We simulated Athletico PR vs Palmeiras 100,000 times. Palmeiras won 36,198 of them (36.2%), the draw came up 28.1% of the time and Athletico PR won 35.7%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 13.2%, while the likeliest Palmeiras win is 0-1 (8.7%). Both teams score in 53.6% of simulations.
| Athletico PR win | 35.7% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 28.1% |
| Palmeiras win | 36.2% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (13.2%) |
| Expected goals | 1.30 – 1.31 |
| Both teams to score | 53.6% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 74.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 48.4% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 26.9% |
| Athletico PR score first | 45.6% |
| Palmeiras score first | 45.7% |
| Athletico PR clean sheet | 27.3% |
| Palmeiras clean sheet | 27.6% |
Chapecoense
Athletico PR
1.2–1.6
xG
54%
Over 2.5
Bragantino
Cruzeiro
1.8–1.2
xG
58%
Over 2.5
Mirassol
Internacional
1.6–1.1
xG
51%
Over 2.5
Botafogo
Chapecoense
2.1–0.9
xG
57%
Over 2.5
Atlético Mineiro
Coritiba
2.3–0.9
xG
60%
Over 2.5
São Paulo
Vasco da Gama
1.4–1.1
xG
45%
Over 2.5
Grêmio
Cruzeiro
1.4–1.4
xG
53%
Over 2.5
Fluminense
Santos
1.7–1.1
xG
52%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420493782 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Palmeiras are favourites. They win 36.2% of our 100,000 simulations, against 28.1% for the draw and 35.7% for Athletico PR. Including the draw, Palmeiras avoid defeat 64.3% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 13.2% of simulations. Next are 0-1 (8.7%) and 1-0 (8.6%). The likeliest Palmeiras win is 0-1 (8.7%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 53.6% of simulations. Athletico PR keep a clean sheet 27.3% of the time and Palmeiras 27.6%.
The simulations average 2.62 goals: 1.30 for Athletico PR and 1.31 for Palmeiras. Over 1.5 goals lands 74.2% of the time, over 2.5 goals 48.4% and over 3.5 goals 26.9%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Bet365), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
