We simulated Atlanta United vs Inter Miami 100,000 times. Inter Miami won 45,425 of them (45.4%), the draw came up 24.5% of the time and Atlanta United won 30.1%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 10.5%, while the likeliest Inter Miami win is 1-2 (8.7%). Both teams score in 67.8% of simulations.
| Atlanta United win | 30.1% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 24.5% |
| Inter Miami win | 45.4% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (10.5%) |
| Expected goals | 1.55 – 1.93 |
| Both teams to score | 67.8% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 87% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 45.6% |
| Atlanta United score first | 44% |
| Inter Miami score first | 51.5% |
| Atlanta United clean sheet | 15.1% |
| Inter Miami clean sheet | 21.8% |
CF Montréal
Atlanta United
1.7–1.4
xG
58%
Over 2.5
Cincinnati
New England
2.2–1.4
xG
70%
Over 2.5
DC United
New York RB
1.8–1.3
xG
61%
Over 2.5
Columbus Crew
Charlotte
1.9–1.3
xG
62%
Over 2.5
Inter Miami
New York City
2.4–1.2
xG
68%
Over 2.5
Toronto
Orlando City
2.0–1.6
xG
70%
Over 2.5
Nashville SC
Sporting KC
3.0–0.9
xG
75%
Over 2.5
St. Louis City
Vancouver Whitecaps
1.8–1.5
xG
65%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420510103 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Inter Miami are favourites. They win 45.4% of our 100,000 simulations, against 24.5% for the draw and 30.1% for Atlanta United. Including the draw, Inter Miami avoid defeat 69.9% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 10.5% of simulations. Next are 1-2 (8.7%) and 2-1 (7%). The likeliest Inter Miami win is 1-2 (8.7%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 67.8% of simulations. Atlanta United keep a clean sheet 15.1% of the time and Inter Miami 21.8%.
The simulations average 3.47 goals: 1.55 for Atlanta United and 1.93 for Inter Miami. Over 1.5 goals lands 87% of the time, over 2.5 goals 67% and over 3.5 goals 45.6%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Bet365), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
