We simulated Bohemians vs Waterford United 100,000 times. Bohemians won 62,286 of them (62.3%), the draw came up 20.4% of the time and Waterford United won 17.3%. The most likely score is 2-1 (9.6%), and both teams score in 58.2% of simulations.
| Bohemians win | 62.3% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 20.4% |
| Waterford United win | 17.3% |
| Most likely score | 2-1 (9.6%) |
| Expected goals | 2.20 – 1.07 |
| Both teams to score | 58.2% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 83.7% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 63% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 41.1% |
| Bohemians score first | 67.8% |
| Waterford United score first | 27.8% |
| Bohemians clean sheet | 34.6% |
| Waterford United clean sheet | 11.6% |
St Patrick's
Shelbourne
1.9–0.9
xG
53%
Over 2.5
Galway United
Shamrock Rovers
1.1–1.7
xG
54%
Over 2.5
Drogheda United
Derry City
1.2–1.4
xG
49%
Over 2.5
Sligo Rovers
Dundalk
1.3–2.0
xG
63%
Over 2.5
Derry City
St Patrick's
1.3–1.3
xG
49%
Over 2.5
Waterford United
Galway United
1.7–1.2
xG
56%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420498397 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Bohemians are favourites. They win 62.3% of our 100,000 simulations, against 20.4% for the draw and 17.3% for Waterford United. Including the draw, Bohemians avoid defeat 82.7% of the time.
2-1, which came up in 9.6% of simulations. Next are 1-1 (9.3%) and 2-0 (9.1%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 58.2% of simulations. Bohemians keep a clean sheet 34.6% of the time and Waterford United 11.6%.
The simulations average 3.27 goals: 2.20 for Bohemians and 1.07 for Waterford United. Over 1.5 goals lands 83.7% of the time, over 2.5 goals 63% and over 3.5 goals 41.1%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
