We simulated El Paso Locomotive vs Orange County 100,000 times. El Paso Locomotive won 63,879 of them (63.9%), the draw came up 19.1% of the time and Orange County won 17%. The most likely score is 1-0 (10.3%), and both teams score in 53.6% of simulations.
| El Paso Locomotive win | 63.9% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 19.1% |
| Orange County win | 17% |
| Most likely score | 1-0 (10.3%) |
| Expected goals | 2.12 – 0.97 |
| Both teams to score | 53.6% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 80.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 59.2% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 37.1% |
| El Paso Locomotive score first | 68.8% |
| Orange County score first | 27.1% |
| El Paso Locomotive clean sheet | 38.3% |
| Orange County clean sheet | 12.5% |
Lexington
Tulsa Roughnecks
2.0–1.0
xG
56%
Over 2.5
Sporting JAX
Birmingham Legion
1.6–2.1
xG
71%
Over 2.5
Charleston Battery
Louisville City
1.8–1.3
xG
58%
Over 2.5
Detroit City
Rhode Island
1.3–1.0
xG
40%
Over 2.5
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
Hartford Athletic
1.3–0.9
xG
36%
Over 2.5
Miami FC II
Loudoun United
1.9–1.3
xG
62%
Over 2.5
Indy Eleven
Tampa Bay Rowdies
1.1–1.5
xG
47%
Over 2.5
New Mexico United
Monterey Bay
2.2–1.1
xG
65%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420520158 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
El Paso Locomotive are favourites. They win 63.9% of our 100,000 simulations, against 19.1% for the draw and 17% for Orange County. Including the draw, El Paso Locomotive avoid defeat 83% of the time.
1-0, which came up in 10.3% of simulations. Next are 2-0 (10.2%) and 2-1 (9.7%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 53.6% of simulations. El Paso Locomotive keep a clean sheet 38.3% of the time and Orange County 12.5%.
The simulations average 3.08 goals: 2.12 for El Paso Locomotive and 0.97 for Orange County. Over 1.5 goals lands 80.4% of the time, over 2.5 goals 59.2% and over 3.5 goals 37.1%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
