 | Scored per game | 1.71 |
| 12 | Goals conceded | 8 |
| 1.50 | Conceded per game | 1.14 |
| Outcomes | ||
| 3 of 838% | Scored first | 2 of 729% |
| 1 of 813% | Failed to score | 2 of 729% |
| 3 of 838% | Clean sheet | 2 of 729% |
| 5 of 863% | BTTS | 4 of 757% |
| 4 of 850% | BTTS & over 2.5 | 4 of 757% |
| 5 of 863% | BTTS or over 2.5 | 4 of 757% |
| Total goals | ||
| 7 of 888% | Over 0.5 | 6 of 786% |
| 6 of 875% | Over 1.5 | 5 of 771% |
| 4 of 850% | Over 2.5 | 4 of 757% |
| 2 of 825% | Over 3.5 | 2 of 729% |
| Goals scored | ||
| 7 of 888% | Scored 1+ | 5 of 771% |
| 2 of 825% | Scored 2+ | 5 of 771% |
| 0 of 80% | Scored 3+ | 1 of 714% |
| Goals conceded | ||
| 5 of 863% | Conceded 1+ | 5 of 771% |
| 4 of 850% | Conceded 2+ | 2 of 729% |
| 2 of 825% | Conceded 3+ | 1 of 714% |
| Horsham | Stat | Truro City |
|---|---|---|
| Half-time result | ||
| 1 of 813% | Winning at HT | 1 of 714% |
| 4 of 850% | Drawing at HT | 4 of 757% |
| 3 of 838% | Losing at HT | 2 of 729% |
| Horsham | Stat | Truro City |
|---|---|---|
| Corners per game | ||
| 10.88 | Total corners | 9.43 |
| 6.50 | Corners for | 4.43 |
| 4.38 | Corners against | 5.00 |
| 4 of 850% | Most corners | 3 of 743% |
| Match corner lines | ||
| 8 of 8100% | Over 7.5 | 6 of 786% |
| 5 of 863% | Over 8.5 | 5 of 771% |
| 4 of 850% | Over 9.5 | 4 of 757% |
| 3 of 838% | Over 10.5 | 3 of 743% |
| 3 of 838% | Over 11.5 | 1 of 714% |
| 2 of 825% | Over 12.5 | 1 of 714% |
| Corners for lines | ||
| 5 of 863% | For over 4.5 | 2 of 729% |
| 4 of 850% | For over 5.5 | 2 of 729% |
| 4 of 850% | For over 6.5 | 2 of 729% |
| 2 of 825% | For over 7.5 | 1 of 714% |
| Corners against lines | ||
| 4 of 850% | Against over 4.5 | 4 of 757% |
| 3 of 838% | Against over 5.5 | 3 of 743% |
| 2 of 825% | Against over 6.5 | 1 of 714% |
| By half | ||
| 6.25 | 1H total | 4.29 |
| 4.13 | 1H for | 2.00 |
| 2.13 | 1H against | 2.29 |
| 4.63 | 2H total | 5.14 |
| 2.38 | 2H for | 2.43 |
| 2.25 | 2H against | 2.71 |
| Horsham | Stat | Truro City |
|---|---|---|
| Cards per game | ||
| 5.13 | Total cards | 3.00 |
| 2.13 | Cards received | 1.43 |
| 3.00 | Opponent cards | 1.57 |
| 3 of 838% | Most cards | 3 of 743% |
| Match card lines | ||
| 7 of 888% | Over 2.5 | 4 of 757% |
| 5 of 863% | Over 3.5 | 2 of 729% |
| 4 of 850% | Over 4.5 | 1 of 714% |
| 3 of 838% | Over 5.5 | 1 of 714% |
| Cards received lines | ||
| 7 of 888% | Received 1+ | 7 of 7100% |
| 4 of 850% | Received 2+ | 2 of 729% |
| 2 of 825% | Received 3+ | 1 of 714% |
| Opponent card lines | ||
| 8 of 8100% | Opponent 1+ | 6 of 786% |
| 7 of 888% | Opponent 2+ | 2 of 729% |
| 5 of 863% | Opponent 3+ | 1 of 714% |
| By half | ||
| 1.38 | 1H total | 1.29 |
| 0.50 | 1H received | 0.71 |
| 3.75 | 2H total | 1.71 |
| 1.75 | 2H received | 0.71 |
| Horsham | Stat | Truro City |
|---|---|---|
| Shots & conversion | ||
| 21.00 | Total shots (match) | 17.00 |
| 7.00 | Total on target (match) | 8.71 |
| 30% | On-target conversion | 41% |
Horsham's last 8 home games and Truro City's last 7 away games in the Enterprise National League South this season. A rate such as "5 of 7" counts the games where it happened.
