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Tusker vs Shabana

Tusker host Shabana in the Kenya Premier League on Sunday 15 November 2026, kick-off 11:00. Our model makes Tusker favourites at 36%, with a 34% chance of a draw. In their last 6 meetings, Shabana won 3, Tusker won 1 and 2 were drawn.

Kenya Premier League Save
Tusker
11:00
15 Nov
Shabana
Ruaraka Stadium, Nairobi

Tusker vs Shabana preview

Tusker have scored 1.10 goals a game and conceded 0.60 across their last 10 home games in all competitions, while Shabana have scored 0.90 and conceded 1.40 across their last 10 away games. Both teams have scored in 3 of Tusker's last 10 home games and 4 of Shabana's last 10 away games. Over 2.5 goals has landed in 2 of Tusker's last 10 home games. Over 3.5 cards has landed in 2 of Shabana's last 10 away games. Tusker's last 10 home games have averaged 8.0 corners and Shabana's last 10 away games 7.7. Stats as of 15 Nov 2026, 11:14 UK.

  • Goals scored Tusker: 1.10 Shabana: 0.90
  • Goals conceded Tusker: 0.60 Shabana: 1.40
  • Both teams scored Tusker: 3 of 1030% Shabana: 4 of 1040%
  • Over 2.5 goals Tusker: 2 of 1020% Shabana: 4 of 1040%
  • Match corners Tusker: 8.00 Shabana: 7.70
  • Match cards Tusker: 2.80 Shabana: 1.60

Tusker's last 10 home games and Shabana's last 10 away games in all competitions.

Win probabilities

36%Tusker 34%Draw 30%Shabana

From the OddAlerts probability model. See every market

Tusker vs Shabana: questions and answers

When is Tusker vs Shabana?

Tusker vs Shabana kicks off at 11:00 UK time on Sunday 15 November 2026 in the Premier League, at Ruaraka Stadium, Nairobi.

Who is the favourite in Tusker vs Shabana?

The OddAlerts probability model gives Tusker a 36% chance of winning, the draw 34% and Shabana 30%.

How many goals do Tusker and Shabana games have?

Tusker have scored 1.10 goals a game and conceded 0.60 across their last 10 home games in all competitions, while Shabana have scored 0.90 and conceded 1.40 across their last 10 away games. Both teams have scored in 3 of Tusker's last 10 home games and 4 of Shabana's last 10 away games. Over 2.5 goals has landed in 2 of Tusker's last 10 home games.

Where are Tusker and Shabana in the Premier League table?

Tusker are 12th with 6 points from 4 games. Shabana are 6th with 9 points from 6 games.

Tusker vs Shabana stats

Tusker5W 2D 3L · 10 home games
Shabana4W 2D 4L · 10 away games
Tusker vs Shabana general stats: Tusker's last 10 home games and Shabana's last 10 away games in all competitions
TuskerStatShabana
Match outcomes
5 of 1050% Win 4 of 1040%
2 of 1020% Draw 2 of 1020%
3 of 1030% Loss 4 of 1040%
17 Points 14
1.70 Points per game 1.40
5 Goal difference -5
Expected goals
0.00 xG per game 0.00
0.00 xGA per game 0.00
11.00 xG performance 9.00
Possession & attacks
48% Possession 44%
40.70 Dangerous attacks 66.60
41.30 Dangerous attacks against 72.80
Shots
6.10 Shots for 9.60
7.50 Shots against 10.70
2.60 On target for 2.30
3.00 On target against 3.10
18% Shot conversion 9%
43% On-target accuracy 24%
Tackles & fouls
0.00 Tackles 0.00
4.10 Fouls committed 5.80
6.30 Fouls won 5.80
0.60 Offsides 0.70

Tusker's last 10 home games and Shabana's last 10 away games in all competitions. A rate such as "5 of 7" counts the games where it happened.

Stats as of 15 Nov 2026, 11:14 UK.

Tusker vs Shabana league rankings

Where each side ranks among the 18 Premier League teams, over their last 10 league games.

Tusker and Shabana Premier League rankings, last 10 league games
Tusker Stat Shabana
1.50 =4th highest Points per game 1.50 =4th highest
1.50 =2nd most Goals scored per game 0.83 =11th most
1.00 =9th fewest Goals conceded per game 0.67 3rd fewest
2 of 4 =8th most Over 2.5 goals 1 of 6 =14th most
2 of 4 =14th most Both teams scored 2 of 6 =14th most
1 of 4 =12th most Clean sheets 3 of 6 =2nd most
1 of 4 =2nd fewest Failed to score 3 of 6 =12th fewest
2 of 4 =8th most Scored first 3 of 6 =2nd most
4.8 =5th most Corners won per game 3.2 =16th most
4.0 9th most Yellow cards per game 2.2 =15th most
See all 218 stats on the Premier League form guide Rank every team on xG, shots, corners, cards, halves and more, over any recent window.

Ranks are out of 18; ties are marked =. Updated 15 Nov 2026, 09:51 UK.

