We simulated Cincinnati vs New England 100,000 times. Cincinnati won 53,670 of them (53.7%), the draw came up 22.4% of the time and New England won 23.9%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 9.4%, while the likeliest Cincinnati win is 2-1 (9%). Both teams score in 67.8% of simulations.
| Cincinnati win | 53.7% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 22.4% |
| New England win | 23.9% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (9.4%) |
| Expected goals | 2.19 – 1.43 |
| Both teams to score | 67.8% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 88.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 69.6% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 48.6% |
| Cincinnati score first | 59.9% |
| New England score first | 36.5% |
| Cincinnati clean sheet | 24.4% |
| New England clean sheet | 11.6% |
CF Montréal
Atlanta United
1.7–1.4
xG
58%
Over 2.5
DC United
New York RB
1.8–1.3
xG
61%
Over 2.5
Columbus Crew
Charlotte
1.9–1.3
xG
62%
Over 2.5
Inter Miami
New York City
2.4–1.2
xG
68%
Over 2.5
Toronto
Orlando City
2.0–1.6
xG
70%
Over 2.5
Nashville SC
Sporting KC
3.0–0.9
xG
75%
Over 2.5
St. Louis City
Vancouver Whitecaps
1.8–1.5
xG
65%
Over 2.5
Chicago Fire
Philadelphia Union
1.8–1.7
xG
68%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420509942 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Cincinnati are favourites. They win 53.7% of our 100,000 simulations, against 22.4% for the draw and 23.9% for New England. Including the draw, Cincinnati avoid defeat 76.1% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 9.4% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (9%) and 3-1 (6.6%). The likeliest Cincinnati win is 2-1 (9%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 67.8% of simulations. Cincinnati keep a clean sheet 24.4% of the time and New England 11.6%.
The simulations average 3.61 goals: 2.19 for Cincinnati and 1.43 for New England. Over 1.5 goals lands 88.2% of the time, over 2.5 goals 69.6% and over 3.5 goals 48.6%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
