We simulated Austin vs Nashville SC 100,000 times. Nashville SC won 43,866 of them (43.9%), the draw came up 27.5% of the time and Austin won 28.6%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 13%, while the likeliest Nashville SC win is 0-1 (9.6%). Both teams score in 53.7% of simulations.
| Austin win | 28.6% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 27.5% |
| Nashville SC win | 43.9% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (13%) |
| Expected goals | 1.16 – 1.49 |
| Both teams to score | 53.7% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 74.9% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 49.4% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 27.7% |
| Austin score first | 41.5% |
| Nashville SC score first | 50.2% |
| Austin clean sheet | 22.9% |
| Nashville SC clean sheet | 31.7% |
Chicago Fire
Vancouver Whitecaps
1.6–1.7
xG
64%
Over 2.5
Toronto
CF Montréal
2.0–1.3
xG
64%
Over 2.5
Chicago Fire
New York City
1.8–1.1
xG
57%
Over 2.5
Inter Miami
DC United
2.4–1.2
xG
69%
Over 2.5
Philadelphia Union
Real Salt Lake
2.6–1.0
xG
68%
Over 2.5
Charlotte
Dallas
1.8–1.3
xG
59%
Over 2.5
New York RB
San Diego
1.7–1.6
xG
64%
Over 2.5
New England
Seattle Sounders
2.0–1.2
xG
60%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420510047 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Nashville SC are favourites. They win 43.9% of our 100,000 simulations, against 27.5% for the draw and 28.6% for Austin. Including the draw, Nashville SC avoid defeat 71.4% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 13% of simulations. Next are 0-1 (9.6%) and 1-2 (8.9%). The likeliest Nashville SC win is 0-1 (9.6%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 53.7% of simulations. Austin keep a clean sheet 22.9% of the time and Nashville SC 31.7%.
The simulations average 2.66 goals: 1.16 for Austin and 1.49 for Nashville SC. Over 1.5 goals lands 74.9% of the time, over 2.5 goals 49.4% and over 3.5 goals 27.7%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Betfair Exchange), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