Tusker vs Shabana lineups

Lineups will appear here when they're predicted and confirmed.

Tusker vs Shabana form

Tusker All venues
1 W · 1 D · 3 L
Points per game
0.80
Scored per game
1.0
Conceded per game
1.2
Both teams scored
60%
Over 2.5 goals
40%
  1. Premier League A Bandari 0–1 defeat
  2. Premier League H Mara Sugar 3–1 win
  3. Premier League A Mathare United 1–2 defeat
  4. CAF Confederations Cup A Singida Black Stars 1–1 draw
  5. CAF Confederations Cup H Singida Black Stars 0–1 defeat
Shabana All venues
1 W · 3 D · 1 L
Points per game
1.20
Scored per game
0.8
Conceded per game
0.8
Both teams scored
40%
Over 2.5 goals
20%
  1. Premier League A Mombasa United 3–2 win
  2. Premier League H Police 0–1 defeat
  3. Premier League H Migori Youth 1–1 draw
  4. Premier League A Leopards 0–0 draw
  5. Premier League H Nairobi United 0–0 draw

Results before kick-off, most recent first, from each team's side. Open a game to see its full stats.

Shabana vs Tusker head to head

3 Shabana wins 2 draws 1 Tusker wins
2.2 goals per game 50% both teams scored 33% over 2.5 goals
  1. 23 Jan 2027Premier League Shabana 11:00 Tusker
  2. 15 Nov 2026Premier League Tusker 11:00 Shabana
  3. 21 Feb 2026Premier League Shabana 1–0 Tusker
  4. 5 Oct 2025Premier League Tusker 1–1 Shabana
  5. 26 Feb 2025Premier League Tusker 1–1 Shabana
  6. 11 Jan 2025Premier League Shabana 2–1 Tusker
  7. 11 Feb 2024Premier League Shabana 0–4 Tusker
  8. 6 Oct 2023Premier League Tusker 0–1 Shabana

Tusker vs Shabana standings

Premier League table
# Team P W D L GF GA GD Pts Last 5
1 Gor Mahia 641195 +4 13
2 KCB 641195 +4 13
3 Leopards 624041 +3 10
4 APS Bomet 723264 +2 9
5 Police 623165 +1 9
6 Shabana 623154 +1 9
7 Mara Sugar 623177 0 9
8 3K 623178 -1 9
9 Murang'a SEAL 62221311 +2 8
10 Bandari 714245 -1 7
11 Posta Rangers 621359 -4 7
12 Tusker 420264 +2 6
13 Migori Youth 513154 +1 6
14 Ulinzi Stars 613257 -2 6
15 Nairobi United 605178 -1 5
16 Mathare United 612346 -2 5
17 Homeboyz 512246 -2 5
18 Mombasa United 6015411 -7 1
  • Tusker
  • Shabana
  • Relegation

Premier League 2026/2027 standings as of 15 Nov 2026, 11:14 UK. Last 5 shows the most recent result first.

Tusker vs Shabana odds

Best price across 5 bookmakers, how it has moved since it opened, and our model's chance for each selection.

Match Result
Selection Best price Since opening Model
Tusker 1.83Pinnacle Drifted 1%from 1.81 36%
Draw 3.15Betano Drifted 7%from 2.95 34%
Shabana 5.50Bet365 Drifted 62%from 3.40 30%
Double Chance
Selection Best price Since opening Model
Tusker or Draw 1.25Bet365 No changefrom 1.25 70%
Draw or Shabana 1.91WilliamHill No changefrom 1.91 65%
Tusker or Shabana 1.36WilliamHill No changefrom 1.36 66%
Draw No Bet
Selection Best price Since opening Model
Tusker 1.33Bet365 Shortened 11%from 1.50 54%
Shabana 3.25Bet365 Drifted 30%from 2.50 46%
Both Teams to Score
Selection Best price Since opening Model
BTTS Yes 2.341xBet Drifted 9%from 2.15 42%
BTTS No 1.511xBet Shortened 6%from 1.60 58%
Total Goals
Selection Best price Since opening Model
Over 1.5 1.56Pinnacle Drifted 1%from 1.54 59%
Under 1.5 2.311xBet Shortened 1%from 2.33 41%
Over 2.5 2.71Pinnacle Drifted 2%from 2.67 32%
Under 2.5 1.44Bet365 No changefrom 1.44 68%
Over 3.5 4.951xBet Drifted 1%from 4.90 15%
Under 3.5 1.111xBet No changefrom 1.11 85%
Half-Time Result
Selection Best price Since opening Model
Tusker 2.87Bet365 No changefrom 2.87 –
Draw 1.95WilliamHill No changefrom 1.95 –
Shabana 6.00WilliamHill No changefrom 6.00 –

Prices are decimal. Updated 15 Nov, 10:59. Gamble responsibly, 18+.

Win probabilities

36%Tusker 34%Draw 30%Shabana
Unlock every model market, including correct scores, half-time/full-time, team goals and corners, with Pro

From the OddAlerts probability model before kick-off.