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Shabana vs Mara Sugar

Shabana host Mara Sugar in the Kenya Premier League on Sunday 22 November 2026, kick-off 11:00. Our model makes Shabana favourites at 44%, with a 30% chance of a draw. In their last 8 meetings, Mara Sugar won 4, Shabana won 2 and 2 were drawn.

Kenya Premier League Save
Shabana
11:00
22 Nov
Mara Sugar

Shabana vs Mara Sugar preview

Shabana have scored 0.50 goals a game and conceded 0.70 across their last 10 home games in all competitions, while Mara Sugar have scored 0.80 and conceded 1.10 across their last 10 away games. Both teams have scored in 3 of Shabana's last 10 home games and 5 of Mara Sugar's last 10 away games. Over 3.5 cards has landed in 1 of Mara Sugar's last 10 away games. Over 2.5 goals has landed in 2 of Shabana's last 10 home games. Shabana's last 10 home games have averaged 8.1 corners and Mara Sugar's last 10 away games 10.7. Stats as of 15 Nov 2026, 11:11 UK.

  • Goals scored Shabana: 0.50 Mara Sugar: 0.80
  • Goals conceded Shabana: 0.70 Mara Sugar: 1.10
  • Both teams scored Shabana: 3 of 1030% Mara Sugar: 5 of 1050%
  • Over 2.5 goals Shabana: 2 of 1020% Mara Sugar: 4 of 1040%
  • Match corners Shabana: 8.10 Mara Sugar: 10.70
  • Match cards Shabana: 2.40 Mara Sugar: 2.10

Shabana's last 10 home games and Mara Sugar's last 10 away games in all competitions.

Win probabilities

44%Shabana 30%Draw 26%Mara Sugar

From the OddAlerts probability model. See every market

Shabana vs Mara Sugar: questions and answers

When is Shabana vs Mara Sugar?

Shabana vs Mara Sugar kicks off at 11:00 UK time on Sunday 22 November 2026 in the Premier League.

Who is the favourite in Shabana vs Mara Sugar?

The OddAlerts probability model gives Shabana a 44% chance of winning, the draw 30% and Mara Sugar 26%.

How many goals do Shabana and Mara Sugar games have?

Shabana have scored 0.50 goals a game and conceded 0.70 across their last 10 home games in all competitions, while Mara Sugar have scored 0.80 and conceded 1.10 across their last 10 away games. Both teams have scored in 3 of Shabana's last 10 home games and 5 of Mara Sugar's last 10 away games. Over 2.5 goals has landed in 2 of Shabana's last 10 home games.

Where are Shabana and Mara Sugar in the Premier League table?

Shabana are 6th with 9 points from 6 games. Mara Sugar are 7th with 9 points from 6 games.

Shabana vs Mara Sugar stats

Shabana2W 4D 4L · 10 home games
Mara Sugar2W 4D 4L · 10 away games
Shabana vs Mara Sugar general stats: Shabana's last 10 home games and Mara Sugar's last 10 away games in all competitions
ShabanaStatMara Sugar
Match outcomes
2 of 1020% Win 2 of 1020%
4 of 1040% Draw 4 of 1040%
4 of 1040% Loss 4 of 1040%
10 Points 10
1.00 Points per game 1.00
-2 Goal difference -3
Expected goals
0.00 xG per game 0.00
0.00 xGA per game 0.00
5.00 xG performance 8.00
Possession & attacks
53% Possession 43%
63.80 Dangerous attacks 74.60
60.80 Dangerous attacks against 85.30
Shots
8.40 Shots for 11.10
9.50 Shots against 8.90
3.00 On target for 2.90
2.80 On target against 3.90
6% Shot conversion 7%
36% On-target accuracy 26%
Tackles & fouls
0.00 Tackles 0.00
4.60 Fouls committed 2.60
3.50 Fouls won 1.70
0.30 Offsides 0.70

Shabana's last 10 home games and Mara Sugar's last 10 away games in all competitions. A rate such as "5 of 7" counts the games where it happened.

Stats as of 15 Nov 2026, 11:11 UK.

Shabana vs Mara Sugar lineups

Lineups will appear here when they're predicted and confirmed.

Shabana vs Mara Sugar form

Shabana All venues
1 W · 3 D · 1 L
Points per game
1.20
Scored per game
0.8
Conceded per game
0.8
Both teams scored
40%
Over 2.5 goals
20%
  1. Premier League A Mombasa United 3–2 win
  2. Premier League H Police 0–1 defeat
  3. Premier League H Migori Youth 1–1 draw
  4. Premier League A Leopards 0–0 draw
  5. Premier League H Nairobi United 0–0 draw
Mara Sugar All venues
2 W · 2 D · 1 L
Points per game
1.60
Scored per game
1.0
Conceded per game
1.0
Both teams scored
60%
Over 2.5 goals
60%
  1. Premier League H Migori Youth 2–1 win
  2. Premier League A Tusker 1–3 defeat
  3. Premier League H Leopards 0–0 draw
  4. Premier League A Ulinzi Stars 0–0 draw
  5. Premier League H Mombasa United 2–1 win

Results before kick-off, most recent first, from each team's side. Open a game to see its full stats.

Mara Sugar vs Shabana head to head

4 Mara Sugar wins 2 draws 2 Shabana wins
1.5 goals per game 25% both teams scored 25% over 2.5 goals
  1. 17 Apr 2027Premier League Mara Sugar 12:00 Shabana
  2. 22 Nov 2026Premier League Shabana 11:00 Mara Sugar
  3. 13 May 2026Premier League Mara Sugar 1–0 Shabana
  4. 17 Dec 2025Premier League Shabana 0–0 Mara Sugar
  5. 18 May 2025Premier League Shabana 0–1 Mara Sugar
  6. 19 Oct 2024Premier League Mara Sugar 1–0 Shabana
  7. 30 Apr 2023Super League Shabana 3–2 Mara Sugar
  8. 7 Jan 2023Super League Mara Sugar 0–1 Shabana
  9. 22 May 2022Super League Shabana 1–2 Mara Sugar
  10. 7 Nov 2021Super League Mara Sugar 0–0 Shabana

Shabana vs Mara Sugar standings

Premier League table
# Team P W D L GF GA GD Pts Last 5
1 Gor Mahia 641195 +4 13
2 KCB 641195 +4 13
3 Leopards 624041 +3 10
4 APS Bomet 723264 +2 9
5 Police 623165 +1 9
6 Shabana 623154 +1 9
7 Mara Sugar 623177 0 9
8 3K 623178 -1 9
9 Murang'a SEAL 62221311 +2 8
10 Bandari 714245 -1 7
11 Posta Rangers 621359 -4 7
12 Tusker 420264 +2 6
13 Migori Youth 513154 +1 6
14 Ulinzi Stars 613257 -2 6
15 Nairobi United 605178 -1 5
16 Mathare United 612346 -2 5
17 Homeboyz 512246 -2 5
18 Mombasa United 6015411 -7 1
  • Shabana
  • Mara Sugar
  • Relegation

Premier League 2026/2027 standings as of 15 Nov 2026, 11:11 UK. Last 5 shows the most recent result first.

Win probabilities

44%Shabana 30%Draw 26%Mara Sugar
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From the OddAlerts probability model before kick-off.