We simulated Atlético Mineiro vs Santos 100,000 times. Atlético Mineiro won 47,807 of them (47.8%), the draw came up 27% of the time and Santos won 25.2%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 12.7%, while the likeliest Atlético Mineiro win is 1-0 (10.3%). Both teams score in 52.3% of simulations.
| Atlético Mineiro win | 47.8% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 27% |
| Santos win | 25.2% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (12.7%) |
| Expected goals | 1.57 – 1.07 |
| Both teams to score | 52.3% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 74.5% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 48.9% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 27.3% |
| Atlético Mineiro score first | 54.3% |
| Santos score first | 37.3% |
| Atlético Mineiro clean sheet | 34.7% |
| Santos clean sheet | 21.3% |
Bragantino
Mirassol
1.8–1.0
xG
54%
Over 2.5
Internacional
Corinthians
1.4–1.0
xG
44%
Over 2.5
Remo
Grêmio
1.5–1.2
xG
49%
Over 2.5
Vitória
Chapecoense
1.7–0.9
xG
49%
Over 2.5
Botafogo
Vasco da Gama
1.3–1.4
xG
51%
Over 2.5
Cruzeiro
São Paulo
1.7–0.9
xG
49%
Over 2.5
Santos
Flamengo
1.1–1.6
xG
49%
Over 2.5
Athletico PR
Atlético Mineiro
1.6–1.0
xG
47%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420493596 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Atlético Mineiro are favourites. They win 47.8% of our 100,000 simulations, against 27% for the draw and 25.2% for Santos. Including the draw, Atlético Mineiro avoid defeat 74.8% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 12.7% of simulations. Next are 1-0 (10.3%) and 2-1 (9.2%). The likeliest Atlético Mineiro win is 1-0 (10.3%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 52.3% of simulations. Atlético Mineiro keep a clean sheet 34.7% of the time and Santos 21.3%.
The simulations average 2.64 goals: 1.57 for Atlético Mineiro and 1.07 for Santos. Over 1.5 goals lands 74.5% of the time, over 2.5 goals 48.9% and over 3.5 goals 27.3%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Bet365), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
