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  1. Simulations
  2. Brazil Serie A
  3. Bragantino vs Chapecoense
Brazil Serie A · 100,000 simulations

Bragantino vs Chapecoense prediction

We simulated Bragantino vs Chapecoense 100,000 times. Bragantino won 72,802 of them (72.8%), the draw came up 16.3% of the time and Chapecoense won 10.9%. The most likely score is 2-0 (9.6%), and both teams score in 56.9% of simulations.

Bragantino badge
Bragantino Estádio Cicero de Souza Marques
3–0 Full time
Chapecoense badge
Chapecoense Away
72.8% 72,802 wins
16.3% Draw
10.9% 10,887 wins
Expected goals
2.65 – 0.95
Likeliest score
2-0 9.6%
Both score
56.9%
Over 2.5
69.3%

Full time 3-0. Before kick-off the simulations had Bragantino winning 72.8% and gave this exact score 8.4%.

Simulated 100,000 times Updated Wagner do Nascimento Magalhaes Estádio Cicero de Souza Marques, Brazil
Bragantino vs Chapecoense live score, stats & lineups

Bragantino vs Chapecoense in numbers 100,000 simulations · Brazil Serie A · Wednesday 28 October, 22:30

Bragantino vs Chapecoense simulation probabilities
Bragantino win72.8%
Draw16.3%
Chapecoense win10.9%
Most likely score2-0 (9.6%)
Expected goals2.65 – 0.95
Both teams to score56.9%
Over 1.5 goals87.5%
Over 2.5 goals69.3%
Over 3.5 goals48.3%
Bragantino score first73.8%
Chapecoense score first23%
Bragantino clean sheet39%
Chapecoense clean sheet7.4%

More Brazil Serie A simulations

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Football simulation API

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# 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves,
# corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown

Bragantino vs Chapecoense prediction FAQs

Who will win Bragantino vs Chapecoense?

Bragantino are favourites. They win 72.8% of our 100,000 simulations, against 16.3% for the draw and 10.9% for Chapecoense. Including the draw, Bragantino avoid defeat 89.1% of the time.

What is the most likely score in Bragantino vs Chapecoense?

2-0, which came up in 9.6% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (8.9%) and 3-0 (8.4%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.

Will both teams score in Bragantino vs Chapecoense?

Both teams score in 56.9% of simulations. Bragantino keep a clean sheet 39% of the time and Chapecoense 7.4%.

How many goals will there be in Bragantino vs Chapecoense?

The simulations average 3.60 goals: 2.65 for Bragantino and 0.95 for Chapecoense. Over 1.5 goals lands 87.5% of the time, over 2.5 goals 69.3% and over 3.5 goals 48.3%.

How does the OddAlerts match simulator work?

Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.

How often is the simulation updated?

Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.