We simulated Ceará vs Juventude 100,000 times. Ceará won 41,703 of them (41.7%), the draw came up 29.7% of the time and Juventude won 28.6%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 13.5%, while the likeliest Ceará win is 1-0 (12.9%). Both teams score in 44.4% of simulations.
| Ceará win | 41.7% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 29.7% |
| Juventude win | 28.6% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (13.5%) |
| Expected goals | 1.24 – 0.98 |
| Both teams to score | 44.4% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 65.3% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 38.2% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 18.6% |
| Ceará score first | 46.3% |
| Juventude score first | 42% |
| Ceará clean sheet | 38% |
| Juventude clean sheet | 29.3% |
Novorizontino
Ponte Preta
3.5–0.4
xG
73%
Over 2.5
Criciúma
América Mineiro
2.1–0.6
xG
49%
Over 2.5
Botafogo SP
Ceará
1.4–1.0
xG
42%
Over 2.5
Athletic Club
Londrina
1.5–1.0
xG
46%
Over 2.5
Ponte Preta
Atlético GO
0.6–2.0
xG
47%
Over 2.5
Sport Recife
Fortaleza
1.4–1.1
xG
45%
Over 2.5
América Mineiro
Operário PR
1.0–1.4
xG
43%
Over 2.5
Avaí
Athletic Club
1.4–1.0
xG
42%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420534080 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Ceará are favourites. They win 41.7% of our 100,000 simulations, against 29.7% for the draw and 28.6% for Juventude. Including the draw, Ceará avoid defeat 71.4% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 13.5% of simulations. Next are 1-0 (12.9%) and 0-0 (11.7%). The likeliest Ceará win is 1-0 (12.9%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 44.4% of simulations. Ceará keep a clean sheet 38% of the time and Juventude 29.3%.
The simulations average 2.22 goals: 1.24 for Ceará and 0.98 for Juventude. Over 1.5 goals lands 65.3% of the time, over 2.5 goals 38.2% and over 3.5 goals 18.6%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Bet365), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
