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Stoke City vs Middlesbrough

Stoke City host Middlesbrough in the England Championship on Tuesday 13 October 2026, kick-off 20:00. Our model makes Middlesbrough favourites at 41%, with a 26% chance of a draw. In their last 13 meetings, Middlesbrough won 5, Stoke City won 4 and 4 were drawn.

England Championship Save
Stoke City
20:00
13 Oct
Middlesbrough
Bet365 Stadium, Stoke Referee: Elliot Bell

Win probabilities

34%Stoke City 26%Draw 41%Middlesbrough

Half-time result Pro

  • Stoke City
  • Draw
  • Middlesbrough

Double chance

  • Stoke City or draw 59%
  • Middlesbrough or draw 66%
  • Stoke City or Middlesbrough 74%

Half-time / full-time Pro

  • Stoke City/Stoke City
  • Stoke City/Draw
  • Stoke City/Middlesbrough
  • Draw/Stoke City
  • Draw/Draw
  • Draw/Middlesbrough
  • Middlesbrough/Stoke City
  • Middlesbrough/Draw
  • Middlesbrough/Middlesbrough
Unlock every model market, including correct scores, half-time/full-time, team goals and corners, with Pro

From the OddAlerts probability model before kick-off.

Stoke City vs Middlesbrough predictionPredicted scores and goal markets from our match simulation

Stoke City vs Middlesbrough lineups

Predicted

Stoke City 3-4-2-1

  • 1 Viktor Johansson
  • 16 Ben Wilmot
  • 22 Junior Tchamadeu
  • 5 Luke Graham
  • 2 Ben Johnson
  • 27 Djibril Soumaré
  • 8 Ethan Galbraith
  • 17 Eric-Junior Bocat
  • 7 Jack McGlynn
  • 13 Justin Devenny
  • 11 Lamine Cissé

Middlesbrough 4-2-3-1

  • 1 Radek Vitek
  • 30 Neto Borges
  • 29 Adilson Malanda
  • 4 Ashley Phillips
  • 2 Callum Brittain
  • 6 Sebastian Berhalter
  • 10 Aidan Morris
  • 9 Tommy Conway
  • 8 Riley McGree
  • 11 Amario Cozier-Duberry
  • 7 Will Lankshear

Form

Stoke City W W W D W
Middlesbrough W D D W L
Stoke CityMiddlesbrough
80% Win rate 60%
2.20 Goals scored 2.00
0.80 Goals conceded 1.40
80% Both teams score 60%
80% Over 2.5 goals 60%
20% Clean sheets 40%
80% Scored first 60%
1.28 xG for 1.87
1.50 xG against 1.30
11.20 Match corners 11.20

From 5 and 5 matches.

Middlesbrough vs Stoke City head to head

5 Middlesbrough wins 4 draws 4 Stoke City wins
2.5 goals per game 38% both teams scored 46% over 2.5 goals
  1. 17 Feb 2027Championship Middlesbrough 19:45 Stoke City
  2. 13 Oct 2026Championship Stoke City 20:00 Middlesbrough
  3. 21 Jan 2026Championship Stoke City 1–2 Middlesbrough
  4. 30 Sep 2025Championship Middlesbrough 0–0 Stoke City
  5. 25 Feb 2025Championship Stoke City 1–3 Middlesbrough
  6. 28 Sep 2024Championship Middlesbrough 2–0 Stoke City
  7. 27 Aug 2024Carabao Cup Middlesbrough 0–5 Stoke City
  8. 2 Mar 2024Championship Stoke City 2–0 Middlesbrough
  9. 28 Oct 2023Championship Middlesbrough 0–2 Stoke City
  10. 14 Mar 2023Championship Middlesbrough 1–1 Stoke City
  11. 17 Aug 2022Championship Stoke City 2–2 Middlesbrough
  12. 30 Apr 2022Championship Middlesbrough 3–1 Stoke City
  13. 11 Dec 2021Championship Stoke City 0–0 Middlesbrough
  14. 13 Mar 2021Championship Middlesbrough 3–0 Stoke City
  15. 5 Dec 2020Championship Stoke City 1–0 Middlesbrough