Horsham3W 4D 3L · 10 games
Truro City6W 2D 2L · 10 games
| Horsham | Stat | Truro City |
|---|---|---|
| Match outcomes | ||
| 3 of 1030% | Win | 6 of 1060% |
| 4 of 1040% | Draw | 2 of 1020% |
| 3 of 1030% | Loss | 2 of 1020% |
| 13 | Points | 20 |
| 1.30 | Points per game | 2.00 |
| 2 | Goal difference | 8 |
| Expected goals | ||
| 0.00 | xG per game | 0.00 |
| 0.00 | xGA per game | 0.00 |
| 16.00 | xG performance | 20.00 |
| Possession & attacks | ||
| 49% | Possession | 57% |
| 55.40 | Dangerous attacks | 61.20 |
| 59.60 | Dangerous attacks against | 38.10 |
| Shots | ||
| 8.80 | Shots for | 10.60 |
| 6.90 | Shots against | 6.70 |
| 3.80 | On target for | 4.30 |
| 3.40 | On target against | 3.60 |
| 18% | Shot conversion | 19% |
| 43% | On-target accuracy | 41% |
| Tackles & fouls | ||
| 0.90 | Tackles | 0.40 |
| 11.30 | Fouls committed | 12.80 |
| 11.00 | Fouls won | 9.10 |
| 2.40 | Offsides | 2.00 |
| Horsham | Stat | Truro City |
|---|---|---|
| Goals overview | ||
| 3.00 | Goals per game (total) | 3.20 |
| 16 | Goals scored | 20 |
| 1.60 | Scored per game | 2.00 |
| 14 | Goals conceded | 12 |
| 1.40 | Conceded per game | 1.20 |
| Outcomes | ||
| 4 of 1040% | Scored first | 2 of 1020% |
| 1 of 1010% | Failed to score | 2 of 1020% |
| 3 of 1030% | Clean sheet | 1 of 1010% |
| 7 of 1070% | BTTS | 7 of 1070% |
| 5 of 1050% | BTTS & over 2.5 | 6 of 1060% |
| 8 of 1080% | BTTS or over 2.5 | 8 of 1080% |
| Total goals | ||
| 9 of 1090% | Over 0.5 | 10 of 10100% |
| 8 of 1080% | Over 1.5 | 8 of 1080% |
| 6 of 1060% | Over 2.5 | 7 of 1070% |
| 4 of 1040% | Over 3.5 | 4 of 1040% |
| Goals scored | ||
| 9 of 1090% | Scored 1+ | 8 of 1080% |
| 4 of 1040% | Scored 2+ | 7 of 1070% |
| 1 of 1010% | Scored 3+ | 4 of 1040% |
| Goals conceded | ||
| 7 of 1070% | Conceded 1+ | 9 of 1090% |
| 4 of 1040% | Conceded 2+ | 2 of 1020% |
| 2 of 1020% | Conceded 3+ | 1 of 1010% |
| Horsham | Stat | Truro City |
|---|---|---|
| Half-time result | ||
| 2 of 1020% | Winning at HT | 1 of 1010% |
| 5 of 1050% | Drawing at HT | 5 of 1050% |
| 3 of 1030% | Losing at HT | 4 of 1040% |
| Horsham | Stat | Truro City |
|---|---|---|
| Corners per game | ||
| 11.30 | Total corners | 9.00 |
| 5.60 | Corners for | 5.80 |
| 5.70 | Corners against | 3.20 |
| 3 of 1030% | Most corners | 8 of 1080% |
