We simulated Avaí vs Athletic Club 100,000 times. Avaí won 46,211 of them (46.2%), the draw came up 27.5% of the time and Athletic Club won 26.3%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 12.7%, while the likeliest Avaí win is 1-0 (12.7%). Both teams score in 46.7% of simulations.
| Avaí win | 46.2% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 27.5% |
| Athletic Club win | 26.3% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (12.7%) |
| Expected goals | 1.40 – 0.98 |
| Both teams to score | 46.7% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 68.5% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 42.3% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 21.8% |
| Avaí score first | 51.9% |
| Athletic Club score first | 38.3% |
| Avaí clean sheet | 37.9% |
| Athletic Club clean sheet | 25.2% |
Novorizontino
Ponte Preta
3.5–0.4
xG
73%
Over 2.5
Criciúma
América Mineiro
2.1–0.6
xG
49%
Over 2.5
Botafogo SP
Ceará
1.4–1.0
xG
42%
Over 2.5
Athletic Club
Londrina
1.5–1.0
xG
46%
Over 2.5
Ponte Preta
Atlético GO
0.6–2.0
xG
47%
Over 2.5
Sport Recife
Fortaleza
1.4–1.1
xG
45%
Over 2.5
Ceará
Juventude
1.2–1.0
xG
38%
Over 2.5
América Mineiro
Operário PR
1.0–1.4
xG
43%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420534109 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Avaí are favourites. They win 46.2% of our 100,000 simulations, against 27.5% for the draw and 26.3% for Athletic Club. Including the draw, Avaí avoid defeat 73.7% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 12.7% of simulations. Next are 1-0 (12.7%) and 0-0 (9.8%). The likeliest Avaí win is 1-0 (12.7%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 46.7% of simulations. Avaí keep a clean sheet 37.9% of the time and Athletic Club 25.2%.
The simulations average 2.38 goals: 1.40 for Avaí and 0.98 for Athletic Club. Over 1.5 goals lands 68.5% of the time, over 2.5 goals 42.3% and over 3.5 goals 21.8%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here 1xBet), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
