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Porto vs Napoli

Porto host Napoli in the Europe Champions League on Wednesday 4 November 2026, kick-off 20:00. Our model makes Porto favourites at 49%, with a 24% chance of a draw.

Europe Champions League Save
Porto
20:00
4 Nov
Napoli
Estádio Do Dragão, Porto Referee: Michael Oliver

Win probabilities

49%Porto 24%Draw 26%Napoli
Unlock every model market, including correct scores, half-time/full-time, team goals and corners, with Pro

From the OddAlerts probability model before kick-off.

Porto vs Napoli predictionPredicted scores and goal markets from our match simulation

Porto vs Napoli lineups

Predicted

Porto vs Napoli team news

Porto are without 2 players and Napoli are without 7 players.

Porto 2 out

Vasco Sousa Broken Fibula · Missed 50 games Injured
William Gomes Ankle Sprain · Missed 5 games Injured

Napoli 7 out

Alessandro Buongiorno Knee Surgery · Missed 18 games · Out until 1 Jan 2027 Injured
Costantino Favasuli Hamstring Strain · Missed 7 games · Out until 30 Nov 2026 Injured
David Neres Hamstring Injury · Missed 5 games · Out until 10 Nov 2026 Injured
Alisson Santos Hamstring Muscle Injury · Missed 4 games · Out until 23 Nov 2026 Injured
Benoît Badiashile Hamstring Strain · Missed 2 games · Out until 25 Nov 2026 Injured
Stanislav Lobotka Ankle Injury · Missed 1 game · Out until 9 Dec 2026 Injured
Rasmus Højlund Fever · Missed 1 game Injured

Form

Porto W W W L L
Napoli L W D W L

Last 5 results in all competitions before kick-off, most recent first.

PortoNapoli
0% Win rate 33%
0.67 Goals scored 1.67
2.00 Goals conceded 2.33
33% Both teams score 67%
33% Over 2.5 goals 67%
0% Clean sheets 0%
0% Scored first 67%
0.98 xG for 1.39
2.11 xG against 2.44
6.00 Match corners 7.00

Champions League matches only, before kick-off: 3 each.