We simulated Atlético Mineiro vs Coritiba 100,000 times. Atlético Mineiro won 67,778 of them (67.8%), the draw came up 20.1% of the time and Coritiba won 12.1%. The most likely score is 2-0 (11.3%), and both teams score in 51.7% of simulations.
| Atlético Mineiro win | 67.8% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 20.1% |
| Coritiba win | 12.1% |
| Most likely score | 2-0 (11.3%) |
| Expected goals | 2.25 – 0.85 |
| Both teams to score | 51.7% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 82% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 59.6% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 37.5% |
| Atlético Mineiro score first | 70% |
| Coritiba score first | 24.5% |
| Atlético Mineiro clean sheet | 42.9% |
| Coritiba clean sheet | 11% |
Chapecoense
Athletico PR
1.2–1.6
xG
54%
Over 2.5
Bragantino
Cruzeiro
1.8–1.2
xG
58%
Over 2.5
Mirassol
Internacional
1.6–1.1
xG
51%
Over 2.5
Botafogo
Chapecoense
2.1–0.9
xG
57%
Over 2.5
Athletico PR
Palmeiras
1.3–1.3
xG
48%
Over 2.5
São Paulo
Vasco da Gama
1.4–1.1
xG
45%
Over 2.5
Grêmio
Cruzeiro
1.4–1.4
xG
53%
Over 2.5
Fluminense
Santos
1.7–1.1
xG
52%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420493590 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Atlético Mineiro are favourites. They win 67.8% of our 100,000 simulations, against 20.1% for the draw and 12.1% for Coritiba. Including the draw, Atlético Mineiro avoid defeat 87.9% of the time.
2-0, which came up in 11.3% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (9.5%) and 1-1 (9.4%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 51.7% of simulations. Atlético Mineiro keep a clean sheet 42.9% of the time and Coritiba 11%.
The simulations average 3.10 goals: 2.25 for Atlético Mineiro and 0.85 for Coritiba. Over 1.5 goals lands 82% of the time, over 2.5 goals 59.6% and over 3.5 goals 37.5%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
