We simulated Derry City vs St Patrick's 100,000 times. St Patrick's won 36,123 of them (36.1%), the draw came up 28.4% of the time and Derry City won 35.5%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 13.4%, while the likeliest St Patrick's win is 0-1 (8.3%). Both teams score in 54.3% of simulations.
| Derry City win | 35.5% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 28.4% |
| St Patrick's win | 36.1% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (13.4%) |
| Expected goals | 1.32 – 1.33 |
| Both teams to score | 54.3% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 74.9% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 49.1% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 27.6% |
| Derry City score first | 46% |
| St Patrick's score first | 45.2% |
| Derry City clean sheet | 26.9% |
| St Patrick's clean sheet | 27.3% |
St Patrick's
Shelbourne
1.9–0.9
xG
53%
Over 2.5
Bohemians
Waterford United
2.2–1.1
xG
63%
Over 2.5
Galway United
Shamrock Rovers
1.1–1.7
xG
54%
Over 2.5
Drogheda United
Derry City
1.2–1.4
xG
49%
Over 2.5
Sligo Rovers
Dundalk
1.3–2.0
xG
63%
Over 2.5
Waterford United
Galway United
1.7–1.2
xG
56%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420498390 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
St Patrick's are favourites. They win 36.1% of our 100,000 simulations, against 28.4% for the draw and 35.5% for Derry City. Including the draw, St Patrick's avoid defeat 64.5% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 13.4% of simulations. Next are 0-0 (8.6%) and 0-1 (8.3%). The likeliest St Patrick's win is 0-1 (8.3%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 54.3% of simulations. Derry City keep a clean sheet 26.9% of the time and St Patrick's 27.3%.
The simulations average 2.65 goals: 1.32 for Derry City and 1.33 for St Patrick's. Over 1.5 goals lands 74.9% of the time, over 2.5 goals 49.1% and over 3.5 goals 27.6%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here 1xBet), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