| Match corner lines | ||
| 9 of 1090% | Over 7.5 | 7 of 1070% |
| 4 of 1040% | Over 8.5 | 6 of 1060% |
| 4 of 1040% | Over 9.5 | 5 of 1050% |
| 4 of 1040% | Over 10.5 | 3 of 1030% |
| 4 of 1040% | Over 11.5 | 1 of 1010% |
| 4 of 1040% | Over 12.5 | 1 of 1010% |
| Corners for lines | ||
| 5 of 1050% | For over 4.5 | 6 of 1060% |
| 4 of 1040% | For over 5.5 | 5 of 1050% |
| 4 of 1040% | For over 6.5 | 5 of 1050% |
| 2 of 1020% | For over 7.5 | 3 of 1030% |
| Corners against lines | ||
| 7 of 1070% | Against over 4.5 | 3 of 1030% |
| 5 of 1050% | Against over 5.5 | 2 of 1020% |
| 3 of 1030% | Against over 6.5 | 0 of 100% |
| By half | ||
| 5.90 | 1H total | 4.30 |
| 3.30 | 1H for | 2.60 |
| 2.60 | 1H against | 1.70 |
| 5.40 | 2H total | 4.70 |
| 2.30 | 2H for | 3.20 |
| 3.10 | 2H against | 1.50 |
| Horsham | Stat | Truro City |
|---|---|---|
| Cards per game | ||
| 4.50 | Total cards | 3.00 |
| 2.00 | Cards received | 0.90 |
| 2.50 | Opponent cards | 2.10 |
| 2 of 1020% | Most cards | 1 of 1010% |
| Match card lines | ||
| 8 of 1080% | Over 2.5 | 6 of 1060% |
| 7 of 1070% | Over 3.5 | 2 of 1020% |
| 5 of 1050% | Over 4.5 | 2 of 1020% |
| 4 of 1040% | Over 5.5 | 2 of 1020% |
| Cards received lines | ||
| 9 of 1090% | Received 1+ | 8 of 1080% |
| 6 of 1060% | Received 2+ | 2 of 1020% |
| 3 of 1030% | Received 3+ | 0 of 100% |
| Opponent card lines | ||
| 9 of 1090% | Opponent 1+ | 10 of 10100% |
| 7 of 1070% | Opponent 2+ | 5 of 1050% |
| 6 of 1060% | Opponent 3+ | 3 of 1030% |
| By half | ||
| 1.20 | 1H total | 1.30 |
| 0.30 | 1H received | 0.40 |
| 3.40 | 2H total | 1.40 |
| 1.60 | 2H received | 0.30 |
| Horsham | Stat | Truro City |
|---|---|---|
| Shots & conversion | ||
| 15.70 | Total shots (match) | 17.30 |
| 7.20 | Total on target (match) | 7.90 |
| 42% | On-target conversion | 47% |
Horsham's last 10 games and Truro City's last 10 games in the Enterprise National League South this season. A rate such as "5 of 7" counts the games where it happened.
Stats as of 13 Nov 2026, 06:01 UK.
Lineups will appear here when they're predicted and confirmed. Until then, see key players.
Form rating weights recent games most; the ring and bars show the percentile against players in the same role. Apps, goals and assists are this club season.
