We simulated Botafogo PB vs Santa Cruz 100,000 times. Botafogo PB won 38,121 of them (38.1%), the draw came up 31.7% of the time and Santa Cruz won 30.2%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 14.3%, while the likeliest Botafogo PB win is 1-0 (12.5%). Both teams score in 43.5% of simulations.
Full time 1-0. Before kick-off the simulations had Botafogo PB winning 38.1% and gave this exact score 12.5%.
| Botafogo PB win | 38.1% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 31.7% |
| Santa Cruz win | 30.2% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (14.3%) |
| Expected goals | 1.15 – 0.99 |
| Both teams to score | 43.5% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 63.8% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 36% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 17% |
| Botafogo PB score first | 46.5% |
| Santa Cruz score first | 40.5% |
| Botafogo PB clean sheet | 37.5% |
| Santa Cruz clean sheet | 32.1% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420685122 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Botafogo PB are favourites. They win 38.1% of our 100,000 simulations, against 31.7% for the draw and 30.2% for Santa Cruz. Including the draw, Botafogo PB avoid defeat 69.8% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 14.3% of simulations. Next are 0-0 (13.1%) and 1-0 (12.5%). The likeliest Botafogo PB win is 1-0 (12.5%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 43.5% of simulations. Botafogo PB keep a clean sheet 37.5% of the time and Santa Cruz 32.1%.
The simulations average 2.14 goals: 1.15 for Botafogo PB and 0.99 for Santa Cruz. Over 1.5 goals lands 63.8% of the time, over 2.5 goals 36% and over 3.5 goals 17%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
