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KCB vs Mara Sugar

KCB host Mara Sugar in the Kenya Premier League on Saturday 5 December 2026, kick-off 10:00. Our model makes KCB favourites at 48%, with a 29% chance of a draw. In their last 4 meetings, KCB won 3, Mara Sugar won 0 and 1 was drawn.

Kenya Premier League Save
KCB
10:00
5 Dec
Mara Sugar
Nairobi City Stadium, Nairobi

KCB vs Mara Sugar preview

KCB have scored 1.40 goals a game and conceded 1.00 across their last 10 home games in all competitions, while Mara Sugar have scored 0.80 and conceded 1.10 across their last 10 away games. Both teams have scored in 4 of KCB's last 10 home games and 5 of Mara Sugar's last 10 away games. Over 3.5 cards has landed in 2 of KCB's last 10 home games and 1 of Mara Sugar's last 10 away games. Mara Sugar have won 2 of their last 10 away games. KCB's last 10 home games have averaged 8.6 corners and Mara Sugar's last 10 away games 10.7. Stats as of 15 Nov 2026, 11:49 UK.

  • Goals scored KCB: 1.40 Mara Sugar: 0.80
  • Goals conceded KCB: 1.00 Mara Sugar: 1.10
  • Both teams scored KCB: 4 of 1040% Mara Sugar: 5 of 1050%
  • Over 2.5 goals KCB: 4 of 1040% Mara Sugar: 4 of 1040%
  • Match corners KCB: 8.60 Mara Sugar: 10.70
  • Match cards KCB: 2.10 Mara Sugar: 2.10

KCB's last 10 home games and Mara Sugar's last 10 away games in all competitions.

Win probabilities

48%KCB 29%Draw 23%Mara Sugar

From the OddAlerts probability model. See every market

KCB vs Mara Sugar: questions and answers

When is KCB vs Mara Sugar?

KCB vs Mara Sugar kicks off at 10:00 UK time on Saturday 5 December 2026 in the Premier League, at Nairobi City Stadium, Nairobi.

Who is the favourite in KCB vs Mara Sugar?

The OddAlerts probability model gives KCB a 48% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Mara Sugar 23%.

How many goals do KCB and Mara Sugar games have?

KCB have scored 1.40 goals a game and conceded 1.00 across their last 10 home games in all competitions, while Mara Sugar have scored 0.80 and conceded 1.10 across their last 10 away games. Both teams have scored in 4 of KCB's last 10 home games and 5 of Mara Sugar's last 10 away games.

Where are KCB and Mara Sugar in the Premier League table?

KCB are 2nd with 13 points from 6 games. Mara Sugar are 7th with 9 points from 6 games.

KCB vs Mara Sugar stats

KCB5W 2D 3L · 10 home games
Mara Sugar2W 4D 4L · 10 away games
KCB vs Mara Sugar general stats: KCB's last 10 home games and Mara Sugar's last 10 away games in all competitions
KCBStatMara Sugar
Match outcomes
5 of 1050% Win 2 of 1020%
2 of 1020% Draw 4 of 1040%
3 of 1030% Loss 4 of 1040%
17 Points 10
1.70 Points per game 1.00
4 Goal difference -3
Expected goals
0.00 xG per game 0.00
0.00 xGA per game 0.00
14.00 xG performance 8.00
Possession & attacks
44% Possession 43%
64.10 Dangerous attacks 74.60
58.70 Dangerous attacks against 85.30
Shots
8.90 Shots for 11.10
7.10 Shots against 8.90
3.30 On target for 2.90
2.40 On target against 3.90
16% Shot conversion 7%
37% On-target accuracy 26%
Tackles & fouls
0.00 Tackles 0.00
4.50 Fouls committed 2.60
6.80 Fouls won 1.70
0.70 Offsides 0.70

KCB's last 10 home games and Mara Sugar's last 10 away games in all competitions. A rate such as "5 of 7" counts the games where it happened.

Stats as of 15 Nov 2026, 11:49 UK.

KCB vs Mara Sugar lineups

Lineups will appear here when they're predicted and confirmed.

KCB vs Mara Sugar form

KCB All venues
4 W · 0 D · 1 L
Points per game
2.40
Scored per game
1.4
Conceded per game
0.6
Both teams scored
40%
Over 2.5 goals
40%
  1. Premier League H APS Bomet 1–0 win
  2. Premier League A Gor Mahia 2–1 win
  3. Premier League H Mombasa United 3–1 win
  4. Premier League A Posta Rangers 0–1 defeat
  5. Premier League H Mathare United 1–0 win
Mara Sugar All venues
2 W · 2 D · 1 L
Points per game
1.60
Scored per game
1.0
Conceded per game
1.0
Both teams scored
60%
Over 2.5 goals
60%
  1. Premier League H Migori Youth 2–1 win
  2. Premier League A Tusker 1–3 defeat
  3. Premier League H Leopards 0–0 draw
  4. Premier League A Ulinzi Stars 0–0 draw
  5. Premier League H Mombasa United 2–1 win

Results before kick-off, most recent first, from each team's side. Open a game to see its full stats.

KCB vs Mara Sugar head to head

3 KCB wins 1 draws 0 Mara Sugar wins
2.8 goals per game 50% both teams scored 25% over 2.5 goals
  1. 9 Jan 2027Premier League Mara Sugar 11:00 KCB
  2. 5 Dec 2026Premier League KCB 10:00 Mara Sugar
  3. 28 Mar 2026Premier League KCB 1–0 Mara Sugar
  4. 22 Nov 2025Premier League Mara Sugar 0–1 KCB
  5. 19 Apr 2025Premier League Mara Sugar 1–1 KCB
  6. 21 Dec 2024Premier League KCB 4–3 Mara Sugar

KCB vs Mara Sugar standings

Premier League table
# Team P W D L GF GA GD Pts Last 5
1 Gor Mahia 641195 +4 13
2 KCB 641195 +4 13
3 Leopards 624041 +3 10
4 APS Bomet 723264 +2 9
5 Police 623165 +1 9
6 Shabana 623154 +1 9
7 Mara Sugar 623177 0 9
8 3K 623178 -1 9
9 Murang'a SEAL 62221311 +2 8
10 Bandari 714245 -1 7
11 Posta Rangers 621359 -4 7
12 Tusker 420264 +2 6
13 Migori Youth 513154 +1 6
14 Ulinzi Stars 613257 -2 6
15 Nairobi United 605178 -1 5
16 Mathare United 612346 -2 5
17 Homeboyz 512246 -2 5
18 Mombasa United 6015411 -7 1
  • KCB
  • Mara Sugar
  • Relegation

Premier League 2026/2027 standings as of 15 Nov 2026, 11:49 UK. Last 5 shows the most recent result first.

Win probabilities

48%KCB 29%Draw 23%Mara Sugar
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From the OddAlerts probability model before kick-off.