We simulated Criciúma vs América Mineiro 100,000 times. Criciúma won 73,046 of them (73.1%), the draw came up 18.6% of the time and América Mineiro won 8.4%. The most likely score is 2-0 (15.5%), and both teams score in 36.8% of simulations.
| Criciúma win | 73.1% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 18.6% |
| América Mineiro win | 8.4% |
| Most likely score | 2-0 (15.5%) |
| Expected goals | 2.09 – 0.55 |
| Both teams to score | 36.8% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 73.8% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 48.9% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 27.4% |
| Criciúma score first | 72.9% |
| América Mineiro score first | 19.6% |
| Criciúma clean sheet | 58% |
| América Mineiro clean sheet | 12.7% |
Novorizontino
Ponte Preta
3.5–0.4
xG
73%
Over 2.5
Botafogo SP
Ceará
1.4–1.0
xG
42%
Over 2.5
Athletic Club
Londrina
1.5–1.0
xG
46%
Over 2.5
Ponte Preta
Atlético GO
0.6–2.0
xG
47%
Over 2.5
Sport Recife
Fortaleza
1.4–1.0
xG
43%
Over 2.5
Ceará
Juventude
1.3–1.0
xG
38%
Over 2.5
América Mineiro
Operário PR
1.0–1.4
xG
43%
Over 2.5
Avaí
Athletic Club
1.4–1.0
xG
42%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420534154 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Criciúma are favourites. They win 73.1% of our 100,000 simulations, against 18.6% for the draw and 8.4% for América Mineiro. Including the draw, Criciúma avoid defeat 91.6% of the time.
2-0, which came up in 15.5% of simulations. Next are 1-0 (14.8%) and 3-0 (10.8%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 36.8% of simulations. Criciúma keep a clean sheet 58% of the time and América Mineiro 12.7%.
The simulations average 2.64 goals: 2.09 for Criciúma and 0.55 for América Mineiro. Over 1.5 goals lands 73.8% of the time, over 2.5 goals 48.9% and over 3.5 goals 27.4%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
