We simulated Flamengo vs Fluminense 100,000 times. Flamengo won 70,376 of them (70.4%), the draw came up 19.5% of the time and Fluminense won 10.1%. The most likely score is 2-0 (12.9%), and both teams score in 45.9% of simulations.
| Flamengo win | 70.4% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 19.5% |
| Fluminense win | 10.1% |
| Most likely score | 2-0 (12.9%) |
| Expected goals | 2.21 – 0.72 |
| Both teams to score | 45.9% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 79.3% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 55.7% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 33.7% |
| Flamengo score first | 73.5% |
| Fluminense score first | 20.2% |
| Flamengo clean sheet | 49.1% |
| Fluminense clean sheet | 11.4% |
Bragantino
Mirassol
1.8–1.0
xG
54%
Over 2.5
Internacional
Corinthians
1.4–1.0
xG
44%
Over 2.5
Remo
Grêmio
1.5–1.2
xG
49%
Over 2.5
Vitória
Chapecoense
1.7–0.9
xG
49%
Over 2.5
Botafogo
Vasco da Gama
1.3–1.4
xG
51%
Over 2.5
Cruzeiro
São Paulo
1.7–0.9
xG
49%
Over 2.5
Santos
Flamengo
1.1–1.6
xG
49%
Over 2.5
Athletico PR
Atlético Mineiro
1.6–1.0
xG
47%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420493599 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Flamengo are favourites. They win 70.4% of our 100,000 simulations, against 19.5% for the draw and 10.1% for Fluminense. Including the draw, Flamengo avoid defeat 89.9% of the time.
2-0, which came up in 12.9% of simulations. Next are 1-0 (11.2%) and 3-0 (9.5%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 45.9% of simulations. Flamengo keep a clean sheet 49.1% of the time and Fluminense 11.4%.
The simulations average 2.93 goals: 2.21 for Flamengo and 0.72 for Fluminense. Over 1.5 goals lands 79.3% of the time, over 2.5 goals 55.7% and over 3.5 goals 33.7%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Bet365), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
