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Mara Sugar vs Police

Mara Sugar host Police in the Kenya Premier League on Thursday 26 November 2026, kick-off 12:00. Our model makes Police favourites at 36%, with a 34% chance of a draw. In their last 5 meetings, Mara Sugar won 1, Police won 3 and 1 was drawn.

Kenya Premier League Save
Mara Sugar
12:00
26 Nov
Police

Mara Sugar vs Police preview

Mara Sugar have scored 1.10 goals a game and conceded 0.50 across their last 10 home games in all competitions, while Police have scored 1.00 and conceded 0.60 across their last 10 away games. Both teams have scored in 4 of Mara Sugar's last 10 home games and 4 of Police's last 10 away games. Over 3.5 cards has landed in 1 of Mara Sugar's last 10 home games. Mara Sugar's last 10 home games have averaged 9.0 corners and Police's last 10 away games 8.9. Stats as of 15 Nov 2026, 11:32 UK.

  • Goals scored Mara Sugar: 1.10 Police: 1.00
  • Goals conceded Mara Sugar: 0.50 Police: 0.60
  • Both teams scored Mara Sugar: 4 of 1040% Police: 4 of 1040%
  • Over 2.5 goals Mara Sugar: 4 of 1040% Police: 3 of 1030%
  • Match corners Mara Sugar: 9.00 Police: 8.90
  • Match cards Mara Sugar: 2.30 Police: 3.00

Mara Sugar's last 10 home games and Police's last 10 away games in all competitions.

Win probabilities

30%Mara Sugar 34%Draw 36%Police

From the OddAlerts probability model. See every market

Mara Sugar vs Police: questions and answers

When is Mara Sugar vs Police?

Mara Sugar vs Police kicks off at 12:00 UK time on Thursday 26 November 2026 in the Premier League.

Who is the favourite in Mara Sugar vs Police?

The OddAlerts probability model gives Mara Sugar a 30% chance of winning, the draw 34% and Police 36%.

How many goals do Mara Sugar and Police games have?

Mara Sugar have scored 1.10 goals a game and conceded 0.50 across their last 10 home games in all competitions, while Police have scored 1.00 and conceded 0.60 across their last 10 away games. Both teams have scored in 4 of Mara Sugar's last 10 home games and 4 of Police's last 10 away games.

Where are Mara Sugar and Police in the Premier League table?

Mara Sugar are 7th with 9 points from 6 games. Police are 5th with 9 points from 6 games.

Mara Sugar vs Police stats

Mara Sugar6W 3D 1L · 10 home games
Police3W 6D 1L · 10 away games
Mara Sugar vs Police general stats: Mara Sugar's last 10 home games and Police's last 10 away games in all competitions
Mara SugarStatPolice
Match outcomes
6 of 1060% Win 3 of 1030%
3 of 1030% Draw 6 of 1060%
1 of 1010% Loss 1 of 1010%
21 Points 15
2.10 Points per game 1.50
6 Goal difference 4
Expected goals
0.00 xG per game 0.00
0.00 xGA per game 0.00
11.00 xG performance 10.00
Possession & attacks
41% Possession 43%
58.00 Dangerous attacks 43.60
52.20 Dangerous attacks against 45.60
Shots
9.80 Shots for 7.60
7.70 Shots against 9.10
2.90 On target for 2.80
2.30 On target against 2.50
11% Shot conversion 13%
30% On-target accuracy 37%
Tackles & fouls
0.00 Tackles 0.00
4.30 Fouls committed 4.70
4.90 Fouls won 5.50
1.10 Offsides 0.70

Mara Sugar's last 10 home games and Police's last 10 away games in all competitions. A rate such as "5 of 7" counts the games where it happened.

Stats as of 15 Nov 2026, 11:32 UK.

Mara Sugar vs Police lineups

Lineups will appear here when they're predicted and confirmed.

Mara Sugar vs Police form

Mara Sugar All venues
2 W · 2 D · 1 L
Points per game
1.60
Scored per game
1.0
Conceded per game
1.0
Both teams scored
60%
Over 2.5 goals
60%
  1. Premier League H Migori Youth 2–1 win
  2. Premier League A Tusker 1–3 defeat
  3. Premier League H Leopards 0–0 draw
  4. Premier League A Ulinzi Stars 0–0 draw
  5. Premier League H Mombasa United 2–1 win
Police All venues
2 W · 2 D · 1 L
Points per game
1.60
Scored per game
1.0
Conceded per game
0.8
Both teams scored
40%
Over 2.5 goals
40%
  1. Premier League A Homeboyz 2–2 draw
  2. Premier League A Shabana 1–0 win
  3. Premier League H Ulinzi Stars 1–0 win
  4. Premier League A Mombasa United 0–0 draw
  5. Premier League H Leopards 1–2 defeat

Results before kick-off, most recent first, from each team's side. Open a game to see its full stats.

Mara Sugar vs Police head to head

1 Mara Sugar wins 1 draws 3 Police wins
1.6 goals per game 40% both teams scored 20% over 2.5 goals
  1. 24 Apr 2027Premier League Police 12:00 Mara Sugar
  2. 26 Nov 2026Premier League Mara Sugar 12:00 Police
  3. 24 Jan 2026Premier League Mara Sugar 0–1 Police
  4. 14 Jan 2026Premier League Police 1–1 Mara Sugar
  5. 25 May 2025Shield Cup Police 1–2Pens Mara Sugar
  6. 26 Jan 2025Premier League Mara Sugar 0–1 Police
  7. 7 Dec 2024Premier League Police 1–0 Mara Sugar

Mara Sugar vs Police standings

Premier League table
# Team P W D L GF GA GD Pts Last 5
1 Gor Mahia 641195 +4 13
2 KCB 641195 +4 13
3 Leopards 624041 +3 10
4 APS Bomet 723264 +2 9
5 Police 623165 +1 9
6 Shabana 623154 +1 9
7 Mara Sugar 623177 0 9
8 3K 623178 -1 9
9 Murang'a SEAL 62221311 +2 8
10 Bandari 714245 -1 7
11 Posta Rangers 621359 -4 7
12 Tusker 420264 +2 6
13 Migori Youth 513154 +1 6
14 Ulinzi Stars 613257 -2 6
15 Nairobi United 605178 -1 5
16 Mathare United 612346 -2 5
17 Homeboyz 512246 -2 5
18 Mombasa United 6015411 -7 1
  • Mara Sugar
  • Police
  • Relegation

Premier League 2026/2027 standings as of 15 Nov 2026, 11:32 UK. Last 5 shows the most recent result first.

Win probabilities

30%Mara Sugar 34%Draw 36%Police
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From the OddAlerts probability model before kick-off.