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For this page
How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Porto vs Napoli 100,000 times. Porto won 52,119 of them (52.1%), the draw came up 23.7% of the time and Napoli won 24.2%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 11%, while the likeliest Porto win is 2-1 (9.5%). Both teams score in 57.7% of simulations.
| Porto win | 52.1% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 23.7% |
| Napoli win | 24.2% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (11%) |
| Expected goals | 1.82 – 1.17 |
| Both teams to score | 57.7% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 80% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 57.3% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 35.1% |
| Porto score first | 57.7% |
| Napoli score first | 36.8% |
| Porto clean sheet | 31.4% |
| Napoli clean sheet | 16.6% |
Galatasaray
VfB Stuttgart
2.0–1.6
xG
69%
Over 2.5
Shakhtar Donetsk
Sporting CP
1.3–1.6
xG
55%
Over 2.5
FC Barcelona
Aston Villa
3.1–1.2
xG
80%
Over 2.5
Atlético de Madrid
FC Bayern München
1.7–1.7
xG
65%
Over 2.5
Manchester United
Roma
1.7–1.6
xG
63%
Over 2.5
Villarreal
Paris Saint Germain
1.4–2.3
xG
71%
Over 2.5
Feyenoord
Inter
1.5–2.0
xG
67%
Over 2.5
LASK
Slovan Bratislava
2.6–1.2
xG
72%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420676177 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Porto are favourites. They win 52.1% of our 100,000 simulations, against 23.7% for the draw and 24.2% for Napoli. Including the draw, Porto avoid defeat 75.8% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 11% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (9.5%) and 1-0 (8.8%). The likeliest Porto win is 2-1 (9.5%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 57.7% of simulations. Porto keep a clean sheet 31.4% of the time and Napoli 16.6%.
The simulations average 2.99 goals: 1.82 for Porto and 1.17 for Napoli. Over 1.5 goals lands 80% of the time, over 2.5 goals 57.3% and over 3.5 goals 35.1%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.