We simulated DC United vs New York RB 100,000 times. DC United won 48,411 of them (48.4%), the draw came up 23.7% of the time and New York RB won 27.9%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 10.7%, while the likeliest DC United win is 2-1 (9.2%). Both teams score in 62% of simulations.
| DC United win | 48.4% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 23.7% |
| New York RB win | 27.9% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (10.7%) |
| Expected goals | 1.83 – 1.34 |
| Both teams to score | 62% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 82.7% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 61.2% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 39.2% |
| DC United score first | 53.5% |
| New York RB score first | 41.2% |
| DC United clean sheet | 26.4% |
| New York RB clean sheet | 16.4% |
CF Montréal
Atlanta United
1.7–1.4
xG
58%
Over 2.5
Cincinnati
New England
2.2–1.4
xG
70%
Over 2.5
Columbus Crew
Charlotte
1.9–1.3
xG
62%
Over 2.5
Inter Miami
New York City
2.4–1.2
xG
68%
Over 2.5
Toronto
Orlando City
2.0–1.6
xG
70%
Over 2.5
Nashville SC
Sporting KC
3.0–0.9
xG
75%
Over 2.5
St. Louis City
Vancouver Whitecaps
1.8–1.5
xG
65%
Over 2.5
Chicago Fire
Philadelphia Union
1.8–1.7
xG
68%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420509951 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
DC United are favourites. They win 48.4% of our 100,000 simulations, against 23.7% for the draw and 27.9% for New York RB. Including the draw, DC United avoid defeat 72.1% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 10.7% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (9.2%) and 1-0 (7.2%). The likeliest DC United win is 2-1 (9.2%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 62% of simulations. DC United keep a clean sheet 26.4% of the time and New York RB 16.4%.
The simulations average 3.18 goals: 1.83 for DC United and 1.34 for New York RB. Over 1.5 goals lands 82.7% of the time, over 2.5 goals 61.2% and over 3.5 goals 39.2%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
