We simulated Coritiba vs Botafogo 100,000 times. Coritiba won 39,806 of them (39.8%), the draw came up 27.7% of the time and Botafogo won 32.5%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 13%, while the likeliest Coritiba win is 2-1 (8.6%). Both teams score in 55.9% of simulations.
| Coritiba win | 39.8% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 27.7% |
| Botafogo win | 32.5% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (13%) |
| Expected goals | 1.45 – 1.29 |
| Both teams to score | 55.9% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 76.5% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 51.3% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 29.5% |
| Coritiba score first | 50.1% |
| Botafogo score first | 42.1% |
| Coritiba clean sheet | 28% |
| Botafogo clean sheet | 23.9% |
Bragantino
Mirassol
1.8–1.0
xG
54%
Over 2.5
Internacional
Corinthians
1.4–1.0
xG
44%
Over 2.5
Remo
Grêmio
1.5–1.2
xG
49%
Over 2.5
Vitória
Chapecoense
1.7–0.9
xG
49%
Over 2.5
Botafogo
Vasco da Gama
1.3–1.4
xG
51%
Over 2.5
Cruzeiro
São Paulo
1.7–0.9
xG
49%
Over 2.5
Santos
Flamengo
1.1–1.6
xG
49%
Over 2.5
Athletico PR
Atlético Mineiro
1.6–1.0
xG
47%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420493594 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Coritiba are favourites. They win 39.8% of our 100,000 simulations, against 27.7% for the draw and 32.5% for Botafogo. Including the draw, Coritiba avoid defeat 67.5% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 13% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (8.6%) and 1-0 (8.3%). The likeliest Coritiba win is 2-1 (8.6%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 55.9% of simulations. Coritiba keep a clean sheet 28% of the time and Botafogo 23.9%.
The simulations average 2.74 goals: 1.45 for Coritiba and 1.29 for Botafogo. Over 1.5 goals lands 76.5% of the time, over 2.5 goals 51.3% and over 3.5 goals 29.5%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Bet365), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
