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Leioa vs Real Sociedad III

Leioa host Real Sociedad III in the Spain Tercera - Group 4 on Sunday 15 November 2026, kick-off 16:00. Our model makes Leioa favourites at 51%, with a 25% chance of a draw. In their last 2 meetings, Leioa won 2, Real Sociedad III won 0 and 0 were drawn.

Spain Tercera - Group 4 Save
Leioa
16:00
15 Nov
Real Sociedad III
Estadio Sarriena, Leioa

Leioa vs Real Sociedad III preview

Leioa have scored 2.80 goals a game and conceded 0.80 across their last 5 home games in the Tercera - Group 4 this season, while Real Sociedad III have scored 1.60 and conceded 1.40 across their last 5 away games. Both teams have scored in 3 of Leioa's last 5 home games and 2 of Real Sociedad III's last 5 away games. Over 2.5 goals has landed in 4 of Leioa's last 5 home games. Leioa have won 4 of their last 5 home games. Leioa's last 5 home games have averaged 2.2 corners and Real Sociedad III's last 5 away games 6.8. Stats as of 15 Nov 2026, 09:33 UK.

  • Goals scored Leioa: 2.80 Real Sociedad III: 1.60
  • Goals conceded Leioa: 0.80 Real Sociedad III: 1.40
  • Both teams scored Leioa: 3 of 560% Real Sociedad III: 2 of 540%
  • Over 2.5 goals Leioa: 4 of 580% Real Sociedad III: 3 of 560%
  • Match corners Leioa: 2.20 Real Sociedad III: 6.80
  • Match cards Leioa: 1.00 Real Sociedad III: 3.20

Leioa's last 5 home games and Real Sociedad III's last 5 away games in the Tercera - Group 4 this season.

Win probabilities

51%Leioa 25%Draw 25%Real Sociedad III

From the OddAlerts probability model. See every market

Leioa vs Real Sociedad III: questions and answers

When is Leioa vs Real Sociedad III?

Leioa vs Real Sociedad III kicks off at 16:00 UK time on Sunday 15 November 2026 in the Tercera - Group 4, at Estadio Sarriena, Leioa.

Who is the favourite in Leioa vs Real Sociedad III?

The OddAlerts probability model gives Leioa a 51% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Real Sociedad III 25%.

How many goals do Leioa and Real Sociedad III games have?

Leioa have scored 2.80 goals a game and conceded 0.80 across their last 5 home games in the Tercera - Group 4 this season, while Real Sociedad III have scored 1.60 and conceded 1.40 across their last 5 away games. Both teams have scored in 3 of Leioa's last 5 home games and 2 of Real Sociedad III's last 5 away games. Over 2.5 goals has landed in 4 of Leioa's last 5 home games.

Where are Leioa and Real Sociedad III in the Tercera - Group 4 table?

Leioa are 1st with 22 points from 10 games. Real Sociedad III are 4th with 18 points from 10 games.

Leioa vs Real Sociedad III stats

All competitions , Pro
Leioa4W 1D 0L · 5 home games
Real Sociedad III2W 1D 2L · 5 away games
Leioa vs Real Sociedad III general stats: Leioa's last 5 home games and Real Sociedad III's last 5 away games in the Tercera - Group 4 this season
LeioaStatReal Sociedad III
Match outcomes
4 of 580% Win 2 of 540%
1 of 520% Draw 1 of 520%
0 of 50% Loss 2 of 540%
13 Points 7
2.60 Points per game 1.40
10 Goal difference 1
Expected goals
0.00 xG per game 0.00
0.00 xGA per game 0.00
14.00 xG performance 8.00
Possession & attacks
13% Possession 11%
12.20 Dangerous attacks 27.80
5.60 Dangerous attacks against 43.20
Shots
4.00 Shots for 4.60
1.00 Shots against 7.80
1.80 On target for 3.00
0.60 On target against 4.00
70% Shot conversion 35%
45% On-target accuracy 65%
Tackles & fouls
0.00 Tackles 0.00
2.40 Fouls committed 5.20
2.60 Fouls won 2.40
0.60 Offsides 1.00

Leioa's last 5 home games and Real Sociedad III's last 5 away games in the Tercera - Group 4 this season. A rate such as "5 of 7" counts the games where it happened.

Stats as of 15 Nov 2026, 09:33 UK.

Leioa vs Real Sociedad III lineups

Lineups will appear here when they're predicted and confirmed.

