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For this page
How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Corinthians vs Athletico PR 100,000 times. Corinthians won 44,081 of them (44.1%), the draw came up 31.1% of the time and Athletico PR won 24.8%. The most likely score is 1-0 (14.5%), and both teams score in 41% of simulations.
Full time 0-0. Before kick-off the simulations had the draw at 31.1% and gave this exact score 13.6%.
| Corinthians win | 44.1% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 31.1% |
| Athletico PR win | 24.8% |
| Most likely score | 1-0 (14.5%) |
| Expected goals | 1.23 – 0.85 |
| Both teams to score | 41% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 62.1% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 34.4% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 15.9% |
| Corinthians score first | 50.9% |
| Athletico PR score first | 35.5% |
| Corinthians clean sheet | 43% |
| Athletico PR clean sheet | 29.6% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420493667 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Corinthians are favourites. They win 44.1% of our 100,000 simulations, against 31.1% for the draw and 24.8% for Athletico PR. Including the draw, Corinthians avoid defeat 75.2% of the time.
1-0, which came up in 14.5% of simulations. Next are 1-1 (13.7%) and 0-0 (13.6%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 41% of simulations. Corinthians keep a clean sheet 43% of the time and Athletico PR 29.6%.
The simulations average 2.08 goals: 1.23 for Corinthians and 0.85 for Athletico PR. Over 1.5 goals lands 62.1% of the time, over 2.5 goals 34.4% and over 3.5 goals 15.9%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
