We simulated Farense U23 vs União Leiria U23 100,000 times. Farense U23 won 44,793 of them (44.8%), the draw came up 26% of the time and União Leiria U23 won 29.2%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 12.3%, while the likeliest Farense U23 win is 1-0 (10.4%). Both teams score in 52.9% of simulations.
| Farense U23 win | 44.8% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 26% |
| União Leiria U23 win | 29.2% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (12.3%) |
| Expected goals | 1.50 – 1.15 |
| Both teams to score | 52.9% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 74.1% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 49.3% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 27.6% |
| Farense U23 score first | 52.4% |
| União Leiria U23 score first | 40.3% |
| Farense U23 clean sheet | 31.9% |
| União Leiria U23 clean sheet | 22.8% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420628141 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Farense U23 are favourites. They win 44.8% of our 100,000 simulations, against 26% for the draw and 29.2% for União Leiria U23. Including the draw, Farense U23 avoid defeat 70.8% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 12.3% of simulations. Next are 1-0 (10.4%) and 2-1 (8.9%). The likeliest Farense U23 win is 1-0 (10.4%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 52.9% of simulations. Farense U23 keep a clean sheet 31.9% of the time and União Leiria U23 22.8%.
The simulations average 2.65 goals: 1.50 for Farense U23 and 1.15 for União Leiria U23. Over 1.5 goals lands 74.1% of the time, over 2.5 goals 49.3% and over 3.5 goals 27.6%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