Leioa vs Real Sociedad III form

Leioa All venues
4 W · 1 D · 0 L
Points per game
2.60
Scored per game
3.2
Conceded per game
1.2
Both teams scored
60%
Over 2.5 goals
100%
  1. Tercera - Group 4 H Touring 4–2 win
  2. Tercera - Group 4 A Erandio 3–2 win
  3. Tercera - Group 4 H Sodupe 3–0 win
  4. Tercera - Group 4 A Deportivo Alavés III 2–2 draw
  5. Tercera - Group 4 H Aurrerá Vitoria 4–0 win
Real Sociedad III All venues
3 W · 1 D · 1 L
Points per game
2.00
Scored per game
2.0
Conceded per game
1.0
Both teams scored
40%
Over 2.5 goals
60%
  1. Tercera - Group 4 H Erandio 4–1 win
  2. Tercera - Group 4 A Sodupe 3–0 win
  3. Tercera - Group 4 H Deportivo Alavés III 2–2 draw
  4. Tercera - Group 4 A Aurrerá Vitoria 0–2 defeat
  5. Tercera - Group 4 H Amurrio 1–0 win

Results before kick-off, most recent first, from each team's side. Open a game to see its full stats.

Leioa vs Real Sociedad III head to head

2 Leioa wins 0 draws 0 Real Sociedad III wins
2.0 goals per game 50% both teams scored 50% over 2.5 goals
  1. 28 Mar 2027Tercera - Group 4 Real Sociedad III 00:00 Leioa
  2. 15 Nov 2026Tercera - Group 4 Leioa 16:00 Real Sociedad III
  3. 24 Jan 2026Tercera - Group 4 Leioa 2–1 Real Sociedad III
  4. 14 Sep 2025Tercera - Group 4 Real Sociedad III 0–1 Leioa

Leioa vs Real Sociedad III standings

Tercera - Group 4 table
# Team P W D L GF GA GD Pts Last 5
1 Leioa 106402812 +16 22
2 Aurrerá Vitoria 107121714 +3 22
3 Deportivo Alavés III 116322612 +14 21
4 Real Sociedad III 105322013 +7 18
5 Touring 115331511 +4 18
6 Derio 115331513 +2 18
7 San Ignacio 115241812 +6 17
8 Durango 104511611 +5 17
9 Eibar III 115241814 +4 17
10 Aretxabaleta 115241416 -2 17
11 Sodupe 11524815 -7 17
12 SD Beasain 104241913 +6 14
13 Lagun Onak 103251114 -3 11
14 Real Unión II 102441218 -6 10
15 Pasaia KE 113171425 -11 10
16 Santurtzi 11308714 -7 9
17 Erandio 11209919 -10 6
18 Amurrio 10019324 -21 1
  • Leioa
  • Real Sociedad III
  • Promotion or qualification
  • Play-offs or qualifying rounds
  • Relegation

Tercera - Group 4 2026/2027 standings as of 15 Nov 2026, 09:33 UK. Last 5 shows the most recent result first.

Leioa vs Real Sociedad III odds

Best price across 5 bookmakers, how it has moved since it opened, and our model's chance for each selection.

Match Result
Selection Best price Since opening Model
Leioa 2.03Pinnacle Shortened 1%from 2.04 51%
Draw 3.30Bet365 No changefrom 3.30 25%
Real Sociedad III 3.40Bet365 Shortened 3%from 3.50 25%
Double Chance
Selection Best price Since opening Model
Leioa or Draw 1.30WilliamHill Drifted 1%from 1.29 76%
Draw or Real Sociedad III 1.72Bet365 No changefrom 1.72 49%
Leioa or Real Sociedad III 1.30WilliamHill Shortened 2%from 1.33 76%
Draw No Bet
Selection Best price Since opening Model
Leioa 1.44Bet365 No changefrom 1.44 68%
Real Sociedad III 2.62Bet365 No changefrom 2.62 32%
Both Teams to Score
Selection Best price Since opening Model
BTTS Yes 1.70WilliamHill No changefrom 1.70 55%
BTTS No 2.05WilliamHill No changefrom 2.05 45%
Total Goals
Selection Best price Since opening Model
Over 1.5 1.241xBet No changefrom 1.24 77%
Under 1.5 3.341xBet Shortened 5%from 3.50 23%
Over 2.5 1.85Bet365 No changefrom 1.85 55%
Under 2.5 1.95Bet365 No changefrom 1.95 45%
Over 3.5 2.971xBet Drifted 2%from 2.90 32%
Under 3.5 1.301xBet Shortened 3%from 1.34 68%
Half-Time Result
Selection Best price Since opening Model
Leioa 2.581xBet Drifted 3%from 2.50 –
Draw 2.20Bet365 No changefrom 2.20 –
Real Sociedad III 4.221xBet Shortened 1%from 4.28 –

Prices are decimal. Updated 15 Nov, 09:11. Gamble responsibly, 18+.

Win probabilities

51%Leioa 25%Draw 25%Real Sociedad III
Unlock every model market, including correct scores, half-time/full-time, team goals and corners, with Pro

From the OddAlerts probability model before kick-off.