We simulated Arsenal vs LOSC Lille 100,000 times. Arsenal won 78,646 of them (78.7%), the draw came up 13.7% of the time and LOSC Lille won 7.6%. The most likely score is 2-0 (13%), and both teams score in 43.7% of simulations.
| Arsenal win | 78.7% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 13.7% |
| LOSC Lille win | 7.6% |
| Most likely score | 2-0 (13%) |
| Expected goals | 2.58 – 0.65 |
| Both teams to score | 43.7% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 82.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 62.2% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 40.3% |
| Arsenal score first | 74.5% |
| LOSC Lille score first | 21.5% |
| Arsenal clean sheet | 52.3% |
| LOSC Lille clean sheet | 8% |
Sabah
Slavia Praha
1.4–1.7
xG
58%
Over 2.5
Lens
Sporting CP
1.6–1.5
xG
60%
Over 2.5
Galatasaray
FC Barcelona
1.3–3.0
xG
79%
Over 2.5
Atlético de Madrid
Manchester United
2.0–1.3
xG
63%
Over 2.5
Viking
FC Bayern München
0.9–3.7
xG
83%
Over 2.5
Inter
Club Brugge
2.7–0.9
xG
70%
Over 2.5
Villarreal
Napoli
1.8–1.3
xG
60%
Over 2.5
RB Leipzig
PSV
2.2–1.5
xG
71%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420673916 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Arsenal are favourites. They win 78.7% of our 100,000 simulations, against 13.7% for the draw and 7.6% for LOSC Lille. Including the draw, Arsenal avoid defeat 92.4% of the time.
2-0, which came up in 13% of simulations. Next are 3-0 (11.1%) and 1-0 (10.6%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 43.7% of simulations. Arsenal keep a clean sheet 52.3% of the time and LOSC Lille 8%.
The simulations average 3.23 goals: 2.58 for Arsenal and 0.65 for LOSC Lille. Over 1.5 goals lands 82.6% of the time, over 2.5 goals 62.2% and over 3.5 goals 40.3%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