AFC Totton
2–3
defeat
Pagham
1–0
win
Farnborough
5–0
win
Maidenhead United
1–1
draw
Walton & Hersham
1–0
win
Ebbsfleet United
2–2
draw
Slough Town
2–1
win
Maidstone United
1–2
defeat
Plymouth Parkway
1–2
defeat
Newhaven
10–0
win
Chelmsford City
0–0
draw
Walton & Hersham
3–0
win
Chesham United
1–4
defeat
Folkestone Invicta
1–1
draw
Dagenham & Redbridge
1–1
draw
Farnham Town
1–2
defeat
Braintree Town
2–1
win
Hampton & Richmond
2–0
win
Salisbury
0–0
draw
Torquay United
1–1
draw
Worthing
0–3
defeat
Sutton United
0–2
defeat
Eastbourne Town
3–0
win
Eastleigh
3–2
win
Chippenham Town
3–2
win
Salisbury
1–2
defeat
Weston-super-Mare
0–1
defeat
Maidstone United
0–0
draw
Farnborough
0–2
defeat
Dorking Wanderers
3–0
win
No games match these filters.
West Brom U21
1–0
win
Ebbsfleet United
3–0
win
Slough Town
3–1
win
Hampton & Richmond
4–3
win
Sutton United
0–1
defeat
Birmingham City U21
3–0
win
Braintree Town
2–1
win
Farnham Town
2–2
draw
Cirencester Town
4–0
win
Maidstone United
2–1
win
Merthyr Town
2–0
win
Merthyr Town
1–1
draw
Salisbury
0–1
defeat
Walton & Hersham
1–1
draw
Leicester U21
4–1
win
Chesham United
3–1
win
Dorking Wanderers
0–1
defeat
Dagenham & Redbridge
3–0
win
Tonbridge Angels
2–0
win
Southampton U21
2–1
win
Chelmsford City
0–0
draw
Maidenhead United
2–0
win
Plymouth Argyle
0–1
defeat
Exeter City
1–0
win
Aldershot Town
2–0
win
Carlisle United
0–1
defeat
Boston United
0–1
defeat
Forest Green Rovers
1–1
draw
Yeovil Town
0–1
defeat
Boreham Wood
0–0
draw
No games match these filters.
Results before kick-off, most recent first, from each team's side. Open a game to see its full stats.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ebbsfleet United |
16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 38 | 12 | +26 | 35 | |
| 2 | Maidstone United |
16 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 28 | 19 | +9 | 32 | |
| 3 | Salisbury |
15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 27 | 10 | +17 | 31 | |
| 4 | Truro City |
14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 27 | 12 | +15 | 30 | |
| 5 | Farnham Town |
16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 32 | 20 | +12 | 29 | |
| 6 | Dorking Wanderers |
15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 34 | 23 | +11 | 27 | |
| 7 |  Billericay Town |
14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 34 | 18 | +16 | 26 | |
| 8 | Chelmsford City |
16 | 5 | 10 | 1 | 25 | 17 | +8 | 25 | |
| 9 | Dagenham & Redbridge |
16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 13 | +2 | 25 | |
| 10 | Tonbridge Angels |
16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 28 | 19 | +9 | 24 | |
| 11 | Torquay United |
15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 24 | 17 | +7 | 23 | |
| 12 | Horsham |
16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 23 | 19 | +4 | 22 | |
| 13 |  Dover Athletic |
14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 19 | +1 | 22 | |
| 14 | Weston-super-Mare |
15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 22 | +3 | 21 | |
| 15 | Folkestone Invicta |
15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 22 | 18 | +4 | 20 | |
| 16 | AFC Totton |
16 | 6 | 1 | 9 | 17 | 29 | -12 | 19 | |
| 17 | Farnborough |
16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 13 | 33 | -20 | 17 | |
| 18 | Maidenhead United |
16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 16 | |
| 19 | Braintree Town |
16 | 5 | 1 | 10 | 22 | 40 | -18 | 16 | |
| 20 |  Hemel Hempstead Town |
17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 15 | |
| 21 | Chesham United |
15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 20 | 33 | -13 | 11 | |
| 22 | Hampton & Richmond |
16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 19 | 37 | -18 | 10 | |
| 23 | Walton & Hersham |
15 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 11 | 36 | -25 | 8 | |
| 24 | Slough Town |
16 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 18 | 40 | -22 | 7 |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ebbsfleet United |
8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 20 | 4 | +16 | 18 | |
| 2 | Billericay Town |
8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 24 | 9 | +15 | 18 | |
| 3 | Weston-super-Mare |
8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 7 | +11 | 17 | |
| 4 | Dagenham & Redbridge |
