We simulated CF Montréal vs Atlanta United 100,000 times. CF Montréal won 44,036 of them (44%), the draw came up 25.4% of the time and Atlanta United won 30.6%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 11.7%, while the likeliest CF Montréal win is 2-1 (9%). Both teams score in 60.1% of simulations.
| CF Montréal win | 44% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 25.4% |
| Atlanta United win | 30.6% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (11.7%) |
| Expected goals | 1.66 – 1.35 |
| Both teams to score | 60.1% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 80.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 57.6% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 35.5% |
| CF Montréal score first | 55.1% |
| Atlanta United score first | 38.9% |
| CF Montréal clean sheet | 26.3% |
| Atlanta United clean sheet | 19.4% |
Cincinnati
New England
2.2–1.4
xG
70%
Over 2.5
DC United
New York RB
1.8–1.3
xG
61%
Over 2.5
Columbus Crew
Charlotte
1.9–1.3
xG
62%
Over 2.5
Inter Miami
New York City
2.4–1.2
xG
68%
Over 2.5
Toronto
Orlando City
2.0–1.6
xG
70%
Over 2.5
Nashville SC
Sporting KC
3.0–0.9
xG
75%
Over 2.5
St. Louis City
Vancouver Whitecaps
1.9–1.5
xG
65%
Over 2.5
Chicago Fire
Philadelphia Union
1.8–1.7
xG
68%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420509939 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
CF Montréal are favourites. They win 44% of our 100,000 simulations, against 25.4% for the draw and 30.6% for Atlanta United. Including the draw, CF Montréal avoid defeat 69.4% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 11.7% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (9%) and 1-0 (7.5%). The likeliest CF Montréal win is 2-1 (9%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 60.1% of simulations. CF Montréal keep a clean sheet 26.3% of the time and Atlanta United 19.4%.
The simulations average 3.01 goals: 1.66 for CF Montréal and 1.35 for Atlanta United. Over 1.5 goals lands 80.6% of the time, over 2.5 goals 57.6% and over 3.5 goals 35.5%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
