We simulated Columbus Crew vs Charlotte 100,000 times. Columbus Crew won 51,600 of them (51.6%), the draw came up 23.5% of the time and Charlotte won 25%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 10.6%, while the likeliest Columbus Crew win is 2-1 (9.4%). Both teams score in 62.1% of simulations.
| Columbus Crew win | 51.6% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 23.5% |
| Charlotte win | 25% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (10.6%) |
| Expected goals | 1.93 – 1.29 |
| Both teams to score | 62.1% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 83.5% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 62.2% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 40.2% |
| Columbus Crew score first | 57.2% |
| Charlotte score first | 38.1% |
| Columbus Crew clean sheet | 27.9% |
| Charlotte clean sheet | 14.9% |
CF Montréal
Atlanta United
1.7–1.4
xG
58%
Over 2.5
Cincinnati
New England
2.2–1.4
xG
70%
Over 2.5
DC United
New York RB
1.8–1.3
xG
61%
Over 2.5
Inter Miami
New York City
2.4–1.2
xG
68%
Over 2.5
Toronto
Orlando City
2.0–1.6
xG
70%
Over 2.5
Nashville SC
Sporting KC
3.0–0.9
xG
75%
Over 2.5
St. Louis City
Vancouver Whitecaps
1.8–1.5
xG
65%
Over 2.5
Chicago Fire
Philadelphia Union
1.8–1.7
xG
68%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420509983 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Columbus Crew are favourites. They win 51.6% of our 100,000 simulations, against 23.5% for the draw and 25% for Charlotte. Including the draw, Columbus Crew avoid defeat 75.1% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 10.6% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (9.4%) and 2-0 (7.4%). The likeliest Columbus Crew win is 2-1 (9.4%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 62.1% of simulations. Columbus Crew keep a clean sheet 27.9% of the time and Charlotte 14.9%.
The simulations average 3.22 goals: 1.93 for Columbus Crew and 1.29 for Charlotte. Over 1.5 goals lands 83.5% of the time, over 2.5 goals 62.2% and over 3.5 goals 40.2%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