8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 4 | +6 | 17 | |
| 5 | Salisbury |
7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 4 | +13 | 16 | |
| 6 | Truro City |
7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 4 | +11 | 16 | |
| 7 | Folkestone Invicta |
7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 6 | +8 | 14 | |
| 8 | Dorking Wanderers |
8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 15 | +3 | 14 | |
| 9 | Farnham Town |
8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 12 | +7 | 13 | |
| 10 | Maidstone United |
8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 13 | |
| 11 | Braintree Town |
9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 12 | |
| 12 | Torquay United |
7 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 13 | 8 | +5 | 11 | |
| 13 | Dover Athletic |
8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 11 | |
| 14 | Chelmsford City |
8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 11 | |
| 15 | Tonbridge Angels |
8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 10 | +1 | 9 | |
| 16 | AFC Totton |
8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 9 | |
| 17 | Farnborough |
8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 19 | -14 | 9 | |
| 18 | Hampton & Richmond |
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 8 | |
| 19 | Horsham |
8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 8 | |
| 20 | Maidenhead United |
8 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 6 | |
| 21 | Chesham United |
7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 19 | -10 | 5 | |
| 22 | Slough Town |
8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 14 | -7 | 4 | |
| 23 | Hemel Hempstead Town |
8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 14 | -8 | 3 | |
| 24 | Walton & Hersham |
7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 18 | -15 | 1 |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maidstone United |
8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 8 | +9 | 19 | |
| 2 | Ebbsfleet United |
8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 8 | +10 | 17 | |
| 3 | Farnham Town |
8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 8 | +5 | 16 | |
| 4 | Tonbridge Angels |
8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 17 | 9 | +8 | 15 | |
| 5 | Salisbury |
8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 6 | +4 | 15 | |
| 6 | Chelmsford City |
8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 16 | 8 | +8 | 14 | |
| 7 | Horsham |
8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 14 | 7 | +7 | 14 | |
| 8 | Truro City |
7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 8 | +4 | 14 | |
| 9 | Dorking Wanderers |
7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 16 | 8 | +8 | 13 | |
| 10 | Torquay United |
8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 9 | +2 | 12 | |
| 11 | Hemel Hempstead Town |
9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 12 | |
| 12 | Dover Athletic |
6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 7 | +1 | 11 | |
| 13 | Maidenhead United |
8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 10 | |
| 14 | AFC Totton |
8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 16 | -6 | 10 | |
| 15 | Billericay Town |
6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 9 | +1 | 8 | |
| 16 | Dagenham & Redbridge |
8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 8 | |
| 17 | Farnborough |
8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 14 | -6 | 8 | |
| 18 | Walton & Hersham |
8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 18 | -10 | 7 | |
| 19 | Chesham United |
8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 11 | 14 | -3 | 6 | |
| 20 | Folkestone Invicta |
8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 6 | |
| 21 | Weston-super-Mare |
7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 15 | -8 | 4 | |
| 22 | Braintree Town |
7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 23 | -12 | 4 | |
| 23 | Slough Town |
8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 11 | 26 | -15 | 3 | |
| 24 | Hampton & Richmond |
9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 22 | -16 | 2 |
Enterprise National League South 2026/2027 standings as of 13 Nov 2026, 06:01 UK. Last 5 shows the most recent result first.
From the OddAlerts probability model before kick-off.
