We simulated Athletic Club vs Londrina 100,000 times. Athletic Club won 48,360 of them (48.4%), the draw came up 28.3% of the time and Londrina won 23.3%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 13.3%, while the likeliest Athletic Club win is 1-0 (11%). Both teams score in 50% of simulations.
| Athletic Club win | 48.4% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 28.3% |
| Londrina win | 23.3% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (13.3%) |
| Expected goals | 1.53 – 0.99 |
| Both teams to score | 50% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 72.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 46% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 24.8% |
| Athletic Club score first | 58.5% |
| Londrina score first | 32.2% |
| Athletic Club clean sheet | 37.5% |
| Londrina clean sheet | 22.1% |
Novorizontino
Ponte Preta
3.5–0.4
xG
73%
Over 2.5
Criciúma
América Mineiro
2.1–0.6
xG
49%
Over 2.5
Botafogo SP
Ceará
1.4–1.0
xG
42%
Over 2.5
Ponte Preta
Atlético GO
0.6–2.0
xG
47%
Over 2.5
Sport Recife
Fortaleza
1.4–1.0
xG
43%
Over 2.5
Ceará
Juventude
1.3–1.0
xG
38%
Over 2.5
América Mineiro
Operário PR
1.0–1.4
xG
43%
Over 2.5
Avaí
Athletic Club
1.4–1.0
xG
42%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420534120 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Athletic Club are favourites. They win 48.4% of our 100,000 simulations, against 28.3% for the draw and 23.3% for Londrina. Including the draw, Athletic Club avoid defeat 76.7% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 13.3% of simulations. Next are 1-0 (11%) and 0-0 (9.7%). The likeliest Athletic Club win is 1-0 (11%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 50% of simulations. Athletic Club keep a clean sheet 37.5% of the time and Londrina 22.1%.
The simulations average 2.52 goals: 1.53 for Athletic Club and 0.99 for Londrina. Over 1.5 goals lands 72.6% of the time, over 2.5 goals 46% and over 3.5 goals 24.8%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Bet365), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
