We simulated Daejeon Citizen vs Gwangju 100,000 times. Daejeon Citizen won 67,731 of them (67.7%), the draw came up 18.2% of the time and Gwangju won 14.1%. The most likely score is 2-0 (10.2%), and both teams score in 54.5% of simulations.
| Daejeon Citizen win | 67.7% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 18.2% |
| Gwangju win | 14.1% |
| Most likely score | 2-0 (10.2%) |
| Expected goals | 2.32 – 0.94 |
| Both teams to score | 54.5% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 83.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 62.8% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 40.9% |
| Daejeon Citizen score first | 69.5% |
| Gwangju score first | 26.6% |
| Daejeon Citizen clean sheet | 39.3% |
| Gwangju clean sheet | 10.3% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420514550 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Daejeon Citizen are favourites. They win 67.7% of our 100,000 simulations, against 18.2% for the draw and 14.1% for Gwangju. Including the draw, Daejeon Citizen avoid defeat 85.9% of the time.
2-0, which came up in 10.2% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (9.5%) and 1-0 (9%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 54.5% of simulations. Daejeon Citizen keep a clean sheet 39.3% of the time and Gwangju 10.3%.
The simulations average 3.26 goals: 2.32 for Daejeon Citizen and 0.94 for Gwangju. Over 1.5 goals lands 83.2% of the time, over 2.5 goals 62.8% and over 3.5 goals 40.9%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
