We simulated Botafogo SP vs Ceará 100,000 times. Botafogo SP won 44,419 of them (44.4%), the draw came up 28% of the time and Ceará won 27.6%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 13%, while the likeliest Botafogo SP win is 1-0 (12.4%). Both teams score in 47.2% of simulations.
| Botafogo SP win | 44.4% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 28% |
| Ceará win | 27.6% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (13%) |
| Expected goals | 1.36 – 1.01 |
| Both teams to score | 47.2% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 68.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 42.2% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 21.7% |
| Botafogo SP score first | 54.8% |
| Ceará score first | 35.1% |
| Botafogo SP clean sheet | 36.7% |
| Ceará clean sheet | 26% |
Novorizontino
Ponte Preta
3.5–0.4
xG
73%
Over 2.5
Criciúma
América Mineiro
2.1–0.6
xG
49%
Over 2.5
Athletic Club
Londrina
1.5–1.0
xG
46%
Over 2.5
Ponte Preta
Atlético GO
0.6–2.0
xG
47%
Over 2.5
Sport Recife
Fortaleza
1.4–1.0
xG
43%
Over 2.5
Ceará
Juventude
1.3–1.0
xG
38%
Over 2.5
América Mineiro
Operário PR
1.0–1.4
xG
43%
Over 2.5
Avaí
Athletic Club
1.4–1.0
xG
42%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420534158 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Botafogo SP are favourites. They win 44.4% of our 100,000 simulations, against 28% for the draw and 27.6% for Ceará. Including the draw, Botafogo SP avoid defeat 72.4% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 13% of simulations. Next are 1-0 (12.4%) and 0-0 (9.9%). The likeliest Botafogo SP win is 1-0 (12.4%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 47.2% of simulations. Botafogo SP keep a clean sheet 36.7% of the time and Ceará 26%.
The simulations average 2.37 goals: 1.36 for Botafogo SP and 1.01 for Ceará. Over 1.5 goals lands 68.6% of the time, over 2.5 goals 42.2% and over 3.5 goals 21.7%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
