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MLS · 100,000 simulations

Austin vs Vancouver Whitecaps prediction

We simulated Austin vs Vancouver Whitecaps 100,000 times. Vancouver Whitecaps won 52,844 of them (52.8%), the draw came up 23.5% of the time and Austin won 23.6%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 10.7%, while the likeliest Vancouver Whitecaps win is 1-2 (9.5%). Both teams score in 61.3% of simulations.

Austin badge
Austin Q2 Stadium
Sunday 18 October
Vancouver Whitecaps badge
Vancouver Whitecaps Away
23.6% 23,612 wins
23.5% Draw
52.8% 52,844 wins
Expected goals
1.25 – 1.95
Likeliest score
1-1 10.7% Top Vancouver win: 1-2 9.5%
Both score
61.3%
Over 2.5
61.6%
Simulated 100,000 times Updated Q2 Stadium
Austin vs Vancouver Whitecaps lineups, team news & head to head

Austin vs Vancouver Whitecaps in numbers 100,000 simulations · MLS · Sunday 18 October, 01:30

Austin vs Vancouver Whitecaps simulation probabilities
Austin win23.6%
Draw23.5%
Vancouver Whitecaps win52.8%
Most likely score1-1 (10.7%)
Expected goals1.25 – 1.95
Both teams to score61.3%
Over 1.5 goals83.3%
Over 2.5 goals61.6%
Over 3.5 goals39.7%
Austin score first37.8%
Vancouver Whitecaps score first57.1%
Austin clean sheet14.7%
Vancouver Whitecaps clean sheet29.2%
Football simulation API

Put this simulation in your own models

Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.

GET /api/predictions/generate/420510008
  ?v=2
  &detail=standard
  &include=value,corners,cards

# 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves,
# corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown

Austin vs Vancouver Whitecaps prediction FAQs

Who will win Austin vs Vancouver Whitecaps?

Vancouver Whitecaps are favourites. They win 52.8% of our 100,000 simulations, against 23.5% for the draw and 23.6% for Austin. Including the draw, Vancouver Whitecaps avoid defeat 76.4% of the time.

What is the most likely score in Austin vs Vancouver Whitecaps?

1-1, which came up in 10.7% of simulations. Next are 1-2 (9.5%) and 0-2 (7.8%). The likeliest Vancouver Whitecaps win is 1-2 (9.5%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.

Will both teams score in Austin vs Vancouver Whitecaps?

Both teams score in 61.3% of simulations. Austin keep a clean sheet 14.7% of the time and Vancouver Whitecaps 29.2%.

How many goals will there be in Austin vs Vancouver Whitecaps?

The simulations average 3.20 goals: 1.25 for Austin and 1.95 for Vancouver Whitecaps. Over 1.5 goals lands 83.3% of the time, over 2.5 goals 61.6% and over 3.5 goals 39.7%.

How does the OddAlerts match simulator work?

Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Bet365), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.

How often is the simulation updated?

Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.