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For this page
How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Flamengo vs Atlético Mineiro 100,000 times. Flamengo won 75,637 of them (75.6%), the draw came up 16.3% of the time and Atlético Mineiro won 8.1%. The most likely score is 2-0 (14.1%), and both teams score in 41.4% of simulations.
Full time 3-2. Before kick-off the simulations had Flamengo winning 75.6% and gave this exact score 2.1%.
| Flamengo win | 75.6% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 16.3% |
| Atlético Mineiro win | 8.1% |
| Most likely score | 2-0 (14.1%) |
| Expected goals | 2.34 – 0.62 |
| Both teams to score | 41.4% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 79.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56.5% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 34.4% |
| Flamengo score first | 76.3% |
| Atlético Mineiro score first | 18.3% |
| Flamengo clean sheet | 54.1% |
| Atlético Mineiro clean sheet | 10% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420493585 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Flamengo are favourites. They win 75.6% of our 100,000 simulations, against 16.3% for the draw and 8.1% for Atlético Mineiro. Including the draw, Flamengo avoid defeat 91.9% of the time.
2-0, which came up in 14.1% of simulations. Next are 1-0 (12.1%) and 3-0 (11%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 41.4% of simulations. Flamengo keep a clean sheet 54.1% of the time and Atlético Mineiro 10%.
The simulations average 2.96 goals: 2.34 for Flamengo and 0.62 for Atlético Mineiro. Over 1.5 goals lands 79.2% of the time, over 2.5 goals 56.5% and over 3.5 goals 34.4%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
