We simulated Detroit City vs Rhode Island 100,000 times. Detroit City won 42,865 of them (42.9%), the draw came up 28.3% of the time and Rhode Island won 28.8%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 13%, while the likeliest Detroit City win is 1-0 (12.9%). Both teams score in 45.5% of simulations.
| Detroit City win | 42.9% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 28.3% |
| Rhode Island win | 28.8% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (13%) |
| Expected goals | 1.29 – 1.00 |
| Both teams to score | 45.5% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 66.5% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 40% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 20% |
| Detroit City score first | 49.1% |
| Rhode Island score first | 40.3% |
| Detroit City clean sheet | 37.1% |
| Rhode Island clean sheet | 28% |
Lexington
Tulsa Roughnecks
2.0–1.0
xG
56%
Over 2.5
Sporting JAX
Birmingham Legion
1.6–2.1
xG
71%
Over 2.5
Charleston Battery
Louisville City
1.8–1.3
xG
58%
Over 2.5
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
Hartford Athletic
1.3–0.9
xG
36%
Over 2.5
Miami FC II
Loudoun United
1.9–1.3
xG
62%
Over 2.5
Indy Eleven
Tampa Bay Rowdies
1.1–1.5
xG
47%
Over 2.5
New Mexico United
Monterey Bay
2.2–1.1
xG
65%
Over 2.5
El Paso Locomotive
Orange County
2.1–1.0
xG
59%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420520125 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Detroit City are favourites. They win 42.9% of our 100,000 simulations, against 28.3% for the draw and 28.8% for Rhode Island. Including the draw, Detroit City avoid defeat 71.2% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 13% of simulations. Next are 1-0 (12.9%) and 0-0 (10.5%). The likeliest Detroit City win is 1-0 (12.9%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 45.5% of simulations. Detroit City keep a clean sheet 37.1% of the time and Rhode Island 28%.
The simulations average 2.29 goals: 1.29 for Detroit City and 1.00 for Rhode Island. Over 1.5 goals lands 66.5% of the time, over 2.5 goals 40% and over 3.5 goals 20%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
