We simulated 2 de Mayo vs Sportivo Ameliano 100,000 times. 2 de Mayo won 35,738 of them (35.7%), the draw came up 31.3% of the time and Sportivo Ameliano won 33%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 14.6%, while the likeliest 2 de Mayo win is 1-0 (9.8%). Both teams score in 49.1% of simulations.
Full time 1-0. Before kick-off the simulations had 2 de Mayo winning 35.7% and gave this exact score 9.8%.
| 2 de Mayo win | 35.7% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 31.3% |
| Sportivo Ameliano win | 33% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (14.6%) |
| Expected goals | 1.21 – 1.15 |
| Both teams to score | 49.1% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 69.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 41.8% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 21.3% |
| 2 de Mayo score first | 46.8% |
| Sportivo Ameliano score first | 41.8% |
| 2 de Mayo clean sheet | 32% |
| Sportivo Ameliano clean sheet | 30.3% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420586809 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
2 de Mayo are favourites. They win 35.7% of our 100,000 simulations, against 31.3% for the draw and 33% for Sportivo Ameliano. Including the draw, 2 de Mayo avoid defeat 67% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 14.6% of simulations. Next are 0-0 (11.4%) and 1-0 (9.8%). The likeliest 2 de Mayo win is 1-0 (9.8%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 49.1% of simulations. 2 de Mayo keep a clean sheet 32% of the time and Sportivo Ameliano 30.3%.
The simulations average 2.36 goals: 1.21 for 2 de Mayo and 1.15 for Sportivo Ameliano. Over 1.5 goals lands 69.6% of the time, over 2.5 goals 41.8% and over 3.5 goals 21.3%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
